Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We discuss about the likely exclusion of SD Biosensor from KOSPI 200 in 2024, a big earnings miss in 1Q 2023, and higher probability of further share price decline. </li>
<li>SD Biosensor reported terrible earnings in 1Q 2023. It had sales of 182.4 billion won (down 86.9% YoY and 48% lower than consensus) in 1Q 2023. </li>
<li>Our core bearish case of SD Biosensor is that in most countries around the world, there is no longer any need to test millions of people for COVID-19.</li>
</ul>


We discuss about the likely exclusion of SD Biosensor from KOSPI 200 in 2024, a big earnings miss in 1Q 2023, and higher probability of further share price decline. 
SD Biosensor reported terrible earnings in 1Q 2023. It had sales of 182.4 billion won (down 86.9% YoY and 48% lower than consensus) in 1Q 2023. 
Our core bearish case of SD Biosensor is that in most countries around the world, there is no longer any need to test millions of people for COVID-19.


SD Biosensor: Further Share Price Decline Likely & Candidate for KOSPI 200 Exclusion in 2024

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance ends on 31 July, the changes will be announced towards end August and implemented at the close of trading on 7 September.</li>
<li>There are potential changes to some of the indices and then there are close changes that will result in big flows if they eventuate.</li>
<li>The March rebalance saw some funky moves on the stocks that had big flows and we could see more of that at the September rebalance.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance ends on 31 July, the changes will be announced towards end August and implemented at the close of trading on 7 September.
There are potential changes to some of the indices and then there are close changes that will result in big flows if they eventuate.
The March rebalance saw some funky moves on the stocks that had big flows and we could see more of that at the September rebalance.


KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Potential & Close Changes in September

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>2023 will be a transitional year for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sd-biosensor-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33333:1" rel="noopener">SD Biosensor (137310 KS)</a>, with revenue and earnings taking a massive hit due to the declining revenue contribution of the COVID-19 tests.</li>
<li>The company is reaping the benefits of its continuous effort in adding new growth engines through M&amp;A and global expansion of its all-in-one molecular diagnostic system called the Standard M10.</li>
<li>SD Biosensor is set to enter the US market through the acquisition of Meridian. With ~40% share of the global IVD market, the US has big potential.</li>
</ul>


2023 will be a transitional year for SD Biosensor (137310 KS), with revenue and earnings taking a massive hit due to the declining revenue contribution of the COVID-19 tests.
The company is reaping the benefits of its continuous effort in adding new growth engines through M&amp;A and global expansion of its all-in-one molecular diagnostic system called the Standard M10.
SD Biosensor is set to enter the US market through the acquisition of Meridian. With ~40% share of the global IVD market, the US has big potential.


SD Biosensor (137310 KS): COVID Test Revenue Tapering Off; Global Expansion to Drive Future Growth

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bionote-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36446:1" rel="noopener">Bionote (377740 KS)</a> was listed on 22nd Dec 2023, when it raised US$73m in its downsized Korean IPO. Its three-month lockup will expire on 21st Mar 23.</li>
<li>Bionote is an integrated producer of diagnostics test products and biocontent products. Based on its unique recombinant antigen and antibody manufacturing technology, the firm researches and develops diagnostic reagent products.</li>
<li>Coming up for three-month lockup expiry are the firm’s three pre-IPO investors, together with Gunwoo Ha (ex-CEO). The three pre-IPO investors had earlier trimmed their respective stakes in the IPO.</li>
</ul>



Bionote (377740 KS) was listed on 22nd Dec 2023, when it raised US$73m in its downsized Korean IPO. Its three-month lockup will expire on 21st Mar 23.
Bionote is an integrated producer of diagnostics test products and biocontent products. Based on its unique recombinant antigen and antibody manufacturing technology, the firm researches and develops diagnostic reagent products.
Coming up for three-month lockup expiry are the firm’s three pre-IPO investors, together with Gunwoo Ha (ex-CEO). The three pre-IPO investors had earlier trimmed their respective stakes in the IPO.


Bionote Lock-Up - Uncertainty on the Horizon, Likely to See Some Selling Pressure

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bionote-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36446:1" rel="noopener">Bionote (377740 KS)</a> raised US$72.2m in its Korean IPO. The IPO had consisted of both a primary and secondary selldown.</li>
<li>Bionote is an integrated producer of diagnostics test products and biocontent products. </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the demand for the deal and other trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Bionote (377740 KS) raised US$72.2m in its Korean IPO. The IPO had consisted of both a primary and secondary selldown.
Bionote is an integrated producer of diagnostics test products and biocontent products. 
In this note, we will talk about the demand for the deal and other trading dynamics.


Bionote IPO Trading - Weakest Demand Even After Cutting Price and Size

South Korea

SD Biosensor, INC. operates medical device manufacturing businesses. The Company produces electric medical instruments and other products. SD Biosensor conducts businesses across worldwide.

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SD Biosensor (137310 KS)

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Potential & Close Changes in September

There were big moves on stocks that were changes at the March rebalance. We take a look at expected and close changes at the September rebalance....

Brian Freitas