Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-beverage-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3656:1" rel="noopener">Thai Beverage (THBEV SP)</a> is proposing to take 64.67%-held <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sermsuk-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15918:1" rel="noopener">Sermsuk PCL (SSC TB)</a>  private by way of a voluntary Delisting Offer.</li>
<li>T<a href="https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/Tender_Offer_SSC_Shares.ashx?App=Announcement&amp;FileID=808724" target="_blank" rel="noopener">he Offer price is THB 63/share</a>, a 27.9% premium to last close.</li>
<li>This Delisting Offer requires a Scheme-like shareholder vote. Payment may occur late 4Q24. This is an illiquid arb.</li>
</ul>



Thai Beverage (THBEV SP) is proposing to take 64.67%-held Sermsuk PCL (SSC TB)  private by way of a voluntary Delisting Offer.
The Offer price is THB 63/share, a 27.9% premium to last close.
This Delisting Offer requires a Scheme-like shareholder vote. Payment may occur late 4Q24. This is an illiquid arb.


Sermsuk (SSC TB): THBEV's Delisting Offer

Making sense of the Global Market, Euromonitor International Ltd.

Yu Mitsuhashi

Making sense of the Global Market

Euromonitor International Ltd.

We are a global market research company focused on industries, countries, economies and consumers worldwide. Our cross-country comparable research helps your organisation identify opportunities and develop growth strategies in countries and regions across the globe. With offices around the world, 1,200 analysts in 100 countries and market research on every key trend and driver, we give you powerful access to the real story behind consumer change.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h2>Headlines</h2><ul>
<li>Apparel accessories increases by 3% in current value terms in 2016, to reach THB11.2 billion</li>
<li>Outbound tourists support the demand for apparel accessories</li>
<li>Scarves posts the highest current value growth in apparel accessories in 2016</li>
<li>ICC International and H&amp;M Hennes &amp; Mauritz hold the leading positions in apparel accessories in 2016</li>
<li>Apparel accessories is expected to see a value CAGR of 2% at constant 2016 prices in the forecast period, to reach THB12.3 billion in 2021</li>
</ul><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/021/580/original/Market%20size%20apparel%20accessories%20-%20thailand%202011-2016.png?1488163389" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="21580"></figure><h2>Competitive Landscape</h2><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/021/581/original/company%20sahres%20apparel%20accessories%20thailand%20retail.png?1488163453" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="21581"></figure>…

Headlines
Apparel accessories increases by 3% in current value terms in 2016, to reach THB11.2 billion
Outbound tourists support the demand for apparel accessories
Scarves posts the highest current value growth in apparel accessories in 2016
ICC International and H&amp;M Hennes &amp; Mauritz hold the leading positions in apparel accessories in 2016
Apparel accessories is expected to see a value CAGR of 2% at constant 2016 prices in the forecast period, to reach THB12.3 billion in 2021
Competitive Landscape…

Sector Capsule: Apparel Accessories in Thailand

<ul>
<li>I tally 52 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Five new deals this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/de-grey-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6192:1" rel="noopener">De Grey Mining (DEG AU)</a>'s scrip merger; and cash Offers for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27983:1" rel="noopener">ESR (1821 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hkbn-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:289:1" rel="noopener">HKBN (1310 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lifestyle-china-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26090" rel="noopener">Lifestyle China (2136 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suntec-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:151:1" rel="noopener">Suntec (SUN SP)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates/news took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/latin-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8770:1" rel="noopener">Latin Resources (LRS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hotel-property-investments" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9850:1" rel="noopener">Hotel Property Investments (HPI AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sg-fleet-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13984:1" rel="noopener">Sg Fleet (SGF AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/malaysia-airports-holdings-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:117:1" rel="noopener">Malaysia Airports (MAHB MK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/greatview-aseptic-packaging" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10802:1" rel="noopener">Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mphb-capital-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8540:1" rel="noopener">MPHB (MPHB MK)</a>.
</li>
</ul>


I tally 52 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Five new deals this week: De Grey Mining (DEG AU)'s scrip merger; and cash Offers for ESR (1821 HK), HKBN (1310 HK), Lifestyle China (2136 HK), and Suntec (SUN SP).
Key updates/news took place on: Latin Resources (LRS AU), Hotel Property Investments (HPI AU), Sg Fleet (SGF AU), Malaysia Airports (MAHB MK), Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK), and MPHB (MPHB MK).



(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: De Grey Mining, HPI, SG Fleet, Malaysia Airports, MPHB, Suntec REIT

<ul>
<li>For the month of November 2024, 14 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$15bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in November was ~44%. The average premium YTD is ~43%.</li>
<li>This compares to the average premium for transactions in 2023 (117 transactions), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) of 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.</li>
</ul>


For the month of November 2024, 14 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$15bn.
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in November was ~44%. The average premium YTD is ~43%.
This compares to the average premium for transactions in 2023 (117 transactions), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) of 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.


(Mostly) Asia M&A, Nov 2024: Net One System, Amcor/Berry, I D & E Holdings, SG Fleet, Macromill

Keisei Electric Railway Co / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Remain BULLISH <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keisei-electric-railway-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10876:1" rel="noopener">Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP) </a> with low conviction. This is buying on narrative rather than fundamentals but there is no need to not get involved.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vitasoy-intl-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2807:1" rel="noopener">Vitasoy Intl Holdings (345 HK)</a>'s share price run up is excessive as Philip Ng and<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yeo-hiap-seng-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9051:1" rel="noopener">Yeo Hiap Seng (YHS SP)</a> over-extend their hand.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nec-networks-system-integr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16396:1" rel="noopener">Nec Networks (1973 JP)</a> has yet to trade below terms. The premium is small, perhaps reflecting the risk NEC will lower the minimum threshold. But there is still a fight here.</li>
</ul>


Remain BULLISH Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP)  with low conviction. This is buying on narrative rather than fundamentals but there is no need to not get involved.

Vitasoy Intl Holdings (345 HK)'s share price run up is excessive as Philip Ng andYeo Hiap Seng (YHS SP) over-extend their hand.

Nec Networks (1973 JP) has yet to trade below terms. The premium is small, perhaps reflecting the risk NEC will lower the minimum threshold. But there is still a fight here.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Keisei Electric Railway, Vitasoy, NEC Network, ESR Group

Thailand

Sermsuk PCL is a franchise bottler and sole distributor of Pepsi-Cola beverages of the Pepsico, Inc, USA.  Products include Pepsi, Mountain Dew, Mirinda. and Seven-Up carbonated beverages.  The Company also produces and distributes other brand name beverages including M-100 and M-150 energy drinks, Lipton Ice Tea, and Volvic mineral water, club soda and ginger ale.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Sermsuk PCL (SSC TB)

Sermsuk (SSC TB): THBEV's Delisting Offer

This is done. The Offer Price is fair. Assuming completion early January 2025, I'd buy around THB 58.50, a 7% gross spread, or 15% annualised.

David Blennerhassett

Sector Capsule: Apparel Accessories in Thailand

Headlines Apparel accessories increases by 3% in current value terms in 2016, to reach THB11.2 billion Outbound tourists support the demand for...

Euromonitor International Ltd.

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: De Grey Mining, HPI, SG Fleet, Malaysia Airports, MPHB, Suntec REIT

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia M&A, Nov 2024: Net One System, Amcor/Berry, I D & E Holdings, SG Fleet, Macromill

For Nov 2024, 14 new transactions were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of ~US$15bn. The ave. premium for these new transactions...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week in Event SPACE: Keisei Electric Railway, Vitasoy, NEC Network, ESR Group

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)