HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

1. Industry viewpoints:<ul>
<li>A related news has been released this week that in 2021, China’s new intensive procurement policy would be applied to orthopedic implant consumables.</li>
<li>With the growth of China's pharmaceutical market, more and more innovative companies focusing on gene therapy are emerging in China, bringing market opportunities for CDMO on gene therapy.</li>
<li>As a financial tool, Commercial insurance will become a key part of pharmaceutical enterprises' marketing to support and maintain patient relationship in the future.</li>
</ul>2. Company news:News about the progress of new drugs and COVID-19 vaccine from Hengrui, Innovent Biologics and Fosun Pharma.3. Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share decreased 2.92%, while CSI 300 increased 0.76% over the same period of time.4. Risk Disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

1. Industry viewpoints:
A related news has been released this week that in 2021, China’s new intensive procurement policy would be applied to orthopedic implant consumables.
With the growth of China's pharmaceutical market, more and more innovative companies focusing on gene therapy are emerging in China, bringing market opportunities for CDMO on gene therapy.
As a financial tool, Commercial insurance will become a key part of pharmaceutical enterprises' marketing to support and maintain patient relationship in the future.
2. Company news:News about the progress of new drugs and COVID-19 vaccine from Hengrui, Innovent Biologics and Fosun Pharma.3. Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share decreased 2.92%, while CSI 300 increased 0.76% over the same period of time.4. Risk Disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Gland Pharma Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gland-pharma-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29723:1" rel="noopener">Gland Pharma (7172753Z IN)</a> raised around US$900m in one of India’s largest IPOs in 2020. The company was established in 1978 by P.V.N. Raju. KKR invested in the company in 2014 and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-fosun-pharmaceutical-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8045:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical (Group) (2196 HK)</a> bought a 74% stake in the company in 2017. 
</div>
<div>
I have covered the background of the deal in my earlier note, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/gland-pharma-ipo-high-on-growth-but-low-on-details" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Gland Pharma IPO - High on Growth but Low on Details.</a>
In this note, I'll talk about the deal updates and provide a table with implied valuations at different share price levels.
</div>


Gland Pharma (7172753Z IN) raised around US$900m in one of India’s largest IPOs in 2020. The company was established in 1978 by P.V.N. Raju. KKR invested in the company in 2014 and Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical (Group) (2196 HK) bought a 74% stake in the company in 2017. 


I have covered the background of the deal in my earlier note, Gland Pharma IPO - High on Growth but Low on Details.
In this note, I'll talk about the deal updates and provide a table with implied valuations at different share price levels.


Gland Pharma IPO Trading - Squeezed Through, Now for the Real Test

1. Industry viewpoints:
<ul>
<li>As the population ages, it is expected that the domestic dental prosthesis market has a great potential for development.</li>
<li>In the future, the market of China medical beauty has a broad space for growth.</li>
<li>POCT (point-of-care testing) has gained popularity in recent years and has become one of the fastest growing IVD tracks.</li>
</ul>
2. Company news:
News from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beigene-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27352:1" rel="noopener">BeiGene Ltd (6160 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-fosun-pharmaceutical-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8045:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical (Group) (2196 HK)</a>, Aravive and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-healthcare-and-technology-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27008:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Healthcare and Technology Company Limited (1833 HK)</a> about the progress of new drugs, vaccine for COVID-19, new license agreement and the establishment of the Internet Eye Center.
3. Market review:
Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share decreased 1.23%, while CSI 300 decreased 0.59% over the same period of time. 
4. Risk Disclosure:
Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

1. Industry viewpoints:

As the population ages, it is expected that the domestic dental prosthesis market has a great potential for development.
In the future, the market of China medical beauty has a broad space for growth.
POCT (point-of-care testing) has gained popularity in recent years and has become one of the fastest growing IVD tracks.

2. Company news:
News from BeiGene Ltd (6160 HK) , Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical (Group) (2196 HK), Aravive and Ping An Healthcare and Technology Company Limited (1833 HK) about the progress of new drugs, vaccine for COVID-19, new license agreement and the establishment of the Internet Eye Center.
3. Market review:
Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share decreased 1.23%, while CSI 300 decreased 0.59% over the same period of time. 
4. Risk Disclosure:
Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group  / Event-Driven

The Hang Seng Indexes Company Limited (HSIL) announced the results of its review of the Hang Seng Family of Indexes post market close on 13 November. The constituent changes will be effective after the close of trading on 4 December.For the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX)</a>, there are 9 inclusions and 9 deletions.The inclusions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-health-information-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:453:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Health Information Technology (241 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-overseas-land-invest" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:419:1" rel="noopener">China Overseas Land &amp; Investment Ltd (688 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/semiconductor-manufacturing-international-corp-smic" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14231:1" rel="noopener">Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/evergrande-real-estate-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:479:1" rel="noopener">Evergrande Real Estate Group (3333 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hansoh-pharmaceutical-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23675:1" rel="noopener">Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-feihe-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24413:1" rel="noopener">China Feihe (6186 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haidilao-international-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27044:1" rel="noopener">Haidilao (6862 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com (HK) (9618 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/netease" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29030:1" rel="noopener">NetEase (9999 HK)</a>. The deletions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/want-want-china-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:355:1" rel="noopener">Want Want (151 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fosun-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:433:1" rel="noopener">Fosun International (656 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-telecom-corp-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1015:1" rel="noopener">China Telecom Corp Ltd (H) (728 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-taiping-insurance-hldgs-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:489:1" rel="noopener">China Taiping Insurance Hldgs (966 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-citic-bank-corp-ltd-ea6c25fd-4b20-45cb-a4a6-df7a60136f03" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:653:1" rel="noopener">China Citic Bank Corp Ltd H (998 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-shenhua-energy-co-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:382:1" rel="noopener">China Shenhua Energy Co H (1088 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-minsheng-banking-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8983:1" rel="noopener">China Minsheng Banking H (1988 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-vanke-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18368:1" rel="noopener">China Vanke Co Ltd (H) (2202 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/picc-property-casualty-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:350:1" rel="noopener">PICC Property &amp; Casualty H (2328 HK)</a>. One-way turnover is estimated at 10.21% and volumes at the closing auction on 4 December are going to be HUGE. Passive funds will need to trade between 1.5-4.5 days of ADV on the deletions and between 0.5-4 days of ADV on the inclusions.We had picked all 9 inclusions and exclusions, so there are no surprises in the review. That said, the probability of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hansoh-pharmaceutical-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23675:1" rel="noopener">Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK)</a> being included was the lowest since it was right at the cusp of inclusion, so there could be a pop at the open on Monday. Hansoh, at almost 4 days of ADV, has the biggest impact to buy from passive funds. The corresponding deletion was <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/picc-property-casualty-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:350:1" rel="noopener">PICC Property &amp; Casualty H (2328 HK)</a> and the stock could start trading lower on Monday.

