Founder and CEO, Europacifica Consulting

Naomi Fink

Founder and CEO

Europacifica Consulting

Macroeconomics

The Bank of Japan July policy meeting ends tomorrow (Friday 29 July), and markets remain divided as to its outcome.   Although expectations of easing are building (including, according to Nikkei reports, within the BOJ), we see reasons why the BOJ may choose to adopt more modest easing measures than markets expect.Earlier this week, markets were not greatly surprised by the Fed’s upbeat tone on 27 July, but as the FOMC left rates on hold, judging that  “[n<a href="https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/press/monetary/20160727a.htm" target="_blank">]ear-term risks to the economic outlook</a>…

The Bank of Japan July policy meeting ends tomorrow (Friday 29 July), and markets remain divided as to its outcome.   Although expectations of easing are building (including, according to Nikkei reports, within the BOJ), we see reasons why the BOJ may choose to adopt more modest easing measures than markets expect.Earlier this week, markets were not greatly surprised by the Fed’s upbeat tone on 27 July, but as the FOMC left rates on hold, judging that  “[n]ear-term risks to the economic outlook…

Founder, Riedel Research

David Riedel

Founder

Independent equity research on GEM Markets

Riedel Research

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

RRG Internet Consumer Activity Monitors (ICAMs) and News Flow - Testing the Ability to Identify Media Bias<ul><li>People tend to adjust their answers in telephone surveys according to what they think the surveyor expects to hear and what they have observed in the media. When searching or shopping anonymously online this ‘media bias’ is not as strong.</li><li>We believe that a strong global negative media bias is tainting the results of telephone surveys, holding down measures of consumer sentiment and confusing policy makers.</li><li>We have long believed that large divergences between the RRG Asia (Internet Consumer Activity Monitor) ICAM Index and the RRG Global Consumer Sentiment Index (GCSI) are driven by media bias.</li><li>In this report we put this theory to the test. If there is in fact a ‘negative media bias’ we would expect to see it in the actual news flow. To do this we create a ‘News Flow Monitor’ which provides an indication into the sentiment of the news flow each month.</li><li>Results from our News Flow Monitor highlight the stark change in news flow sentiment seen since the global financial crisis. Interestingly the News Flow Monitor has recently become extremely volatile.  Heightened volatility seen in news flow sentiment is very telling of the current global economic environment.</li></ul>

RRG Internet Consumer Activity Monitors (ICAMs) and News Flow - Testing the Ability to Identify Media BiasPeople tend to adjust their answers in telephone surveys according to what they think the surveyor expects to hear and what they have observed in the media. When searching or shopping anonymously online this ‘media bias’ is not as strong.We believe that a strong global negative media bias is tainting the results of telephone surveys, holding down measures of consumer sentiment and confusing policy makers.We have long believed that large divergences between the RRG Asia (Internet Consumer Activity Monitor) ICAM Index and the RRG Global Consumer Sentiment Index (GCSI) are driven by media bias.In this report we put this theory to the test. If there is in fact a ‘negative media bias’ we would expect to see it in the actual news flow. To do this we create a ‘News Flow Monitor’ which provides an indication into the sentiment of the news flow each month.Results from our News Flow Monitor highlight the stark change in news flow sentiment seen since the global financial crisis. Interestingly the News Flow Monitor has recently become extremely volatile.  Heightened volatility seen in news flow sentiment is very telling of the current global economic environment.

RRG Proprietary Measure Uses Online Activity to Measure Consumer Sentiment in Asia

Japan

Shiseido Company, Limited manufactures cosmetic and toiletry products. The Company offers an array of makeup and skin-care products, toiletries, beauty salon, pharmaceuticals, foodstuffs, and fine chemicals.

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Shiseido Company (4911 JP)

BOJ: The 80 Trillion Yen Question

The Bank of Japan July policy meeting ends tomorrow (Friday 29 July), and markets remain divided as to its outcome. Although expectations of...

Naomi Fink

RRG Proprietary Measure Uses Online Activity to Measure Consumer Sentiment in Asia

RRG Internet Consumer Activity Monitors (ICAMs) and News Flow - Testing the Ability to Identify Media Bias People tend to adjust their answers in...

David Riedel

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52-week Range

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