HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The executive meeting of State Council has indicated the future direction of China healthcare industry- With the expansion of the VBP scope, the traditional sales mode will be hit hard.</li>
<li>The pricing system of innovative drugs in national medical insurance negotiation has its logic actually. It could provide enterprises with reasonable profits, but not significant profits or exponential growth.</li>
<li>The approval results of FDA on products of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/legend-biotech-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28963:1" rel="noopener">Legend Biotech (LEGN US)</a> and Junshi could allow investors to have a better judgment on the logic of internationalization of domestic innovative drugs.</li>
</ul>


The executive meeting of State Council has indicated the future direction of China healthcare industry- With the expansion of the VBP scope, the traditional sales mode will be hit hard.
The pricing system of innovative drugs in national medical insurance negotiation has its logic actually. It could provide enterprises with reasonable profits, but not significant profits or exponential growth.
The approval results of FDA on products of Legend Biotech (LEGN US) and Junshi could allow investors to have a better judgment on the logic of internationalization of domestic innovative drugs.


China Healthcare Weekly (Feb.18)-VBP Expansion, China Drug Pricing System,FDA Approval,Junshi/Legend

<ul>
<li>Despite the rational return, the healthcare industry is constantly optimized and adjusted under the guidance of policy and would finally achieve a new balance. So, we are still highly bullish.</li>
<li>We analyzed the investment logic and related investment opportunities in sectors such as medical device, TCM, biotech and CXO.</li>
<li>The valuation of China healthcare sector has entered an attractive range. So, for long-term players, it is recommended to consider to long some high-quality assets at a good cost. </li>
</ul>


Despite the rational return, the healthcare industry is constantly optimized and adjusted under the guidance of policy and would finally achieve a new balance. So, we are still highly bullish.
We analyzed the investment logic and related investment opportunities in sectors such as medical device, TCM, biotech and CXO.
The valuation of China healthcare sector has entered an attractive range. So, for long-term players, it is recommended to consider to long some high-quality assets at a good cost. 


Presentation for Webinar: China Healthcare - Outlook and Opportunities in 2022

<ul>
<li>Recently, the “14th Five-year Plan” for the construction of China's medical beauty standard system was released. We analyzed the impact on related companies.</li>
<li>As <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-apptec" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23679:1" rel="noopener">Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK)</a> was included in "unverified list", its share price tumbled. So, it’s extremely urgent for China to realize autonomous control of important upstream raw materials and equipment. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innovent-biologics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27452:1" rel="noopener">Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK)</a> should hold additional clinical trials to back its biologics application for Sintilimab (PD-1), indicating that the FDA’s attitude has changed.</li>
</ul>


Recently, the “14th Five-year Plan” for the construction of China's medical beauty standard system was released. We analyzed the impact on related companies.
As Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK) was included in "unverified list", its share price tumbled. So, it’s extremely urgent for China to realize autonomous control of important upstream raw materials and equipment. 

Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK) should hold additional clinical trials to back its biologics application for Sintilimab (PD-1), indicating that the FDA’s attitude has changed.


China Healthcare Weekly (Feb.11)- “14th Five-Year Plan” For Medical Beauty, Wuxi Biologics, Innovent

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Lepu Biopharma is a biotech spin-off of A-share listed Lepu Medical. The company launched book building to raise up to USD 120m via a Hong Kong listing.</li>
<li>In our previous note, we look at the company's core products, including HX008, LP002, MRG003 and MRG002. The products have their own differentiating factors to tackle the intense competition.</li>
<li>In this note, we provide an update for the book building. We will run the deal through our ECM framework and provide an update on the deal.</li>
</ul>


Lepu Biopharma is a biotech spin-off of A-share listed Lepu Medical. The company launched book building to raise up to USD 120m via a Hong Kong listing.
In our previous note, we look at the company's core products, including HX008, LP002, MRG003 and MRG002. The products have their own differentiating factors to tackle the intense competition.
In this note, we provide an update for the book building. We will run the deal through our ECM framework and provide an update on the deal.


Lepu Biopharma (乐普生物科技) IPO: Sentiment Cooled Down

<ul>
<li>The MPP announced that it has signed agreements with 27 generic manufacturing companies including several Chinese companies for the manufacturing of molnupiravir and supply in 105 low- and-middle-income countries.</li>
<li>The profit margin would be limited because of its public benefit purpose. Therefore, it may not be able to bring huge incremental performance to the relevant domestic pharmaceutical companies.</li>
<li>The future risks and concerns on Merck's molnupiravir should also not be neglected. So, investors are advised to view this agreement with MPP rationally.</li>
</ul>


The MPP announced that it has signed agreements with 27 generic manufacturing companies including several Chinese companies for the manufacturing of molnupiravir and supply in 105 low- and-middle-income countries.
The profit margin would be limited because of its public benefit purpose. Therefore, it may not be able to bring huge incremental performance to the relevant domestic pharmaceutical companies.
The future risks and concerns on Merck's molnupiravir should also not be neglected. So, investors are advised to view this agreement with MPP rationally.


Would the Cheap Versions of Oral COVID-19 Antiviral Bring New Opportunities for Chinese Companies?

China

Shanghai Junshi Biosciences Co., Ltd. operates as a biopharmaceutical company. The Company develops and sells small molecule drugs, antibody drug conjugates, and other products. Shanghai Junshi Biosciences markets its products worldwide.

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Shanghai Junshi Biosciences (1877 HK)

China Healthcare Weekly (Feb.18)-VBP Expansion, China Drug Pricing System,FDA Approval,Junshi/Legend

We analyzed the VBP scope expansion and logic of drug pricing system in medical insurance negotiation.FDA's attitude on Legend Bio&Junshi's...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Presentation for Webinar: China Healthcare - Outlook and Opportunities in 2022

We review the important events since 2021H1 and keep bullish on China healthcare outlook.We also analyzed investment logic and opportunities in...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Feb.11)- “14th Five-Year Plan” For Medical Beauty, Wuxi Biologics, Innovent

We analyzed the “14th Five-year Plan” for medical beauty, the impact of WuXi Bio after being included in "unverified list" and the prospects of...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Lepu Biopharma (乐普生物科技) IPO: Sentiment Cooled Down

Downsized deal amid cooled sentiment for Chapter 18A, we think the valuation of Lepu Biopharm is not attractive for investors.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Would the Cheap Versions of Oral COVID-19 Antiviral Bring New Opportunities for Chinese Companies?

Some Chinese companies are allowed to make cheap versions of Merck’s molnupiravir based on the MPP agreement.We analyzed the impact and outlook,...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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