China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Equity Bottom-Up

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) / Equity Bottom-Up

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC)

<ul>
<li>We expect SMIC to report C1Q23 top-line and non-IFRS net income 2% and 16% vs. consensus, respectively.</li>
<li>We suggest SMIC’s ability to supply sanctioned firms with 14/7nm nodes provides it with significant pricing power. We expect the decline in SMIC’s wafer ASP to slow.</li>
<li>We expect overall 2H demand to improve due to (1) normalizing fabless inventory levels, and (2) stabilized smartphone demand. We maintain BUY rating and raise our TP to HK$ 26.</li>
</ul>


We expect SMIC to report C1Q23 top-line and non-IFRS net income 2% and 16% vs. consensus, respectively.
We suggest SMIC’s ability to supply sanctioned firms with 14/7nm nodes provides it with significant pricing power. We expect the decline in SMIC’s wafer ASP to slow.
We expect overall 2H demand to improve due to (1) normalizing fabless inventory levels, and (2) stabilized smartphone demand. We maintain BUY rating and raise our TP to HK$ 26.


[SMIC (0981 HK, BUY, TP HK$26) Target Price Change]: Pricing Power Courtesy of Export Restrictions

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Real Estate Industry Update: Beijing intends to give policy support to the purchase of green buildings（+）</li>
<li>Real Estate Industry Update: Ministry of Housing promised to lower housing down payment, and loosen home purchase restrictions（+）</li>
<li>981.HK/1810.HK/AAPL: Huawei to launch new 5G-enabled smartphones ( + / -)</li>
</ul>


Real Estate Industry Update: Beijing intends to give policy support to the purchase of green buildings（+）
Real Estate Industry Update: Ministry of Housing promised to lower housing down payment, and loosen home purchase restrictions（+）
981.HK/1810.HK/AAPL: Huawei to launch new 5G-enabled smartphones ( + / -)


China TMT Update-BEKE/981.HK/1810.HK/AAPL-Ministry of Housing Loosen Home Purchase Restrictions

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>TSMC unveiled an in-line 2Q23 results but guided slow 3Q recovery due to longer inventory correction and China weakness despite stronger AI demand.</li><li>Mgmt. guided down FY23E revenue to 10% YoY decline from prior low to mid-single digit decline on macro headwinds, slower China recovery and demand weakness.</li><li>As such, we believe market will turn more conservative on 3Q inventory correction and 4Q demand recovery. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

TSMC unveiled an in-line 2Q23 results but guided slow 3Q recovery due to longer inventory correction and China weakness despite stronger AI demand.Mgmt. guided down FY23E revenue to 10% YoY decline from prior low to mid-single digit decline on macro headwinds, slower China recovery and demand weakness.As such, we believe market will turn more conservative on 3Q inventory correction and 4Q demand recovery. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology – Implications of TSMC 2Q23: Slower 3Q and China Recovery

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 21st.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We estimate the inflows to be USD 2.1billion and highlight flows for Tencent, Hsbc.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 21st.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We estimate the inflows to be USD 2.1billion and highlight flows for Tencent, Hsbc.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jul 21st): Tencent, HSBC

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for PetroChina, China Mobile, Xpeng, Bilibili, Kuaishou, CCB, ICBC, BYD, HSBC.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight flows for PetroChina, China Mobile, Xpeng, Bilibili, Kuaishou, CCB, ICBC, BYD, HSBC.


Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly: $366m Outflows in June

China

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation operates a semiconductor foundry. The Company provides integrated circuit foundry and technology services including the testing, development, design, manufacturing, packaging, and sale of integrated circuits. Semiconductor Manufacturing International offers its products and services around the world.

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK)

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Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK)

[SMIC (0981 HK, BUY, TP HK$26) Target Price Change]: Pricing Power Courtesy of Export Restrictions

We expect overall 2H demand to improve due to (1) normalizing fabless inventory levels, and (2) stabilized smartphone demand, per peer guidance. We...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China TMT Update-BEKE/981.HK/1810.HK/AAPL-Ministry of Housing Loosen Home Purchase Restrictions

Beijing intends to give policy support to the purchase of green buildings; Ministry of Housing promised loosen home purchase restrictions; Huawei...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China Technology – Implications of TSMC 2Q23: Slower 3Q and China Recovery

TSMC unveiled an in-line 2Q23 results but guided slow 3Q recovery due to longer inventory correction and China weakness despite stronger AI demand.

CMB International

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jul 21st): Tencent, HSBC

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Tencent Holdings Limited and, HSBC.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly: $366m Outflows in June

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for June and highlight flows for PetroChina, China Mobile, Xpeng, Bilibili, Kuaishou, CCB, ICBC, BYD, HSBC.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)