The Hang Seng Indexes Company Limited (HSIL) announced the results of its review of the Hang Seng Family of Indexes post market close on 13 November. The constituent changes will be effective after the close of trading on 4 December.For the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX), there are 9 inclusions and 9 deletions.The inclusions are Alibaba Health Information Technology (241 HK), China Overseas Land &amp; Investment Ltd (688 HK), Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK), Evergrande Real Estate Group (3333 HK), Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK), China Feihe (6186 HK), Haidilao (6862 HK), JD.com (HK) (9618 HK) and NetEase (9999 HK). The deletions are Want Want (151 HK), Fosun International (656 HK), China Telecom Corp Ltd (H) (728 HK), China Taiping Insurance Hldgs (966 HK), China Citic Bank Corp Ltd H (998 HK), China Shenhua Energy Co H (1088 HK), China Minsheng Banking H (1988 HK), China Vanke Co Ltd (H) (2202 HK) and PICC Property &amp; Casualty H (2328 HK). One-way turnover is estimated at 10.21% and volumes at the closing auction on 4 December are going to be HUGE. Passive funds will need to trade between 1.5-4.5 days of ADV on the deletions and between 0.5-4 days of ADV on the inclusions.We had picked all 9 inclusions and exclusions, so there are no surprises in the review. That said, the probability of Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK) being included was the lowest since it was right at the cusp of inclusion, so there could be a pop at the open on Monday. Hansoh, at almost 4 days of ADV, has the biggest impact to buy from passive funds. The corresponding deletion was PICC Property &amp; Casualty H (2328 HK) and the stock could start trading lower on Monday.

HSCEI Index Rebalance: 9 Adds, 9 Deletes, BIG Turnover

1. Industry viewpoints: <ul>
<li>A new policy was released to clarify the scope and price of medical insurance payments for online healthcare service, which help open up the market scale of digital healthcare business.</li>
<li>Currently, some of the so-called "innovative drugs" in China are still far from real innovation, such as the PD-1 market.</li>
<li>Polypeptide drugs account for a small share in the global biomedical market, but they are developing rapidly.</li>
</ul>2. Company news:News from Wondfo Biotech, CSPC and Sino Biopharm about the new products for COVID-19 antigen tests, clinical progress on new category 1 drug and the new products that pass the consistency evaluation in China.3. Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share decreased 1.36%, while CSI 300 increased 4.05% over the same period of time.4. Risk Disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

1. Industry viewpoints: 
A new policy was released to clarify the scope and price of medical insurance payments for online healthcare service, which help open up the market scale of digital healthcare business.
Currently, some of the so-called "innovative drugs" in China are still far from real innovation, such as the PD-1 market.
Polypeptide drugs account for a small share in the global biomedical market, but they are developing rapidly.
2. Company news:News from Wondfo Biotech, CSPC and Sino Biopharm about the new products for COVID-19 antigen tests, clinical progress on new category 1 drug and the new products that pass the consistency evaluation in China.3. Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share decreased 1.36%, while CSI 300 increased 4.05% over the same period of time.4. Risk Disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

China

Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical (Group) Co., Ltd. is a pharmaceutical company. Through its subsidiaries, the Company manufactures genetic medicines, Chinese traditional medicines, diagnostic products, and medical instruments, provides technology, marketing, and advertising services, as well as invests in import and export trading.

Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical (Group) (600196 CH)

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Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical (Group) (600196 CH)

China Healthcare Weekly (Nov.27)

This article summarized the new healthcare policy released in China last week, major industry viewpoints, company news and capital market review of...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Gland Pharma IPO Trading - Squeezed Through, Now for the Real Test

Gland Pharma raised around US$900m in one of India’s largest IPOs in 2020. The company was established in 1978. KKR invested in 2014 and Fosun...

Sumeet Singh

China Healthcare Weekly (Nov.13)

The article summarized the major industry viewpoints, company news and capital market review for China healthcare industry in the week of November...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

HSCEI Index Rebalance: 9 Adds, 9 Deletes, BIG Turnover

There are 9 adds and 9 deletes in the upcoming HSCEI rebalance. Turnover at 10%+ is big and there is a lot of short interest on names. The momentum...

Brian Freitas

China Healthcare Weekly (Nov.6)

This article summarized the new healthcare policy released in China, major industry viewpoints, company news and capital markets review for the...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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