ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd (SE US)</a> saw its 3Q2023 result swing back to a loss after turning on investment at Shopee during 3Q2023 in the face of competition.</li>
<li>The company was open about its renewed investment in growth during the previous quarter in the face of threats from TikTok Shop, which may have lessened post its Indonesia expulsion. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd</a> may not have engendered itself with investors impressed with its ability to pivot like no other to actual profitability, now introducing an element of uncertainty. Valuations reflect this.</li>
</ul>



Sea Ltd (SE US) saw its 3Q2023 result swing back to a loss after turning on investment at Shopee during 3Q2023 in the face of competition.
The company was open about its renewed investment in growth during the previous quarter in the face of threats from TikTok Shop, which may have lessened post its Indonesia expulsion. 

Sea Ltd may not have engendered itself with investors impressed with its ability to pivot like no other to actual profitability, now introducing an element of uncertainty. Valuations reflect this.


Sea Ltd (SE US) - Paying the Price for Market Leadership

<ul>
<li>The news that the Indonesian Government will target social commerce in Indonesia, as well as placing additional scrutiny on imported products sold through digital channels will impact TikTok hard.</li>
<li>TikTok Shop will not be allowed to operate in Indonesia in its present guise given the requirement to split social media and e-commerce, which will benefit peers Shopee and Tokopedia.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd</a> through Shopee will be the biggest beneficiary given it will require less promotional spending in Indonesia and it has also re-entered the Indian market with <em>FreeFire. </em>
</li>
</ul>


The news that the Indonesian Government will target social commerce in Indonesia, as well as placing additional scrutiny on imported products sold through digital channels will impact TikTok hard.
TikTok Shop will not be allowed to operate in Indonesia in its present guise given the requirement to split social media and e-commerce, which will benefit peers Shopee and Tokopedia.

Sea Ltd through Shopee will be the biggest beneficiary given it will require less promotional spending in Indonesia and it has also re-entered the Indian market with FreeFire. 



<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd</a> began to step on the gas in terms of promotions in 2Q2023, even warning of potential quarterly losses, mainly due to perceived threats in Indonesia from TikTop Shop.</li>
<li>Reports that TikTok Shop will be banned in Indonesia will provide significant relief in terms of competition as it is targeted for unfair competition versus local MSMEs through cheap imports.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd</a> has also relaunched <em>FreeFire</em> in India, which could become a significant catalyst for the recovery of the gaming business.  Valuations are attractive on both sales and earnings.</li>
</ul>



Sea Ltd began to step on the gas in terms of promotions in 2Q2023, even warning of potential quarterly losses, mainly due to perceived threats in Indonesia from TikTop Shop.
Reports that TikTok Shop will be banned in Indonesia will provide significant relief in terms of competition as it is targeted for unfair competition versus local MSMEs through cheap imports.

Sea Ltd has also relaunched FreeFire in India, which could become a significant catalyst for the recovery of the gaming business.  Valuations are attractive on both sales and earnings.


Sea Ltd (SE US) - A Positive Catalyst from TikTok Shop's Trouble

Research from Value Investing, Value Investing

Value Investing

Research from Value Investing

I am a value investor. "Value", as defined in Value Investing, is simply the act of buying something for less than its worth. I treat my equity investment as a loan to the business - where the priority is to get back my principal in full, rather than achieving maximum yield. I consider my equity investment as a slightly higher risk loan extended to the business with slightly more accommodative loan covenants - hence justifying a slightly higher yield. While I identify as a value investor and cover all stocks and macro topics indiscriminately, most of my research will have an ASEAN bent as that’s where I’m geographically located.

<ul>
<li>Forrest Li: "Look How They Massacred My Boy" When CEO Forrest Li announced SEA Ltd’s Q2 results in mid-August, he was probably expecting a pat on the back.</li>
<li>After all, the team at SEA Ltd had slogged through fire and brimstone over the past year trying to bring the company back to profitability.</li>
<li> And to their credit, they had actually successfully done so against all odds, as evidenced by the opening statement of their 23Q2 results.</li>
</ul>


Forrest Li: "Look How They Massacred My Boy" When CEO Forrest Li announced SEA Ltd’s Q2 results in mid-August, he was probably expecting a pat on the back.
After all, the team at SEA Ltd had slogged through fire and brimstone over the past year trying to bring the company back to profitability.
 And to their credit, they had actually successfully done so against all odds, as evidenced by the opening statement of their 23Q2 results.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea (SE US)</a> 2Q2023 results reflected some underlying slowdown but beneath the surface, the company's core marketplace business saw accelerated growth, as it stepped up investment, and margins improved concurrently. </li>
<li>The company invested in live streaming, bringing on 1m influencers in 2Q2023, likely stemming the impact of TikTok. The gaming business showed meaningful signs of recovery QoQ in 2Q2023.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea (SE US)</a> grew its cash reserves in 2Q2023 to US$7.7bn signifying the success of its business model. The short-term sell-off looks overdone possibly triggered by talk of quarterly losses.</li>
</ul>



Sea (SE US) 2Q2023 results reflected some underlying slowdown but beneath the surface, the company's core marketplace business saw accelerated growth, as it stepped up investment, and margins improved concurrently. 
The company invested in live streaming, bringing on 1m influencers in 2Q2023, likely stemming the impact of TikTok. The gaming business showed meaningful signs of recovery QoQ in 2Q2023.

Sea (SE US) grew its cash reserves in 2Q2023 to US$7.7bn signifying the success of its business model. The short-term sell-off looks overdone possibly triggered by talk of quarterly losses.


Sea (SE US) - Turning Up the Investment Dial

Singapore

Sea Limited offers information technology services. The Company provides online personal computer and mobile digital content, e-commerce, and payment platforms. Sea serves customers worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Sea (SE US)

Sea Ltd (SE US) - Paying the Price for Market Leadership

Sea Ltd may not have engendered itself with investors impressed with its ability to pivot like no other to actual profitability, now introducing an...

Angus Mackintosh

Sea Ltd (SE US) - Glass Half Full Again?

Sea Ltd through Shopee will be the biggest beneficiary from TikTok Shop's demise in Indonesia as it will require less promotional spending, with...

Angus Mackintosh

Sea Ltd (SE US) - A Positive Catalyst from TikTok Shop's Trouble

Sea Ltd would be a significant beneficiary if TikTok Shop is banned in Indonesia, which looks to be the case, given it reduces competition and the...

Angus Mackintosh

SEA Ltd: The Prodigal Son (2Q deep-dive)

Forrest Li: "Look How They Massacred My Boy" When CEO Forrest Li announced SEA Ltd’s Q2 results in mid-August, he was probably expecting a pat on...

Value Investing

Sea (SE US) - Turning Up the Investment Dial

Sea Ltd 2Q2023 reflected an underlying slowdown but beneath the surface, the company's core marketplace business saw accelerated growth, as it...

Angus Mackintosh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)