Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we provide the recent trends of the ETF market size growth as well as the breakdown of the best performing sector/thematic ETFs in Korea.</li>
<li>The ETFs daily transaction value as a percentage of KOSPI daily transaction value was 1.1% in 2002, which increased to 11.3% in 2012 and 31.5% in 2020.</li>
<li>The banks and dividends related ETFs have been clear winners YTD.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we provide the recent trends of the ETF market size growth as well as the breakdown of the best performing sector/thematic ETFs in Korea.
The ETFs daily transaction value as a percentage of KOSPI daily transaction value was 1.1% in 2002, which increased to 11.3% in 2012 and 31.5% in 2020.
The banks and dividends related ETFs have been clear winners YTD.


ETF Market Growth in Korea & Breakdown of the Best Performing Sector/Thematic ETFs in Korea YTD

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>KT Corp (030200 KS) is expected to have a solid, near 6% dividend yield in 2022.</li>
<li>KT's partnership with Shinhan Bank is a strategy to accelerate KT's transformation in the digital business.</li>
<li>KT is currently trading at 0.5x P/B, which is at a steep discount to its liquidation value.</li>
</ul>


KT Corp (030200 KS) is expected to have a solid, near 6% dividend yield in 2022.
KT's partnership with Shinhan Bank is a strategy to accelerate KT's transformation in the digital business.
KT is currently trading at 0.5x P/B, which is at a steep discount to its liquidation value.


KT Corp: Near 6% Dividend Yield, Stock Swap with Shinhan Bank, IPO of K-Bank, & Shift to Value

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

Below is the lockup release schedule and volume of noteworthy KOSPI stocks from this week to the end of next month.<div class="content-highlight">This time around, there are quite a few stocks with significant volume releases among the top stocks by market cap. These are the large-cap stocks (a market cap of ₩10T or higher) that deserve our special attention:</div><ul>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinhan-financial-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6978:1" rel="noopener">Shinhan Financial (055550 KS)</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakaobank-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33501:1" rel="noopener">KakaoBank (323410 KS)</a></li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/krafton-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28956:1" rel="noopener"> Krafton Inc (259960 KS)</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-ie-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29207:1" rel="noopener">SK IE Technology (361610 KS)</a> </li>
</ul><table class="table table-striped">
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<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Major lockup releases"}'>Major lockup releases</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Ticker"}'>Ticker</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Release date"}'>Release date</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"% of SO"}'>% of SO</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Market cap"}'>Market cap</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"SK Rent A Car"}'>SK Rent A Car</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"068400"}' data-sheets-formula='="068400"'>068400</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44488}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy\". \"mm\". \"dd","3":1}'>2021. 10. 19</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.24362472994029502}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='=R[0]C[2]/googlefinance(R[0]C[-2], "shares")'>24.36%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.572158664}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.00T","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='=googlefinance(R[0]C[-3], "price")*googlefinance(R[0]C[-3], "shares")/1000000000000'>₩0.57T</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Shinhan Financial Group"}'>Shinhan Financial Group</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"055550"}' data-sheets-formula='="055550"'>055550</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44489}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy\". \"mm\". \"dd","3":1}'>2021. 10. 20</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.07574532284632983}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='=R[0]C[2]/googlefinance(R[0]C[-2], "shares")'>7.57%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":20.147382606}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.00T","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='=googlefinance(R[0]C[-3], "price")*googlefinance(R[0]C[-3], "shares")/1000000000000'>₩20.15T</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Kakao Bank"}'>Kakao Bank</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":323410}'>323410</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44506}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy\". \"mm\". \"dd","3":1}'>2021. 11. 08</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.03207744137580803}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='=R[0]C[2]/googlefinance(R[0]C[-2], "shares")'>4.27%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":28.5535242437}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.00T","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='=googlefinance(R[0]C[-3], "price")*googlefinance(R[0]C[-3], "shares")/1000000000000'>₩28.55T</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Lotte Chilsung Beverage"}'>Lotte Chilsung Beverage</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"005300"}' data-sheets-formula='="005300"'>005300</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44509}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy\". \"mm\". \"dd","3":1}'>2021. 11. 09</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.1056161495283269}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='=R[0]C[2]/googlefinance(R[0]C[-2], "shares")'>10.56%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1.456784788}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.00T","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='=googlefinance(R[0]C[-3], "price")*googlefinance(R[0]C[-3], "shares")/1000000000000'>₩1.46T</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Krafton"}'>Krafton</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":259960}'>259960</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44510}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy\". \"mm\". \"dd","3":1}'>2021. 11. 10</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.05515669660006972}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='=R[0]C[2]/googlefinance(R[0]C[-2], "shares")'>8.27%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":23.1295577625}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.00T","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='=googlefinance(R[0]C[-3], "price")*googlefinance(R[0]C[-3], "shares")/1000000000000'>₩23.13T</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"SK IE Technology"}'>SK IE Technology</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":361610}'>361610</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44511}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy\". \"mm\". \"dd","3":1}'>2021. 11. 11</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.7000236417521647}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='=R[0]C[2]/googlefinance(R[0]C[-2], "shares")'>70.00%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":13.796084052}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.00T","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='=googlefinance(R[0]C[-3], "price")*googlefinance(R[0]C[-3], "shares")/1000000000000'>₩13.80T</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Kyung Dong Navien"}'>Kyung Dong Navien</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"009450"}' data-sheets-formula='="009450"'>009450</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44517}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy\". \"mm\". \"dd","3":1}'>2021. 11. 17</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.06394834737624341}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='=R[0]C[2]/googlefinance(R[0]C[-2], "shares")'>6.39%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.889749342}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.00T","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='=googlefinance(R[0]C[-3], "price")*googlefinance(R[0]C[-3], "shares")/1000000000000'>₩0.89T</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Hanjin Transportation"}'>Hanjin Transportation</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"002320"}' data-sheets-formula='="002320"'>002320</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44519}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy\". \"mm\". \"dd","3":1}'>2021. 11. 19</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.03947114552221931}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='=R[0]C[2]/googlefinance(R[0]C[-2], "shares")'>3.95%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.5291460312}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.00T","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='=googlefinance(R[0]C[-3], "price")*googlefinance(R[0]C[-3], "shares")/1000000000000'>₩0.53T</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Meritz Fire &amp; Marine Insurance Co Ltd"}'>Meritz Fire &amp; Marine Insurance</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"000060"}' data-sheets-formula='="000060"'>000060</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44527}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy\". \"mm\". \"dd","3":1}'>2021. 11. 27</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.05761658031088083}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='=R[0]C[2]/googlefinance(R[0]C[-2], "shares")'>5.76%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":3.50415625}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.00T","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='=googlefinance(R[0]C[-3], "price")*googlefinance(R[0]C[-3], "shares")/1000000000000'>₩3.50T</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value="{&quot;1&quot;:2,&quot;2&quot;:&quot;T'way Air Co Ltd&quot;}">T'way Air</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"091810"}' data-sheets-formula='="091810"'>091810</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44528}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"yyyy\". \"mm\". \"dd","3":1}'>2021. 11. 28</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.016133377130316148}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='=R[0]C[2]/googlefinance(R[0]C[-2], "shares")'>1.61%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.44021781321}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.00T","3":1}' data-sheets-formula='=googlefinance(R[0]C[-3], "price")*googlefinance(R[0]C[-3], "shares")/1000000000000'>₩0.44T</td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="5" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: KRX"}'>Source: KRX</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table>

