Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus (PRX NA)</a> moved 96mn shares of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> into CCASS. Tencent shares fell hard. If the share price fell because of a block offering, that would be unwarranted. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ecopro-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19029:1" rel="noopener">Ecopro (086520 KS)</a> is up an eye-watering 590% in the past three months, primarily on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ecopro-bm-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27873:1" rel="noopener">Ecopro BM (247540 KS)</a>'s outperformance, together with sentiment towards soon-to-be-listed 52.8% held Ecopro Materials. </li>
<li>Japan's Finance Minister said that companies need to improve their PBRs, and that "increasing corporate value of listed companies would allow for Japan to realise sustainable growth."</li>
</ul>



Prosus (PRX NA) moved 96mn shares of Tencent (700 HK) into CCASS. Tencent shares fell hard. If the share price fell because of a block offering, that would be unwarranted. 

Ecopro (086520 KS) is up an eye-watering 590% in the past three months, primarily on Ecopro BM (247540 KS)'s outperformance, together with sentiment towards soon-to-be-listed 52.8% held Ecopro Materials. 
Japan's Finance Minister said that companies need to improve their PBRs, and that "increasing corporate value of listed companies would allow for Japan to realise sustainable growth."


Last Week in Event SPACE: Tencent, Ecopro, Japan’s Governance, Jardines, Citizen

Melco International Development / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The data in this insight is collated from the "shareholding disclosure" link on the HKEx website.</li>
<li>Often there is a corresponding HKEx announcement on the increase - or decrease - in the shareholding by directors. Or pledging. However, such disclosures are by no means an absolute.</li>
<li>Stocks mentioned in this insight include: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/melco-international-development-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:809:1" rel="noopener">Melco International Development (200 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cmge-technology-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:451:1" rel="noopener"> CMGE Tech (302 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/differ-group-auto-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3479:1" rel="noopener">Differ Group Auto (6878 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sino-biopharmaceutical" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:230:1" rel="noopener">Sino Biopharmaceutical (1177 HK)</a>
</li>
</ul>


The data in this insight is collated from the "shareholding disclosure" link on the HKEx website.
Often there is a corresponding HKEx announcement on the increase - or decrease - in the shareholding by directors. Or pledging. However, such disclosures are by no means an absolute.
Stocks mentioned in this insight include: Melco International Development (200 HK),  CMGE Tech (302 HK), Differ Group Auto (6878 HK), and Sino Biopharmaceutical (1177 HK)



Hong Kong CEO & Director Dealings (13 Apr): Melco, CMGE, Differ, Sino Biopharmaceutical

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Sino Biopharmaceutical / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Sino Biopharm’s 2022 performance isn't satisfactory, but the Company is gradually getting rid of the negative influence of VBP. We expect Sino Biopharm to achieve faster performance recovery than Hengrui.</li>
<li>Most of Sino Biopharm’s innovative drugs are biosimilars and Me-Too products, which will face fierce competition once approved for listing. The revenue target of HK$100 billion by 2030 looks challenging. </li>
<li>Corporate governance deficiencies and lack of the next big variety are the reasons why the market is reluctant to offer high valuation. The new CEO needs time to prove his ability. </li>
</ul>


Sino Biopharm’s 2022 performance isn't satisfactory, but the Company is gradually getting rid of the negative influence of VBP. We expect Sino Biopharm to achieve faster performance recovery than Hengrui.
Most of Sino Biopharm’s innovative drugs are biosimilars and Me-Too products, which will face fierce competition once approved for listing. The revenue target of HK$100 billion by 2030 looks challenging. 
Corporate governance deficiencies and lack of the next big variety are the reasons why the market is reluctant to offer high valuation. The new CEO needs time to prove his ability. 


Sino Biopharmaceutical (1177.HK) - The Positives and the Negatives

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

CSPC Pharmaceutical Group / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cspc-pharmaceutical-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:229:1" rel="noopener">CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK)</a> reported 11% YoY revenue growth in 2022. The finished drug business maintained steady growth in 2022, with a continued increase in contribution from new products.</li>
<li>Within the next 5 years, more than 40 innovative drugs are expected to be approved, which will provide continuous momentum for the company’s development.</li>
<li>In March 2023, CSPC’s COVID-19 mRNA vaccine SYS6006 has become the first independently developed mRNA vaccine product in China that has been granted for emergency use.</li>
</ul>



CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK) reported 11% YoY revenue growth in 2022. The finished drug business maintained steady growth in 2022, with a continued increase in contribution from new products.
Within the next 5 years, more than 40 innovative drugs are expected to be approved, which will provide continuous momentum for the company’s development.
In March 2023, CSPC’s COVID-19 mRNA vaccine SYS6006 has become the first independently developed mRNA vaccine product in China that has been granted for emergency use.


CSPC Pharmaceutical (1093 HK): Double-Digit Sales and Profit Growth in 2022; MRNA Vaccine Approval

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The successful transformation of biotech into large pharmaceutical enterprises needs to meet three conditions, but many biotech enterprises could actually meet only the requirements of the first two.</li>
<li>If investors cannot understand the basic logic of marketing in China pharmaceutical industry, they would never understand or “anticipate” the future potential collapse of valuation of some companies. </li>
<li>The barriers formed by DS-8201 deserve investors' attention. For those ADC players that are in the range of head-to-head competition with DS-8201, they should at least “revise the story” .</li>
</ul>


The successful transformation of biotech into large pharmaceutical enterprises needs to meet three conditions, but many biotech enterprises could actually meet only the requirements of the first two.
If investors cannot understand the basic logic of marketing in China pharmaceutical industry, they would never understand or “anticipate” the future potential collapse of valuation of some companies. 
The barriers formed by DS-8201 deserve investors' attention. For those ADC players that are in the range of head-to-head competition with DS-8201, they should at least “revise the story” .


China Healthcare Weekly (Mar.10)- Three Conditions to Be Biopharma, Anticipate the Collapse, DS-8201

Hong Kong

Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited, through its subsidiaries, researches, develops, produces, and sells biopharmaceutical products for the medical treatment of ophthalmia, as well as modernized Chinese medicine and chemical medicine for the treatment of hepatitis.

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Sino Biopharmaceutical (1177 HK)

Last Week in Event SPACE: Tencent, Ecopro, Japan’s Governance, Jardines, Citizen

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Hong Kong CEO & Director Dealings (13 Apr): Melco, CMGE, Differ, Sino Biopharmaceutical

The data in this insight is collated from the "shareholding disclosure" link on the HKEx website. These insights also flag those companies where...

David Blennerhassett