Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>One may presume that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus (PRX NA)</a> moved their <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> shares received from their non-CCASS holdings of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>. It does not tell us much else. </li>
<li>Allocation in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-m-entertainment-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3500:1" rel="noopener">S.M.Entertainment Co (041510 KS)</a> partial Offer was 44.14%. With shares trading ~₩95k, that was a pretty good outcome. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyo-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1176:1" rel="noopener">Toyo Construction (1890 JP)</a> has asked the Japanese government to investigate YFO's alleged breaches of FEFTA. Expect YFO to say they did no wrong. Expect Toyo to complain about it. </li>
</ul>


One may presume that Prosus (PRX NA) moved their Meituan (3690 HK) shares received from their non-CCASS holdings of Tencent (700 HK). It does not tell us much else. 
Allocation in the S.M.Entertainment Co (041510 KS) partial Offer was 44.14%. With shares trading ~₩95k, that was a pretty good outcome. 

Toyo Construction (1890 JP) has asked the Japanese government to investigate YFO's alleged breaches of FEFTA. Expect YFO to say they did no wrong. Expect Toyo to complain about it. 


Last Week in Event SPACE: Meituan, S.M.Entertainment, Toyo, Mincor, JD.com, AAG

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sembcorp-marine-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11:1" rel="noopener">Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP)</a> is a month in to its new existence as a business more than twice as large as its old business after absorbing Keppel O&amp;M. </li>
<li>There have been some noises about cost-cutting, which could be key to an early return to profitability. </li>
<li>Today, mid-day, we get news of the <a href="https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/Announcement%2030_Mar_2023.ashx?App=Announcement&amp;FileID=751707" target="_blank" rel="noopener">biggest ever offshore renewables contract win</a> in a JV with General Electric - a deal worth €6bn (SGD 8.64bn). It's big.</li>
</ul>



Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP) is a month in to its new existence as a business more than twice as large as its old business after absorbing Keppel O&amp;M. 
There have been some noises about cost-cutting, which could be key to an early return to profitability. 
Today, mid-day, we get news of the biggest ever offshore renewables contract win in a JV with General Electric - a deal worth €6bn (SGD 8.64bn). It's big.


Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP) JVs for S$8.6bn Multi-Year Offshore HVDC Converter Platforms Deal

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for Singapore's ST index ("STI") between now and the September 2023 index review.</li>
<li>In my previous insight (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-leaderboard-for-straits-times-index-mar-23-smm-could-miss-addition" target="_blank" rel="noopener">link</a>), I mentioned <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sembcorp-marine-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11:1" rel="noopener">Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP)</a> could miss out on being added to the STI in March 2023 and that happened to be true.</li>
<li>However, based on the current data, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sembcorp-marine-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11:1" rel="noopener">Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP)</a> could finally be added to the STI in September 2023.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for Singapore's ST index ("STI") between now and the September 2023 index review.
In my previous insight (link), I mentioned Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP) could miss out on being added to the STI in March 2023 and that happened to be true.
However, based on the current data, Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP) could finally be added to the STI in September 2023.


Quiddity Leaderboard Singapore's STI Sep 23: Sembcorp Marine Addition Could Finally Happen

<ul>
<li>For the month of February, 14 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$23bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in February was 34%.</li>
<li>This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2022 (106 deals), 2021 (165 deals), 2020 (158 deals), and 2019 (145 deals) of 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.</li>
</ul>


For the month of February, 14 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$23bn.
The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in February was 34%.
This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2022 (106 deals), 2021 (165 deals), 2020 (158 deals), and 2019 (145 deals) of 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.


(Mostly) Asia M&A, Feb 2023: Newcrest Mining, S.M Entertainment, Kanematsu, Nissin Electric

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Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

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Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Sembcorp Marine shows interesting bull support at 0.12 where price and trendline meet but does face global cycle headwinds in March. Sell near term above 14.</li>
<li>MACD trendline support under pressure and a must hold level for the bull case. An MACD would spell trouble for price.</li>
<li>Current weakness if viewed as a pullback after the May to June bull triangle breakout. 11 is the key pivot level to hold.</li>
</ul>


Sembcorp Marine shows interesting bull support at 0.12 where price and trendline meet but does face global cycle headwinds in March. Sell near term above 14.
MACD trendline support under pressure and a must hold level for the bull case. An MACD would spell trouble for price.
Current weakness if viewed as a pullback after the May to June bull triangle breakout. 11 is the key pivot level to hold.


Singapore

Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (Holdings) Limited builds a wide range of ships. The Company produces a wide range of commercial vessels, mini bulk carriers, multi-purpose cargo vessels, containerships, chemical tankers, offshore supply vessels, rescue and salvage vessels, and lifting vessels.

Frencken Group Limited designs, develops, and produces complex and advanced modules and systems, based on precision mechanics, hardware and software.

Hong Leong Asia Limited manufactures and fabricates precast concrete products, trades and distributes steel and cement products,  The Company also manufactures and distributes refrigerators and freezers, assembles air-conditioners and diesel engines as well as manufactures and sells metal drums and containers, plastic packaging related products, and container components.