Below is the lockup release schedule and volume of noteworthy KOSPI stocks from this week to the end of next month.This time around, there are quite a few stocks with significant volume releases among the top stocks by market cap. These are the large-cap stocks (a market cap of ₩10T or higher) that deserve our special attention:
Shinhan Financial (055550 KS)
KakaoBank (323410 KS)

 Krafton Inc (259960 KS) 

SK IE Technology (361610 KS) 










Major lockup releases
Ticker
Release date
% of SO
Market cap


SK Rent A Car
068400
2021. 10. 19
24.36%
₩0.57T


Shinhan Financial Group
055550
2021. 10. 20
7.57%
₩20.15T


Kakao Bank
323410
2021. 11. 08
4.27%
₩28.55T


Lotte Chilsung Beverage
005300
2021. 11. 09
10.56%
₩1.46T


Krafton
259960
2021. 11. 10
8.27%
₩23.13T


SK IE Technology
361610
2021. 11. 11
70.00%
₩13.80T


Kyung Dong Navien
009450
2021. 11. 17
6.39%
₩0.89T


Hanjin Transportation
002320
2021. 11. 19
3.95%
₩0.53T


Meritz Fire &amp; Marine Insurance
000060
2021. 11. 27
5.76%
₩3.50T


T'way Air
091810
2021. 11. 28
1.61%
₩0.44T

Source: KRX



KOSPI Major Lockup Releases: Kakao Bank, Krafton, SKIET, & Shinhan Financial

In this insight, we discuss 10 different mean reversion pair trade ideas among the 6 major banks in Korea. The six major banks have had solid share price performances this year as their share prices are up on average 23.5% YTD, outperforming the market. The overall trend among these different Korean banks' share prices (in terms of the % daily difference in the gaps of their share prices) has been consolidating.  Our data sample covers 246 trading days in the past year. An example of the pair trade idea is between <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kb-financial-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:718:1" rel="noopener">KB Financial (105560 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinhan-financial-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6978:1" rel="noopener">Shinhan Financial (055550 KS). </a>In the past year, there were four trading days when the daily change in the difference between two stocks exceeded 15% and three trading days when the daily change in the difference between two stocks exceeded -10%. In the past several weeks, the gap in the difference between two stocks has been consolidating and there does not appear to be noticeable mean reversion trading opportunity on this pair trade right now.Trading idea: Look to put a mean reversion pair trade (long-short) if and when the daily change in the difference between the two stocks exceed either 15% or -10%.

