Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Numerous reports indicate that Seven &amp; I is preparing its Sogo Seibu department store subsidiary for sale. </li>
<li>This follows years of calls from major investors to dispose of underperforming assets at Japan’s second largest retail conglomerate.</li>
<li>Seven &amp; I still has many problems to solve in its domestic business. Ito-Yokado remains the biggest problem but perhaps won't be disposed of while the company's 98-year old founder lives.</li>
</ul>


Numerous reports indicate that Seven &amp; I is preparing its Sogo Seibu department store subsidiary for sale. 
This follows years of calls from major investors to dispose of underperforming assets at Japan’s second largest retail conglomerate.
Seven &amp; I still has many problems to solve in its domestic business. Ito-Yokado remains the biggest problem but perhaps won't be disposed of while the company's 98-year old founder lives.


Seven & I: Selling Sogo Seibu Is Just the Start

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>If <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:147:1" rel="noopener">BHP Group (BHP AU)</a> announces an off-market buyback, there will be demand to replace the shares bought back, re-based higher.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-of-east-asia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:341:1" rel="noopener">Bank of East Asia (23 HK)</a>is trading cheap as Elliott throws in the towel.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sydney-airport" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19063:1" rel="noopener">Sydney Airport (SYD AU)</a> selldown could be larger than people expect, and it is a decent chance to put on the arb trade. </li>
</ul>


If BHP Group (BHP AU) announces an off-market buyback, there will be demand to replace the shares bought back, re-based higher.

Bank of East Asia (23 HK)is trading cheap as Elliott throws in the towel.
The Sydney Airport (SYD AU) selldown could be larger than people expect, and it is a decent chance to put on the arb trade. 


Last Week in Event SPACE: BHP, Bank Of East Asia, Sydney Airport, Boral

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a> is down 2.71% today following the company’s response to ValueAct’s public letter.</li>
<li>We think this share price move is unwarranted and driven by a false interpretation that Seven &amp; I’s response is a rebuttal.</li>
<li>Therefore, we would be using this as an opportunity to add more Seven &amp; I shares.</li>
</ul>



Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP) is down 2.71% today following the company’s response to ValueAct’s public letter.
We think this share price move is unwarranted and driven by a false interpretation that Seven &amp; I’s response is a rebuttal.
Therefore, we would be using this as an opportunity to add more Seven &amp; I shares.


Seven & I’s Response: Dispels Accusations But Gives in to ValueAct’s Demands

Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

<ul>
<li>After initially grinding up slowly but underperforming the Nikkei our suggested skew trade gave up ground during the new year sell off.</li>
<li>It did so slowly, however and was outperforming Nikkei when last we checked despite being down slightly. </li>
<li>Thankfully, a lot of the idiosyncratic volatility hurting the skew trade has reversed now and it is positive and outperforming Nikkei consistently.</li>
</ul>


After initially grinding up slowly but underperforming the Nikkei our suggested skew trade gave up ground during the new year sell off.
It did so slowly, however and was outperforming Nikkei when last we checked despite being down slightly. 
Thankfully, a lot of the idiosyncratic volatility hurting the skew trade has reversed now and it is positive and outperforming Nikkei consistently.


TOPIX-Nikkei Skew Trade Starting to Work Nicely

Equity Bottom-Up

Pan Pacific International Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>With momentum behind defensive/semi defensive names in the Japanese market, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pan-pacific-international-holdings-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13475:1" rel="noopener">Pan Pacific International Holdings (7532 JP)</a>’ seems to have one of the best risk reward ratios among Japanese retail players.</li>
<li>PPI’s undervaluation is visible in valuation multiples across the board with all multiples trading near the past 10-year low level.</li>
<li>Thus, we would buy PPI with a target of 40% upside in the short term.</li>
</ul>


With momentum behind defensive/semi defensive names in the Japanese market, Pan Pacific International Holdings (7532 JP)’ seems to have one of the best risk reward ratios among Japanese retail players.
PPI’s undervaluation is visible in valuation multiples across the board with all multiples trading near the past 10-year low level.
Thus, we would buy PPI with a target of 40% upside in the short term.


Pan Pacific International Valuation: All Signs Points to a Large Upside in the Short Term

Japan

Seven & i Holdings Co., Ltd. is a holding company which was established through the merger of Ito-Yokado Co., Seven Eleven Japan Co., and Denny's Japan. The Company plans, manages, and operates mainly convenience stores, supermarkets, and department stores.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP)

Seven & I: Selling Sogo Seibu Is Just the Start

Seven & I could be one of Japan's most profitable retailers – in part because one if its parts already is. The problem is the rest of the group but...

Michael Causton

Last Week in Event SPACE: BHP, Bank Of East Asia, Sydney Airport, Boral

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Seven & I’s Response: Dispels Accusations But Gives in to ValueAct’s Demands

Seven & I’s real response is that they are fully giving in to ValueAct’s demands. With media falsely thinking that this response is a rebuttal,...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

TOPIX-Nikkei Skew Trade Starting to Work Nicely

After initially grinding up slowly but underperforming the Nikkei our suggested skew trade gave up ground during the new year sell off. It is now...

Mio Kato

Pan Pacific International Valuation: All Signs Points to a Large Upside in the Short Term

With momentum shifting positive, we think PPI has the largest upside potential among the Japanese semi defensive names with a possible 40% upside...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)