China Yuchai International Limited is a holding company.  Through its subsidiary, Guangxi Yuchai Machinery Company Limited (Yuchai), manufactures, assembles, and sells diesel engines in China.

China Yuchai International Limited (CYD US)

COSCO SHIPPING International (Singapore) Co., Ltd. provides ship building and repairing and marine engineering services. The Company offers bulk, liquefied natural gas, and special purpose carriers, as well as oil tankers. COSCO SHIPPING International serves customers worldwide.

COSCO SHIPPING International (Singapore) (COS SP)

InnoTek Ltd., through its subsidiaries, manufactures metal components.  The Company offers metal stamping, commercial tool and die fabrications, sub-assembly work and frame manufacturing.  InnoTek primarily serves customers in Japan and Europe.

World Precision Machinery Limited manufactures and supplies stamping machines and related metal components. The Company's other products include bending, cutting and CNC punching machines.

Sembcorp Industries Ltd provides utilities and integrated services for industrial sites such as power, gas, steam, water, wastewater treatment and other on-site services. The Company's businesses also include marine & offshore engineering and urban development comprising industrial parks and business, commercial and residential spaces.

Fu Yu Corporation Limited manufactures and sells precision plastic injection molds and plastic components.  The Company also manufactures and sells plastic, aluminum parts, electronic products, and equipment for medical use.

Grand Banks Yachts Limited, through its subsidiaries, builds and sells diesel-powered cruisers, and purchases and sells new and used yachts and boats. The Company also provides yacht repair and maintenance services, promotional and technical services, and manufactures and sells fiberglass yachts.

Terex Corporation is a diversified global manufacturer operating in four business segments: aerial work platforms; construction; cranes; and materials processing.  Terex manufactures a broad range of equipment for use in various industries including the construction, infrastructure, quarrying, mining, shipping, transportation, refining, energy and utility industries.

Avic Heavy Machinery Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and markets hydraulic pumps and motors, Rzeppa constant velocity joints, and other  related products.

EnPro Industries, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and markets proprietary engineered industrial products.  The Company's products include sealing products, metal polymer bearing products, air compressor systems and vacuum pumps, diesel and natural gas engines, and specialized tooling.  EnPro sells its products to customers located around the world.

Kurita Water Industries Ltd. manufactures, sells, and maintains water treatment equipment and systems.  The Company's products include water purification and waste water treatment equipment as well as soil remediation systems.  Kurita also manufactures and sells chemicals for water treatment related to sanitation, air-conditioning, and construction.

IHI Corporation manufactures heavy machinery. The Company produces aircraft jet engines, rocket propulsion systems, and ships for military and commercial use. Ishikawajima-Harima also constructs petroleum refineries and nuclear power plants.

Timken India Limited provides friction management solutions for a wide range of industry applications across the globe; from agriculture to construction, from heavy industrial applications to automobiles and from rail to related products. Timken provides a complete package solution for bearings and roll-shop maintenance.

Tian Di Science & Technology Co., Ltd. develops and manufactures mining automation control systems, mining machines, coal preparation equipment, and materials and equipment used for underground engineering. The Company also provides technical services and undertakes underground special construction projects.

Tian Di Science & Technology Co., (600582 CH)

HOSHIZAKI ELECTRIC CORPORATION manufactures and sells commercial use kitchen equipment such as freezers, refrigerators, food/beverage dispensers.  The Company has sales subsidiaries across Japan as well as overseas.

Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology Co., Ltd.manufactures and markets construction machinery.  The Company's products include concrete machinery, cranes, road machinery, drilling equipment, and other heavy construction equipment.  Zoomlion also produces environmental machinery and satellite navigation products.

Sainty Marine Corp Ltd is a ship builder, designer, ship trader and heavy cargo ocean transporter.  The Company is based in Nanjing, China. Sainty Marine is also involved in financing support and technical services.

Seatrium Ltd offers engineering solutions for the offshore, marine, and energy industries. The Company provides rigs and floaters, repairs and upgrades, offshore platforms, and specialized shipbuilding. Seatrium serves customers worldwide.

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Seatrium (STM SP)

Last Week in Event SPACE: Meituan, S.M.Entertainment, Toyo, Mincor, JD.com, AAG

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Sembcorp Marine (SMM SP) JVs for S$8.6bn Multi-Year Offshore HVDC Converter Platforms Deal

Sembcorp Marine today announced it had won (with GE, who will provide the converter equipment) three offshore HVDC converter platforms for...

Travis Lundy

Quiddity Leaderboard Singapore's STI Sep 23: Sembcorp Marine Addition Could Finally Happen

If SMM gets added to the STI, there could be around 427mn shares to buy which around 1.4 days of volume and translates to a flow of US$33.6mn

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

(Mostly) Asia M&A, Feb 2023: Newcrest Mining, S.M Entertainment, Kanematsu, Nissin Electric

For the month of February, 14 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an announced deal size of ~US$23bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

Sembcorp Marine Buy Target/Support

Sembcorp Marine shows interesting bull support at 0.12 where price and trendline meet but does face global cycle headwinds in March. Sell near term...

Thomas Schroeder

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