China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We estimate that SMICs 7nm yield is &gt;70% with capacity of 19k 7nm wafers per month.  We expect SMIC will be able to ship 5nm by 2026 .</li>
<li>We expect Huawei’s wafer demand to reach 18k~ 7nm per month, which would have revenue gain of US$ 550mn~ per quarter to SMIC. We raise SMIC TP to HK$ 27.</li>
<li>We expect Huawei to reach 18% share of the China smartphone market in 2024. We expect Apple and Xiaomi’s China market share to decline by 2ppt and 0.8ppt YoY, respectively.</li>
</ul>


We estimate that SMICs 7nm yield is &gt;70% with capacity of 19k 7nm wafers per month.  We expect SMIC will be able to ship 5nm by 2026 .
We expect Huawei’s wafer demand to reach 18k~ 7nm per month, which would have revenue gain of US$ 550mn~ per quarter to SMIC. We raise SMIC TP to HK$ 27.
We expect Huawei to reach 18% share of the China smartphone market in 2024. We expect Apple and Xiaomi’s China market share to decline by 2ppt and 0.8ppt YoY, respectively.


[Blue Lotus Hardware Sector Update]: SMIC 7nm and 5nm Sufficient for Huawei Rejuvenation

<ul>
<li>Nayuki/Luckin: Food safety issue happened on one store of Mixue</li>
<li>981.HK/1347.HK/ACMR: Tax authorities increase the tax-deductible amount for R&amp;D (+)</li>
<li>LI: LI's latest weekly sales were unaffected by Wenjie (+)</li>
</ul>


Nayuki/Luckin: Food safety issue happened on one store of Mixue
981.HK/1347.HK/ACMR: Tax authorities increase the tax-deductible amount for R&amp;D (+)
LI: LI's latest weekly sales were unaffected by Wenjie (+)


China TMT Update-Nayuki/Luckin/981.HK/1347.HK/ACMR/LI-Food Safety Issue/Increase the Tax-Deductible

<ul>
<li>A key feature of iPhone 15 is 3nm Bionic chipset with enhanced game supports. </li>
<li>This, however, will not break the tie of Apple vs. Huawei;</li>
<li>We see game engine benefiting from upcoming competition between Apple, Qualcomm, MTK and Huawei, more so though AI.</li>
</ul>


A key feature of iPhone 15 is 3nm Bionic chipset with enhanced game supports. 
This, however, will not break the tie of Apple vs. Huawei;
We see game engine benefiting from upcoming competition between Apple, Qualcomm, MTK and Huawei, more so though AI.


[Blue Lotus Entertainment Sector Update]: Game Cannot Break the Tie of Hardware but AI Can

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

<ul>
<li>Semiconductor revenues have enjoyed month over month growth since April</li>
<li>This growth is higher than the industry's long-term average 3.9% growth</li>
<li>It looks as if the industry is starting another of its typical cycles.</li>
</ul>


Semiconductor revenues have enjoyed month over month growth since April
This growth is higher than the industry's long-term average 3.9% growth
It looks as if the industry is starting another of its typical cycles.


SIA: Semiconductors Up for Fourth Consecutive Month

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>This is the brand spanking new Quiddity HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-a-h-premium-weekly-sep-8-icbc-abc-ccb-boc-vanke-ncl-rails" target="_blank" rel="noopener">A/H Premium Monitor</a> and Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor.</li>
<li>The data on liquid names is presented for 5 days and four weeks and anything seen can be ranked in tables or selected and charted (names, sectors, outperformance, etc).</li>
<li>We like the nifty interactive tables and charts. We welcome feedback on how to make it more useful going forward.</li>
</ul>


This is the brand spanking new Quiddity HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the A/H Premium Monitor and Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor.
The data on liquid names is presented for 5 days and four weeks and anything seen can be ranked in tables or selected and charted (names, sectors, outperformance, etc).
We like the nifty interactive tables and charts. We welcome feedback on how to make it more useful going forward.


Quiddity HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (Week to 8Sep23) Banks, Brokers, Telcos, Energy, and Vanke

China

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation operates a semiconductor foundry. The Company provides integrated circuit foundry and technology services including the testing, development, design, manufacturing, packaging, and sale of integrated circuits. Semiconductor Manufacturing International offers its products and services around the world.

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK)

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK)

[Blue Lotus Hardware Sector Update]: SMIC 7nm and 5nm Sufficient for Huawei Rejuvenation

We expect Huawei’s wafer demand to reach 18k~ 7nm per month, which would have revenue gain of US$ 550mn~ per quarter to SMIC. We raise SMIC TP to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China TMT Update-Nayuki/Luckin/981.HK/1347.HK/ACMR/LI-Food Safety Issue/Increase the Tax-Deductible

Nayuki/Luckin: Food safety issue happened on one store of Mixue; 981.HK/1347.HK/ACMR: Tax authorities increase the tax-deductible amount/LI: LI's...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Entertainment Sector Update]: Game Cannot Break the Tie of Hardware but AI Can

A key feature of iPhone 15 is 3nm Bionic chipset with enhanced game supports.We see game engine benefiting from upcoming competition between Apple,...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

SIA: Semiconductors Up for Fourth Consecutive Month

The semiconductor industry seems to be starting another cycle, with revenues increasing for the past four months. This Insight compares past...

Jim Handy

Quiddity HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (Week to 8Sep23) Banks, Brokers, Telcos, Energy, and Vanke

The Brand-Spanking New Quiddity HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows Monitor. Tables and Charts of Top 10-30 names/flows, flows and position by sectors, and...

Travis Lundy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)