Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of Feb 23rd which has an aggregated short interest worth USD7.7bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest weekly changes in Posco Holdings, Rotem.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of Feb 23rd which has an aggregated short interest worth USD7.7bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest weekly changes in Posco Holdings, Rotem.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Feb 23rd): Posco Holdings, Rotem

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Shinko Electric Industries / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinko-electric-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15066:1" rel="noopener">Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP)</a>'s pre-conditional tender offer from the JIC alliance is JPY5,920 per share. Since the deal announcement, the gross spread has averaged 8.3%.</li>
<li>The wide gross spread reflects the risk in satisfying the pre-conditions related to country approvals, particularly China and shareholder approval, due to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ibiden-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16630:1" rel="noopener">Ibiden Co Ltd (4062 JP)</a>’s re-rating.</li>
<li>Ibiden’s re-rating is not necessarily an issue. JIC’s confidence in securing SAMR approval for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a> transaction by March is a positive for Shinko's SAMR approval. </li>
</ul>



Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP)'s pre-conditional tender offer from the JIC alliance is JPY5,920 per share. Since the deal announcement, the gross spread has averaged 8.3%.
The wide gross spread reflects the risk in satisfying the pre-conditions related to country approvals, particularly China and shareholder approval, due to Ibiden Co Ltd (4062 JP)’s re-rating.
Ibiden’s re-rating is not necessarily an issue. JIC’s confidence in securing SAMR approval for the JSR Corp (4185 JP) transaction by March is a positive for Shinko's SAMR approval. 


Shinko Electric (6967 JP): Tender Offer Risk/Reward

<ul>
<li>After months of speculation, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinko-electric-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15066:1" rel="noopener">Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP)</a> has recommended the JIC alliance’s preconditional tender offer of JPY5,920 per share, an 18.9% premium to the undisturbed price (31 May). </li>
<li>The pre-condition relates to regulatory approvals in Japan, China, Korea, and possibly Vietnam. The offeror may waive the pre-condition. The offer is long-dated and expected to start in August 2024.</li>
<li>The minimum acceptance condition requires a 33.3% minority acceptance rate. Despite the low 7.1% premium to the last close, the offer resulted from a competing bidding process. </li>
</ul>


After months of speculation, Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP) has recommended the JIC alliance’s preconditional tender offer of JPY5,920 per share, an 18.9% premium to the undisturbed price (31 May). 
The pre-condition relates to regulatory approvals in Japan, China, Korea, and possibly Vietnam. The offeror may waive the pre-condition. The offer is long-dated and expected to start in August 2024.
The minimum acceptance condition requires a 33.3% minority acceptance rate. Despite the low 7.1% premium to the last close, the offer resulted from a competing bidding process. 


Shinko Electric (6967 JP): JIC’s Pre-Conditional Tender Offer at JPY5,920

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/mitsubishi-corp-considering-bid-fujitsus-chip-unit-shinko-electric-sources-2023-10-17/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Reuters reported</a> that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsubishi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20668:1" rel="noopener">Mitsubishi Corp (8058 JP)</a> is considering a joint bid for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fujitsu-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16968:1" rel="noopener">Fujitsu Ltd (6702 JP)</a>’s 50% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinko-electric-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15066:1" rel="noopener">Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>Fujitsu first flagged a potential stake sale in its 1HFY22 results last October. Previously rumoured suitors include Apollo Global Management, Bain Capital, Dai Nippon Printing, JIC and KKR.</li>
<li>Shinko’s shares are up 73% YTD, which is not excessive compared to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ibiden-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16630:1" rel="noopener">Ibiden Co Ltd (4062 JP)</a> (up 63.2% YTD). The valuation is undemanding, which facilitates a potential offer.</li>
</ul>



Reuters reported that Mitsubishi Corp (8058 JP) is considering a joint bid for Fujitsu Ltd (6702 JP)’s 50% stake in Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP). 
Fujitsu first flagged a potential stake sale in its 1HFY22 results last October. Previously rumoured suitors include Apollo Global Management, Bain Capital, Dai Nippon Printing, JIC and KKR.
Shinko’s shares are up 73% YTD, which is not excessive compared to Ibiden Co Ltd (4062 JP) (up 63.2% YTD). The valuation is undemanding, which facilitates a potential offer.


Shinko Electric (6967 JP): Bidders Circle for Fujitsu’s Stake

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>Following its planned section transfer, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lx-semicon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20670:1" rel="noopener">LX Semicon (108320 KS)</a> will be deleted from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index</a> at the close on 2 November and replaced by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nextin-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36097:1" rel="noopener">Nextin (348210 KS)</a>.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to buy over 4.5 days of ADV on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nextin-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36097:1" rel="noopener">Nextin (348210 KS)</a> and sell over 1.5 days of ADV on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lx-semicon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20670:1" rel="noopener">LX Semicon (108320 KS)</a>. </li>
<li>Belonging to the Information Technology sector, there is zero chance of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lx-semicon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20670:1" rel="noopener">LX Semicon (108320 KS)</a> being added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Following its planned section transfer, LX Semicon (108320 KS) will be deleted from the KOSDAQ 150 Index at the close on 2 November and replaced by Nextin (348210 KS).
Passive trackers will need to buy over 4.5 days of ADV on Nextin (348210 KS) and sell over 1.5 days of ADV on LX Semicon (108320 KS). 
Belonging to the Information Technology sector, there is zero chance of LX Semicon (108320 KS) being added to the Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX).


KOSDAQ150 Ad Hoc Index Rebalance: LX Semicon OUT, Nextin IN

South Korea

Simmtech Co., Ltd. manufactures Printed Circuit Board (PCB) modules.  The Company's Memory Module PCBs are used to expand the semiconductor memory and the Mobile Phone Boards are used in communication devices such as mobile phones and navigation devices.

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SIMMTECH Co Ltd (222800 KS)

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Feb 23rd): Posco Holdings, Rotem

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Posco Holdings, Rotem.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shinko Electric (6967 JP): Tender Offer Risk/Reward

Ibiden’s re-rating is not necessarily an issue. JIC’s confidence in securing SAMR approval for the JSR transaction by March is a positive for...

Arun George

Shinko Electric (6967 JP): JIC’s Pre-Conditional Tender Offer at JPY5,920

The offer is long-dated. The minimum acceptance condition requires a 33.3% minority acceptance rate. Despite the low premium to the last close, the...

Arun George

Shinko Electric (6967 JP): Bidders Circle for Fujitsu’s Stake

Mitsubishi Corp is the latest rumoured suitor. Shinko’s shares are up 73% YTD, which is not excessive compared to Ibiden (63.2% YTD). The valuation...

Arun George

KOSDAQ150 Ad Hoc Index Rebalance: LX Semicon OUT, Nextin IN

Nextin will replace LX Semicon in the KOSDAQ150 Index at the close on 2 Nov. Passives need to buy over 4.5x ADV on Nextin and sell over 1.5x ADV on...

Brian Freitas

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