Founder, BWS Financial Inc

Hamed Khorsand

Founder

Independent Stock Specific Research

BWS Financial Inc

BWS provides independent stock specific research focused on companies with distinct value that are going through a special situation where there is a tangible catalyst not priced in. The catalyst can be anything from new product, restructuring, M&A, management change, change in business strategy, etc. BWS’s focus is to understand the change and evaluate the potential return for investors.

BWS utilizes a self formed proprietary approach in discovering stocks by putting great emphasis on deep research. BWS does generate short recommendations following a similar criteria.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>SDRL ended 2023 with a contract that is poised to set the course for day rates moving higher in 2024. Prior to Christmas, SDRL announced two new contracts with PBR</li>
<li>We estimate one of the contracts has a day rate of $500,000 and should result in other bidding activity to reach and eventually exceed this level in 2024</li>
<li>We are not making changes to our earnings model and believe there is now greater potential for our estimates having to be revised higher</li>
</ul>


SDRL ended 2023 with a contract that is poised to set the course for day rates moving higher in 2024. Prior to Christmas, SDRL announced two new contracts with PBR
We estimate one of the contracts has a day rate of $500,000 and should result in other bidding activity to reach and eventually exceed this level in 2024
We are not making changes to our earnings model and believe there is now greater potential for our estimates having to be revised higher


SDRL: New Contracts Set Catalyst for 2024

<ul>
<li>SDRL reported third quarter results exceeding expectations and announcing slight extensions to when near-term contracts would expire.</li>
<li>There had been minimal news from SDRL to expect contract extensions. SDRL’s peers had been reporting a slowing in contract activity.</li>
<li>The free cash flow SDRL is generating is being used for stock buy backs with the authorization doubled to a total of $500 million.</li>
</ul>


SDRL reported third quarter results exceeding expectations and announcing slight extensions to when near-term contracts would expire.
There had been minimal news from SDRL to expect contract extensions. SDRL’s peers had been reporting a slowing in contract activity.
The free cash flow SDRL is generating is being used for stock buy backs with the authorization doubled to a total of $500 million.


<ul>
<li>There has been little change in day rates since Seadrill (SDRL) reported second quarter results with the Company having two vessels with contracts expiring next month</li>
<li>The only news flow since SDRL reported second quarter results has been about the Company regularly buying back stock</li>
<li>The two vessels with contracts expiring are currently in different geographies</li>
</ul>


There has been little change in day rates since Seadrill (SDRL) reported second quarter results with the Company having two vessels with contracts expiring next month
The only news flow since SDRL reported second quarter results has been about the Company regularly buying back stock
The two vessels with contracts expiring are currently in different geographies


<ul>
<li>SDRL reporting second quarter results provided greater insight on the contribution of Aquadrill to SDRL’s financials and sets the course for how the business could benefit from current day rates</li>
<li>SDRL has two drill ships set for contract expiration at year end and another two more vessels expected off contract by end of 2024, not including those with contract options</li>
<li>Our new price target of $62 from $50 values SDRL in line with its peers even though SDRL is not levered</li>
</ul>


SDRL reporting second quarter results provided greater insight on the contribution of Aquadrill to SDRL’s financials and sets the course for how the business could benefit from current day rates
SDRL has two drill ships set for contract expiration at year end and another two more vessels expected off contract by end of 2024, not including those with contract options
Our new price target of $62 from $50 values SDRL in line with its peers even though SDRL is not levered


Independent Sell Side Equity Research Analyst, ChartSmarter

Douglas Busch

Independent Sell Side Equity Research Analyst

ChartSmarter

ChartSmarter is a service dedicated to the art of technical analysis.

On a daily basis we write up actionable ideas on a specific, major S&P sector on both the long and short side, in an easy yet thorough way. In the notes we give precise entries and exits, while looking to capture the "meat" of a trend.

Technical Analysis.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>S&amp;P 500 looks vulnerable. Maintain large cash positions for forseeable future.</li>
<li>US Dollar bull flagging and may put pressure on equities in near term.</li>
<li>Nikkei at inflection point. Bulls must stand up here to defend.</li>
</ul>


S&amp;P 500 looks vulnerable. Maintain large cash positions for forseeable future.
US Dollar bull flagging and may put pressure on equities in near term.
Nikkei at inflection point. Bulls must stand up here to defend.


United States

Helmerich & Payne, Inc. provides contract drilling of oil and gas wells in the Gulf of Mexico and South America. The Company operates land rigs and platform rigs.

Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc. provides land-based drilling services to major and independent oil and natural gas companies.  The Company conducts drilling operations in Texas, New Mexico, Utah, Oklahoma, Louisiana, and western Canada. Patterson-UTI is also involved in pressure pumping, oil and gas exploration and production, and drilling and completion fluids services.

Archrock, Inc. operates as a natural gas contract compression services company. The Company offers natural gas compression and aftermarket services, as well as provides used equipment for oil and gas industry. Archrock serves customers in the United States.

