Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 134 stocks over the last week.</li>
<li>Consumer discretionary, consumer staple and health care sectors lower the overall A/H premium. </li>
<li>Real estate and industrials sectors are the only two sectors with WoW A/H premium increases.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 134 stocks over the last week.
Consumer discretionary, consumer staple and health care sectors lower the overall A/H premium. 
Real estate and industrials sectors are the only two sectors with WoW A/H premium increases.


A/H Premium Weekly: Consumer and Health Care Lowered A/H Premium

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guangzhou-baiyunshan-pharmaceutical-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:276:1" rel="noopener">Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings (874 HK)</a>, mainly relying on Wang Lao Ji and Jin Ge for performance contribution, is relatively weak in risk resistance compared with other biopharmaceutical companies.</li>
<li>With the promotion of medical reform policies such as VBP, Baiyunshan’s weaknesses of R&amp;D and innovation that support the business transition would be more prominent.</li>
<li>Baiyunshan may lack the core competitiveness for future development. Therefore, we are conservative about its outlook, but investors could still trade this stock when the whole TCM sector moves up.</li>
</ul>



Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings (874 HK), mainly relying on Wang Lao Ji and Jin Ge for performance contribution, is relatively weak in risk resistance compared with other biopharmaceutical companies.
With the promotion of medical reform policies such as VBP, Baiyunshan’s weaknesses of R&amp;D and innovation that support the business transition would be more prominent.
Baiyunshan may lack the core competitiveness for future development. Therefore, we are conservative about its outlook, but investors could still trade this stock when the whole TCM sector moves up.


Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings (874.HK) - Conservative About the Outlook

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) / Event-Driven

<div><p>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> consists of stocks from the Shanghai Stock Exchange and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange and is one of the most widely tracked A-share indices with passive tracking products listed in multiple markets globally. There are CFFEX listed futures that are actively traded as well.</p></div><div>
<p>China Securities Index Co (CSI) will most likely announce the changes for the December rebalance after market close on 26 November and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 10 December.</p>
<p>The review period ended on 29 October and we see 26 potential changes at the December rebalance. Of these, 23 are high probability changes with another 3 likely to take place.</p>
<p>Since our last Insight a month ago, the potential inclusions have outperformed the potential deletion by 13% with the inclusions rising on average and the deletions dropping on average. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> was flat over the period. We recommend trimming positions and waiting for an opportunity to re-enter the trade at lower levels in the next couple of weeks.</p>
</div>

The Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX) consists of stocks from the Shanghai Stock Exchange and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange and is one of the most widely tracked A-share indices with passive tracking products listed in multiple markets globally. There are CFFEX listed futures that are actively traded as well.
China Securities Index Co (CSI) will most likely announce the changes for the December rebalance after market close on 26 November and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 10 December.
The review period ended on 29 October and we see 26 potential changes at the December rebalance. Of these, 23 are high probability changes with another 3 likely to take place.
Since our last Insight a month ago, the potential inclusions have outperformed the potential deletion by 13% with the inclusions rising on average and the deletions dropping on average. The Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX) was flat over the period. We recommend trimming positions and waiting for an opportunity to re-enter the trade at lower levels in the next couple of weeks.


CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview (Dec 2021): It Was A Good Entry Point

<div><p>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> consists of stocks from the Shanghai Stock Exchange and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange and is one of the most widely tracked A-share indices with passive tracking products listed in multiple markets globally. There are CFFEX listed futures that trade actively as well.</p></div><div>
<p>China Securities Index Co (CSI) will announce the changes for the December rebalance at the end of  November or beginning December and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 10 December.</p>
<p>Half way through the review period that runs from May to October, we see 26 changes at the upcoming December 2021 review. Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 9.24% and will result in a one-way trade of just shy of US$3bn.</p>
<p>The Information Technology and Materials sectors gain 4 spots each in the index while Financials are the biggest losers with 7 spots gone.</p>
<p>The potential inclusions have outperformed the potential exclusions and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> by a wide margin on a year to date basis. We recommend building up positions gradually and scaling in on a correction.</p>
</div>

The Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX) consists of stocks from the Shanghai Stock Exchange and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange and is one of the most widely tracked A-share indices with passive tracking products listed in multiple markets globally. There are CFFEX listed futures that trade actively as well.
China Securities Index Co (CSI) will announce the changes for the December rebalance at the end of  November or beginning December and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 10 December.
Half way through the review period that runs from May to October, we see 26 changes at the upcoming December 2021 review. Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance is 9.24% and will result in a one-way trade of just shy of US$3bn.
The Information Technology and Materials sectors gain 4 spots each in the index while Financials are the biggest losers with 7 spots gone.
The potential inclusions have outperformed the potential exclusions and the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX) by a wide margin on a year to date basis. We recommend building up positions gradually and scaling in on a correction.


CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: Large Turnover as Potential Inclusions Keep Rallying

Equity Capital Markets

Guangzhou Pharmaceuticals Co Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<p>On March 31, 2021, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guangzhou-pharmaceuticals-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33005:1" rel="noopener">Guangzhou Pharmaceuticals Co Ltd (GPC HK)</a> submitted a prospectus to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, which means that Guangzhou Pharmaceuticals, the fifth largest pharmaceutical distributor nationwide and the largest pharmaceutical distributor in South China, would be listed in Hong Kong in the near future. It is also worth mentioning that, as the Company submitted the IPO application, the risk points of the Company also gradually emerged considering the current competition pattern, new policies and its business performance.</p>

On March 31, 2021, Guangzhou Pharmaceuticals Co Ltd (GPC HK) submitted a prospectus to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, which means that Guangzhou Pharmaceuticals, the fifth largest pharmaceutical distributor nationwide and the largest pharmaceutical distributor in South China, would be listed in Hong Kong in the near future. It is also worth mentioning that, as the Company submitted the IPO application, the risk points of the Company also gradually emerged considering the current competition pattern, new policies and its business performance.

Pre-IPO Guangzhou Pharmaceuticals - The Risk Points Gradually Emerged

China

Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding Co., Ltd manufactures pharmaceuticals. The Company develops and sells chemical and Chinese traditional medicines, healthcare products, and other products. Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding markets its products throughout China.

Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding (601607 CH)

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Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding (601607 CH)

A/H Premium Weekly: Consumer and Health Care Lowered A/H Premium

We highlight that the consumer discretionary, consumer staple and health care sectors are the biggest driver for lower A/H premium WoW.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings (874.HK) - Conservative About the Outlook

This insight analyzed Baiyunshan’s 2021Q3 performance, the core business segments, the comparison with peers, the concerns on business transition,...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview (Dec 2021): It Was A Good Entry Point

We forecast 26 changes to the CSI300 Index at the December rebalance. The inclusions outperformed the deletions by 13% in October. Trim positions...

Brian Freitas

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: Large Turnover as Potential Inclusions Keep Rallying

Half way through the review period, we see 26 changes to the CSI300 Index. Estimated one-way turnover is 9%+ & would result in a one way trade of...

Brian Freitas

Pre-IPO Guangzhou Pharmaceuticals - The Risk Points Gradually Emerged

As Guangzhou Pharmaceuticals submitted the IPO application, the risk points emerged considering the competition pattern, new policies and business...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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