Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Q123 Net Revenue was strong, exceeding Q119 (pre-Covid) levels by over 12%</li>
<li>Almost six months into recovery, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trip-com-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:180:1" rel="noopener">Trip.com (TCOM US)</a> has also managed SG&amp;A expenses well</li>
<li>A good result for the company, but we see no reason to alter our long-term view</li>
</ul>


Q123 Net Revenue was strong, exceeding Q119 (pre-Covid) levels by over 12%
Almost six months into recovery, Trip.com (TCOM US) has also managed SG&amp;A expenses well
A good result for the company, but we see no reason to alter our long-term view


Trip.com Q123 | Revenue Surges Past Q119 Level | Decade-High Margin | But Our Thesis Is Unchanged

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Domestic and outbound Chinese air traffic continued to recover in April, but aircraft deployed on international routes continued to operate far below capacity</li>
<li>Headline numbers from the recent Labor Day holiday period show an increase in domestic travel activity to above 2019 levels, but spending per trip remains depressed</li>
<li>Tourism activity has increased dramatically compared to 2022, but five months after most Covid-19 restrictions were lifted there are few signs of stong demand for leisure travel</li>
</ul>


Domestic and outbound Chinese air traffic continued to recover in April, but aircraft deployed on international routes continued to operate far below capacity
Headline numbers from the recent Labor Day holiday period show an increase in domestic travel activity to above 2019 levels, but spending per trip remains depressed
Tourism activity has increased dramatically compared to 2022, but five months after most Covid-19 restrictions were lifted there are few signs of stong demand for leisure travel


Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | Recovery Continues | But Seats Stay Empty | (May 2023)

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

<ul><li>Singapore’s visitor arrivals surpassed 1 million in April 2023, the highest in a month since the pandemic, bringing the total number of visitor arrivals to over 4 million in the year-to-date (YTD).</li><li>The 10 stocks booked net institutional inflows of S$186.7 million, while the broader Singapore stock market recorded over S$2.3 billion of net institutional outflows.</li><li>In the YTD ending 18 May 2023, Genting booked the highest net institutional inflows across the Singapore stock market.</li></ul>

Singapore’s visitor arrivals surpassed 1 million in April 2023, the highest in a month since the pandemic, bringing the total number of visitor arrivals to over 4 million in the year-to-date (YTD).The 10 stocks booked net institutional inflows of S$186.7 million, while the broader Singapore stock market recorded over S$2.3 billion of net institutional outflows.In the YTD ending 18 May 2023, Genting booked the highest net institutional inflows across the Singapore stock market.

Tourism and Hospitality Stocks Benefit from Recovery Momentum

<ul><li>The Industrial Sector has ranked among the five strongest performing global Sectors in the YTD, with gains extending to the Asia Pacific.</li><li>Last week the 20 stocks booked S$34 million of net institutional inflow, reducing their combined YTD net institutional outflow to S$55 million.</li><li>Singapore’s 20 most traded Industrial stocks have booked net institutional fund outflows of S$54.5 million over the past 20 weeks, however last week saw S$33.6 million of net institutional fund inflows.</li></ul>

The Industrial Sector has ranked among the five strongest performing global Sectors in the YTD, with gains extending to the Asia Pacific.Last week the 20 stocks booked S$34 million of net institutional inflow, reducing their combined YTD net institutional outflow to S$55 million.Singapore’s 20 most traded Industrial stocks have booked net institutional fund outflows of S$54.5 million over the past 20 weeks, however last week saw S$33.6 million of net institutional fund inflows.

Industrial Sector Recently Led by Marco Polo Marine, YZJSH & SIA 

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), UOB Kay Hian

UOB Kay Hian

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Backed by the UOB Group, UOB Kay Hian is one of Asia’s largest brokerage firms. Headquartered in Singapore, we are supported by more than 80 branches worldwide including a growing network of offices across Southeast Asia, Greater China, the United Kingdom and North America. Our global footprint and strong international presence have enabled us to feel the pulse of key financial markets and deliver incisive intelligence across industry sectors and asset classes. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Upgrade SIA to HOLD with a higher target price of S$5.75.</li><li>SIA’s FY23 (Apr 2022 to Mar 2023) core net profit was in line with our expectations at 99% of our forecast.</li><li>The final dividend of 28 cents was a positive surprise, leading to a 6.3% full-year yield for FY23. (See SIA's dividend date)</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Upgrade SIA to HOLD with a higher target price of S$5.75.SIA’s FY23 (Apr 2022 to Mar 2023) core net profit was in line with our expectations at 99% of our forecast.The final dividend of 28 cents was a positive surprise, leading to a 6.3% full-year yield for FY23. (See SIA's dividend date)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Singapore Airlines (SIA) - FY23 Results In Line; Strong Final Dividend A Key Surprise

Singapore

Singapore Airlines Limited provides air transportation, engineering, pilot training, air charter, and tour wholesaling services. The Company's airline operation covers Asia, Europe, the Americas, South West Pacific, and Africa.

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Singapore Airlines (SIA SP)

Trip.com Q123 | Revenue Surges Past Q119 Level | Decade-High Margin | But Our Thesis Is Unchanged

Trip.com posted a strong result in Q123, with Revenue finally above pre-Covid levels and core margins at a decade-high. But management seemed to...

Tracking Traffic

Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | Recovery Continues | But Seats Stay Empty | (May 2023)

In April domestic and international air traffic continued to improve from depressed pandemic levels, but there are growing signs that Chinese...

Tracking Traffic

Tourism and Hospitality Stocks Benefit from Recovery Momentum

Singapore’s visitor arrivals surpassed 1 million in April 2023, the highest in a month since the pandemic, bringing the total number of visitor...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Industrial Sector Recently Led by Marco Polo Marine, YZJSH & SIA

The Industrial Sector has ranked among the five strongest performing global Sectors in the YTD, with gains extending to the Asia Pacific. Last...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Airlines (SIA) - FY23 Results In Line; Strong Final Dividend A Key Surprise

Upgrade SIA to HOLD with a higher target price of S$5.75. SIA’s FY23 (Apr 2022 to Mar 2023) core net profit was in line with our expectations at...

UOB Kay Hian

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