Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>South Korean Financials are experiencing a significant increase in fund ownership. Average fund weights are approaching record highs at 1.94%, with a record 52% positioned overweight.</li>
<li>At the fund level, a strong buy-side bias is evident, with 37 funds opening positions compared to just 3 closures over the last 6-months.</li>
<li>Strong ownership momentum in KB Financial, DB Insurance, Shinhan Financial, and SK Square have contributed to the sector-wide bullishness.</li>
</ul>


South Korean Financials are experiencing a significant increase in fund ownership. Average fund weights are approaching record highs at 1.94%, with a record 52% positioned overweight.
At the fund level, a strong buy-side bias is evident, with 37 funds opening positions compared to just 3 closures over the last 6-months.
Strong ownership momentum in KB Financial, DB Insurance, Shinhan Financial, and SK Square have contributed to the sector-wide bullishness.


South Korean Financials:  Conviction Move Higher in Positioning

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Increased exchange rate volatility affects the ADR premium, but past patterns show that exchange rate and ADR premium directions may not always align, requiring consideration of specific contextual factors.</li>
<li>If the won appreciates below the 1,300s range, overseas institutions may shift to asymmetric selling of underlying shares for foreign exchange profit, as shown by rising ADR premiums.</li>
<li>We should watch for peak conditions to capture significant ADR premiums. Trading options include borrowing underlying shares for ADR conversion, even under the current short-selling ban.</li>
</ul>


Increased exchange rate volatility affects the ADR premium, but past patterns show that exchange rate and ADR premium directions may not always align, requiring consideration of specific contextual factors.
If the won appreciates below the 1,300s range, overseas institutions may shift to asymmetric selling of underlying shares for foreign exchange profit, as shown by rising ADR premiums.
We should watch for peak conditions to capture significant ADR premiums. Trading options include borrowing underlying shares for ADR conversion, even under the current short-selling ban.


Trading Considerations for Won Appreciation & Korean ADR Premium Volatility

<ul>
<li>NPS is concerned that aggressive value-up measures by bank holding companies and ongoing cancellations might quickly use up their room up to the 10% ownership limit.</li>
<li>With their stake already at mid-8%, they may not buy as much as the index suggests, creating new trading opportunities in the four major bank holding companies.</li>
<li>Woori Financial has more room for buying, so as the year ends, NPS's skewed-buying could give it a better price impact than other bank holding companies.</li>
</ul>


NPS is concerned that aggressive value-up measures by bank holding companies and ongoing cancellations might quickly use up their room up to the 10% ownership limit.
With their stake already at mid-8%, they may not buy as much as the index suggests, creating new trading opportunities in the four major bank holding companies.
Woori Financial has more room for buying, so as the year ends, NPS's skewed-buying could give it a better price impact than other bank holding companies.


Value-Up Flow Trading Opportunities Arising from NPS's 10% Ownership Ceiling on Banks

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

<ul>
<li>One of the key takeaways of the Corporate Value Up disclosures on the KIND system is that it could potentially lead to alpha generating investing opportunities. </li>
<li>Since the last week of May, there have been 7 companies that provided specific Corporate Value up programs; (4 major financials) have outperformed KOSPI.</li>
<li>Companies such as KB Financial and Shinhan Financial that provide more meaningful Corporate Value Up action plans are likely to have greater impact on their share prices. </li>
</ul>


One of the key takeaways of the Corporate Value Up disclosures on the KIND system is that it could potentially lead to alpha generating investing opportunities. 
Since the last week of May, there have been 7 companies that provided specific Corporate Value up programs; (4 major financials) have outperformed KOSPI.
Companies such as KB Financial and Shinhan Financial that provide more meaningful Corporate Value Up action plans are likely to have greater impact on their share prices. 


Alpha Generating Opportunities from the Corporate Value Up Disclosures on the KIND System

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss strategies for outperformance amid market convulsions and downturn. </li>
<li>In particular, we highlight six reasons why it may be a wise move to position one's portfolio more defensively (at least for the next several months).</li>
<li>Warren Buffett slashed nearly half of his holdings in Apple, which was probably one of the main triggers of the tremendous market sell off in Asian markets on Monday.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss strategies for outperformance amid market convulsions and downturn. 
In particular, we highlight six reasons why it may be a wise move to position one's portfolio more defensively (at least for the next several months).
Warren Buffett slashed nearly half of his holdings in Apple, which was probably one of the main triggers of the tremendous market sell off in Asian markets on Monday.


6 Major Signs of Market Downturn and Strategy for Outperformance Amid Market Convulsions

South Korea

Shinhan Financial Group Co., Ltd., a holding company, provides a full range of consumer and commercial banking-related financial services.  The company's main businesses include banking, securities brokerage, trust banking, and assets management to individuals, businesses, and other financial institutions.

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Shinhan Financial (055550 KS)

South Korean Financials: Conviction Move Higher in Positioning

South Korean Financials are experiencing a significant increase in fund ownership. Average fund weights are approaching record highs at 1.94%,...

Steven Holden

Trading Considerations for Won Appreciation & Korean ADR Premium Volatility

This post explores trading angles related to the Korean won's appreciation and the increased volatility of Korean ADR premiums.

Sanghyun Park

Value-Up Flow Trading Opportunities Arising from NPS's 10% Ownership Ceiling on Banks

This post explores the flow trading opportunities likely to emerge from NPS's 10% stake ceiling on local banks, which are key targets in the value...

Sanghyun Park

Alpha Generating Opportunities from the Corporate Value Up Disclosures on the KIND System

After the market close on 7 August, KB Financial (105560 KS) announced that it will cancel 9.98 million treasury shares, which represents 2.5% of...

Douglas Kim

6 Major Signs of Market Downturn and Strategy for Outperformance Amid Market Convulsions

In this insight, we discuss strategies for outperformance amid market convulsions and downturn. We highlight six reasons why it may be a wise move...

Douglas Kim

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