Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Brilliance China Automotive / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We see 44 potential adds (including plenty of new listings) and 19 potential deletes (on market cap, liquidity and suspension) for the Hang Seng Composite Index in March.</li>
<li>We expect 37 stocks to be added to Southbound Stock Connect following the rebalance while 37 stocks could be deleted from the trading link and become Sell-only. </li>
<li>There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.</li>
</ul>


We see 44 potential adds (including plenty of new listings) and 19 potential deletes (on market cap, liquidity and suspension) for the Hang Seng Composite Index in March.
We expect 37 stocks to be added to Southbound Stock Connect following the rebalance while 37 stocks could be deleted from the trading link and become Sell-only. 
There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.


HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: A Lot of Change

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 113.5% as of Dec 16th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -1.9ppt weeok on week, led by health care, consumer discretionary, energy and offset by consumer staples, real estate.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Weichai Power, Fuyao Glass, Tianqi Lithium, Cansino Biologics, Air China, Cosco Ship Holding.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 113.5% as of Dec 16th.
The average A-H premium changed by -1.9ppt weeok on week, led by health care, consumer discretionary, energy and offset by consumer staples, real estate.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Weichai Power, Fuyao Glass, Tianqi Lithium, Cansino Biologics, Air China, Cosco Ship Holding.


A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 16th): Weichai Power, Fuyao Glass, Tianqi Lithium

<ul>
<li>As expected, there are no adds or deletes for the MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index at the December rebalance.</li>
<li>There are free float and capping changes that will be implemented at the close on 16 December.</li>
<li>One way turnover is estimated at 4.26% and will result in a one-way trade of US$31.5m.</li>
</ul>


As expected, there are no adds or deletes for the MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index at the December rebalance.
There are free float and capping changes that will be implemented at the close on 16 December.
One way turnover is estimated at 4.26% and will result in a one-way trade of US$31.5m.


MVIS Global Rare Earth/​​Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: Float & Capping Changes

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Sunshine Insurance Group  Lt / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunshine-insurance-group-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36464:1" rel="noopener">Sunshine Insurance (6963 HK)</a> priced its IPO at HK$5.83 per share to raise net proceeds of HK$6.4 billion (US$824 million). The shares will start trading tomorrow.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sunshine-insurance-group-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:85205" rel="noopener">Sunshine Insurance Group IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sunshine-insurance-group-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:85253" rel="noopener">Sunshine Insurance Group IPO: The Bear Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sunshine-insurance-group-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:85356" rel="noopener">Sunshine Insurance Group IPO: Valuation Insights</a>. </li>
<li>Peers have modestly re-rated and the IPO price continues to imply a premium to the median peer CY2022 P/EV and P/B multiples. Therefore, the IPO price remains unattractive.</li>
</ul>



Sunshine Insurance (6963 HK) priced its IPO at HK$5.83 per share to raise net proceeds of HK$6.4 billion (US$824 million). The shares will start trading tomorrow.
We previously discussed the IPO in Sunshine Insurance Group IPO: The Bull Case, Sunshine Insurance Group IPO: The Bear Case and Sunshine Insurance Group IPO: Valuation Insights. 
Peers have modestly re-rated and the IPO price continues to imply a premium to the median peer CY2022 P/EV and P/B multiples. Therefore, the IPO price remains unattractive.


Sunshine Insurance Group IPO: Trading Debut

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 118.8% as of Dec 2nd.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 0.6ppt week on week, led by consumer staples, real estate, information technology and offset by consumer discretionary, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Longyuan, Ganfeng Lithium, China Minsheng, Guolian Securities, Shanghai Fudan, Red Star Macalline, Joinn Lab, Cosco Shipping Energy, Great Wall Mortor.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 118.8% as of Dec 2nd.
The average A-H premium changed by 0.6ppt week on week, led by consumer staples, real estate, information technology and offset by consumer discretionary, materials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Longyuan, Ganfeng Lithium, China Minsheng, Guolian Securities, Shanghai Fudan, Red Star Macalline, Joinn Lab, Cosco Shipping Energy, Great Wall Mortor.


A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 2nd): China Longyuan, Ganfeng Lithium

China

Sichuan Tianqi Lithium Industries, Inc. develops, manufactures and sells lithium products.  The Company's products include industrial lithium carbonate, battery lithium carbonate, lithium chloride, and lithium hydroxide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Tianqi Lithium (002466 CH)

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: A Lot of Change

We forecast 44 adds/19 deletes for the HSCI in March leading to 37 adds/deletes for Southbound Stock Connect. There could be more Connect changes...

Brian Freitas

A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 16th): Weichai Power, Fuyao Glass, Tianqi Lithium

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Weichai Power, Fuyao Glass, Tianqi Lithium, Cansino...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: Float & Capping Changes

No adds/deletes for REMX in December. Free float and capping changes will be implemented at the close on 16 December resulting in one-way turnover...

Brian Freitas

Sunshine Insurance Group IPO: Trading Debut

Peers have modestly re-rated and the IPO price continues to imply a premium to the median peer CY2022 P/EV and P/B multiples. Therefore, the IPO...

Arun George

A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 2nd): China Longyuan, Ganfeng Lithium

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Longyuan, Ganfeng Lithium, Shanghai Fudan, Red Star...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: A Lot of Change

We forecast 44 adds/19 deletes for the HSCI in March leading to 37 adds/deletes for Southbound Stock Connect. There could be more Connect changes...

Brian Freitas

A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 16th): Weichai Power, Fuyao Glass, Tianqi Lithium

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Weichai Power, Fuyao Glass, Tianqi Lithium, Cansino...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

MVIS Global Rare Earth/​​Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: Float & Capping Changes

No adds/deletes for REMX in December. Free float and capping changes will be implemented at the close on 16 December resulting in one-way turnover...

Brian Freitas

Sunshine Insurance Group IPO: Trading Debut

Peers have modestly re-rated and the IPO price continues to imply a premium to the median peer CY2022 P/EV and P/B multiples. Therefore, the IPO...

Arun George

A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 2nd): China Longyuan, Ganfeng Lithium

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Longyuan, Ganfeng Lithium, Shanghai Fudan, Red Star...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: Float & Capping Changes