Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Four years ago, almost to the day, Bloomberg ran an article, "China Merchants Group Ltd. is exploring taking China Merchants Port Holdings private". <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-merchants-port-holdings-company-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15155:1" rel="noopener">China Merchants Ports (144 HK)</a> popped 23%.</li>
<li>CMP gave back (most) of that gain a month later. Shares are up just ~10% since. </li>
<li>CMP's implied stub is bouncing around a multi-year low; and the simple ratio (CMP/ <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-international-port-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14806:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai International Port Group (600018 CH)</a>) is around an all-time low.</li>
</ul>


Four years ago, almost to the day, Bloomberg ran an article, "China Merchants Group Ltd. is exploring taking China Merchants Port Holdings private". China Merchants Ports (144 HK) popped 23%.
CMP gave back (most) of that gain a month later. Shares are up just ~10% since. 
CMP's implied stub is bouncing around a multi-year low; and the simple ratio (CMP/ Shanghai International Port Group (600018 CH)) is around an all-time low.


Revisiting China Merchants Ports (144 HK)

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>China-Latin America / In Depth: China-Latin America ties deepen amid boom in cross-border auto trade, e-commerce</li><li>Social security /: China to allow social security fund to buy domestic pension products, futures</li><li>Citic /: China picks new party chief for Citic Group</li></ul>

China-Latin America / In Depth: China-Latin America ties deepen amid boom in cross-border auto trade, e-commerceSocial security /: China to allow social security fund to buy domestic pension products, futuresCitic /: China picks new party chief for Citic Group

CX Daily: China-Latin America Ties Deepen Amid Boom in Cross-Border Auto Trade, E-Commerce 

Shanghai Jinjiang Shipping Group Co / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Shanghai Jinjiang Shipping Group Co. Ltd., the shipping business unit of Shanghai International Port Group, gained 58.6% in its trading debut in Shanghai after a 2.18 billion yuan ($306 million) initial public offering.</li><li>The container shipping service provider finished its first day of trading at 17.84 yuan a share, giving it a market cap of 23.1 billion yuan.</li><li>Jinjiang Shipping was spun off from the world’s largest container port operator for a separate listing on the mainboard of Shanghai stock exchange.</li></ul>

Shanghai Jinjiang Shipping Group Co. Ltd., the shipping business unit of Shanghai International Port Group, gained 58.6% in its trading debut in Shanghai after a 2.18 billion yuan ($306 million) initial public offering.The container shipping service provider finished its first day of trading at 17.84 yuan a share, giving it a market cap of 23.1 billion yuan.Jinjiang Shipping was spun off from the world’s largest container port operator for a separate listing on the mainboard of Shanghai stock exchange.

Shanghai Port’s Shipping Service Spinoff Surges 58.6% in Strong Debut 

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Technical Analysis

Emerging market equities have been one of the worst areas to invest in 2021, but we see early signs of positive change. With the US dollar failing to break above resistance at $93.50 and the MSCI EM ETF (EEM-US) displaying a false breakdown at $52, we believe now is an opportune time to add exposure to emerging market equities. To be clear, we are not getting overly bullish on EM; we have favored developed int’l (EAFE) over EM since May, and we are now shifting back to a neutral stance between the two. We see reason to believe the tide is shifting in EM’s favor. Below we highlight attractive and actionable themes within EM.

Emerging market equities have been one of the worst areas to invest in 2021, but we see early signs of positive change. With the US dollar failing to break above resistance at $93.50 and the MSCI EM ETF (EEM-US) displaying a false breakdown at $52, we believe now is an opportune time to add exposure to emerging market equities. To be clear, we are not getting overly bullish on EM; we have favored developed int’l (EAFE) over EM since May, and we are now shifting back to a neutral stance between the two. We see reason to believe the tide is shifting in EM’s favor. Below we highlight attractive and actionable themes within EM.

Shifting Exposure To Emerging Markets; Buying TSMC/Taiwan Semi, ICICI Bank, Many Others

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Share price of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-merchants-port-holdings-company-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15155:1" rel="noopener">China Merchants Port (144 HK)</a> (CMPH) popped 23% today on the back of various media reports on its potential privatisation by ultimate parent China Merchants Group (CMG). This Insight adds to an earlier one by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/david-blennerhassett" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:840" rel="noopener">David Blennerhassett,</a> offering some additional perspectives on the possibility of a privatisation.In our view, a privatisation of CMPH is still a 50:50 scenario as there are other strategic angles that CMG may need to consider in addition to the depressed valuation.  Nonetheless, such speculation will be supporting CMPH's share price in the near term.

Share price of China Merchants Port (144 HK) (CMPH) popped 23% today on the back of various media reports on its potential privatisation by ultimate parent China Merchants Group (CMG). This Insight adds to an earlier one by David Blennerhassett, offering some additional perspectives on the possibility of a privatisation.In our view, a privatisation of CMPH is still a 50:50 scenario as there are other strategic angles that CMG may need to consider in addition to the depressed valuation.  Nonetheless, such speculation will be supporting CMPH's share price in the near term.

China Merchants Port (144 HK): Privatisation on the Cards?

China

Shanghai International Port (Group) Co., Ltd is a holding company that owns interests in container and port service companies.

Shanghai International Port Group (600018 CH)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Shanghai International Port Group (600018 CH)

Revisiting China Merchants Ports (144 HK)

For now, I would expect CMG to continue to chip away at CMP (144 HK)'s minorities - it currently holds 72.02%, up from 63.09% when the...

David Blennerhassett

CX Daily: China-Latin America Ties Deepen Amid Boom in Cross-Border Auto Trade, E-Commerce

China-Latin America / In Depth: China-Latin America ties deepen amid boom in cross-border auto trade, e-commerce Twenty-five kilometers north of...

Caixin Global

Shanghai Port’s Shipping Service Spinoff Surges 58.6% in Strong Debut

Shanghai Jinjiang Shipping Group Co. Ltd. , the shipping business unit of Shanghai International Port Group, gained 58.6% in its trading debut in...

Caixin Global

Shifting Exposure To Emerging Markets; Buying TSMC/Taiwan Semi, ICICI Bank, Many Others

We see early signs of positive change within EM, and we present a strong case as to why we believe now is an opportune time to add exposure.

Vermilion Research

China Merchants Port (144 HK): Privatisation on the Cards?

Share price of China Merchants Port (144 HK) (CMPH) popped 23% today on the back of various media reports on its potential privatisation by...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)