In this insight, we discuss 10 different mean reversion pair trade ideas among the 6 major banks in Korea. The six major banks have had solid share price performances this year as their share prices are up on average 23.5% YTD, outperforming the market. The overall trend among these different Korean banks' share prices (in terms of the % daily difference in the gaps of their share prices) has been consolidating.  Our data sample covers 246 trading days in the past year. An example of the pair trade idea is between KB Financial (105560 KS) and Shinhan Financial (055550 KS). In the past year, there were four trading days when the daily change in the difference between two stocks exceeded 15% and three trading days when the daily change in the difference between two stocks exceeded -10%. In the past several weeks, the gap in the difference between two stocks has been consolidating and there does not appear to be noticeable mean reversion trading opportunity on this pair trade right now.Trading idea: Look to put a mean reversion pair trade (long-short) if and when the daily change in the difference between the two stocks exceed either 15% or -10%. 

Mean Reversion Pair Trade Ideas in the Korean Banking Sector

<div class="content-highlight">
In this insight, we discuss the risk vs. reward of Kakao Bank shares after the sharp appreciation of its share price post IPO. Kakao Bank's share price has appreciated to 78,500 won, up 101% from the IPO price of 39,000 won. Kakao Bank's market cap has ballooned to 37.3 trillion won.
Kakao Bank has now become the 10th largest stock in KOSPI. Kakao Bank's market cap is now similar to the combined market caps of the two largest banking groups in Korea including <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kb-financial-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:718:1" rel="noopener">KB Financial (105560 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinhan-financial-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6978:1" rel="noopener">Shinhan Financial (055550 KS)</a> - 42 trillion won. After this sharp appreciation, we believe that the risk-reward ratio of Kakao Bank is no longer attractive and change our view on the company to NEGATIVE.  
</div>


In this insight, we discuss the risk vs. reward of Kakao Bank shares after the sharp appreciation of its share price post IPO. Kakao Bank's share price has appreciated to 78,500 won, up 101% from the IPO price of 39,000 won. Kakao Bank's market cap has ballooned to 37.3 trillion won.
Kakao Bank has now become the 10th largest stock in KOSPI. Kakao Bank's market cap is now similar to the combined market caps of the two largest banking groups in Korea including KB Financial (105560 KS) and Shinhan Financial (055550 KS) - 42 trillion won. After this sharp appreciation, we believe that the risk-reward ratio of Kakao Bank is no longer attractive and change our view on the company to NEGATIVE.  


South Korea

Shinhan Financial Group Co., Ltd., a holding company, provides a full range of consumer and commercial banking-related financial services.  The company's main businesses include banking, securities brokerage, trust banking, and assets management to individuals, businesses, and other financial institutions.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Shinhan Financial Group Adr (SHG US)

ETF Market Growth in Korea & Breakdown of the Best Performing Sector/Thematic ETFs in Korea YTD

In this insight, we provide the recent trends of the ETF market size growth as well as the breakdown of the best performing sector/thematic ETFs in...

Douglas Kim

KT Corp: Near 6% Dividend Yield, Stock Swap with Shinhan Bank, IPO of K-Bank, & Shift to Value

We discuss major catalysts/investment highlights of KT including near 6% dividend yield, recent stock swap with Shinhan Bank, shift to value,...

Douglas Kim

KOSPI Major Lockup Releases: Kakao Bank, Krafton, SKIET, & Shinhan Financial

This post contains the lockup release schedule and volume of KOSPI stocks from this week to next month. These four stocks deserve special...

Sanghyun Park

Mean Reversion Pair Trade Ideas in the Korean Banking Sector

In this insight, we discuss 10 different mean reversion pair trade ideas among the 6 major banks in Korea.Our data sample covers 246 trading days...

Douglas Kim

Kakao Bank - Risk Vs. Reward Post IPO

After this sharp appreciation, we believe that the risk-reward ratio of Kakao Bank is no longer attractive and change our view on the company to...

Douglas Kim

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)