Cactus, Inc. manufactures control equipment. The Company offers wellhead systems, valves, and flow control products. Cactus markets its products worldwide.

Liberty Oilfield Services Inc. operates as an oilfield service company. The Company specializes in hydraulic fracturing, stimulation, and engineering services. Liberty Oilfield Services serves customers throughout the United States.

Oceaneering International, Inc. is a global provider of engineered services and products to the offshore oil and gas industry. The Company offers services and products in remotely operated vehicles, mobile offshore production systems, engineering and product management, manned diving and other deep water applications. Oceaneering also serves the defense and aerospace industries.

Expro Group Holdings N.V. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides engineered tubular services to exploration and production companies in both offshore and onshore environments, with a focus on complex and technically demanding wells. Expro Group Holdings serves customers worldwide.

Nextier Oilfield Solutions Inc. provides oilfield services. The Company offers drilling and other related solutions such as developing, delivering, management, and engineering activities. Nextier Oilfield Solutions serves customers  in the United States.

USA Compression Partners, LP provides compression services. The Company engineers, designs, operates, services, and repairs its compression units, as well as maintains related support inventory and equipment. USA Compression Partners serves customers in the United States.

Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc. is a marine contractor and operator of offshore oil and gas properties and production facilities.  The Company seeks to align the interests of the producer and contractor by investing in mature offshore oil and gas properties, hub production facilities, and undeveloped reserve plays.

China Oilfield Services Limited provides oilfield services. The Company provides geophysical prospecting, drilling, oilfield technology development, and other services. China Oilfield Services also operates transportation businesses.

Offshore Oil Engineering Co., Ltd. provides offshore oil engineering services, including designing, construction, installation, and repair and maintenance services.  The Company's main businesses include oil/gas exploration engineering, subsea pipeline laying, oil/gas field equipment testing and maintenance, as well as pressure container and steel structure manufacturing.

Transocean Ltd. is an offshore drilling contractor.  The Company owns or operates mobile offshore drilling units, inland drilling barges, and other assets utilized in the support of offshore drilling activities worldwide. Transocean specializes in technically demanding segments of the offshore drilling business, including deepwater and harsh environment drilling services.

Vallourec provides tubular solutions. The Company offers tubes and other related components. Vallourec serves refineries, hydraulic cylinders, machine tools, automobiles, construction, and oil and gas industries worldwide.

Yantai Jereh Oilfield Services Group Co., Ltd develops, manufactures and sells oil field equipment.  The Company's products include well cementing equipment, well fracturing equipment, and natural gas compression and transportation equipment.

Zhongyuan Special Steel Company Ltd. produces forgings for equipment manufacturers.  The Company manufactures oil drilling tools, cast iron pipe, rollers, and die steel.

Zhongyuan Special Steel Co,Ltd. (002423 CH)

SBM Offshore NV, through subsidiaries, offers services to the offshore oil and gas industry worldwide.  The Company supplies and installs floating production and/or storage facilities and terminals for the loading or unloading of tankers.  SBM offers, on long-term lease, floating facilities for the production, storage, and export of crude oil and gas.

Aker Solutions ASA provides products, systems, and services to oil and gas companies. The Company offers subsea production equipment and offshore field design to oil and gas companies globally.

TGS Nopec Geophysical Company ASA offers geophysical consulting and contracting services.  The Company also collects and processes magnetic and gravitational data.  TGS focuses on planning, collection, processing, and sale of marine seismic data.  The Company's customers are international oil and exploration companies.

WorleyParsons Limited provides professional services through alliance and integrated service contracts to the energy, resource and complex process industries.  The Company provides its services to industrial sectors such as oil and gas refining, petrochemicals and chemicals, minerals and metals, power and water and industrial and infrastructure.

Seadrill Limited operates as an oil and gas field service company. The Company offers drilling contracting services to unlock oil and gas resources for clients across harsh and benign locations. Seadrill serves customers worldwide.

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Seadrill (SDRL US)

SDRL: New Contracts Set Catalyst for 2024

SDRL won two contacts from PBR just before Christmas. The day rate of the contracts sets up the possibility of more contract activity at higher day...

BWS Financial Inc

SDRL: Course for Free Cash Flow

SDRL continues to exceed our expectations on profitability and free cash flow. SDRL announced contract extensions for several vessels, including...

BWS Financial Inc

SDRL: The Calm Ahead of News Flow

We are anticipating contract news as third quarter results are announced in November coinciding with the two vessels coming off contracts

BWS Financial Inc

SDRL: Attractive Value, PT to $62

Day rates continue to support our investment thesis for adjusted EBITDA rising in 2024 and more so in 2025. SDRL has an unlevered balance sheet...

BWS Financial Inc

Silver Measured Move to 35.50

Gold looks a bit fatigued and silver likely to play catch up. Greenback could present headwinds for equities. Japan reverses big gains in 2024.

Douglas Busch

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