Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. SPX reclaims 4000 level to cose up +1.4%; Nasdaq 100 enters BULL MARKET;  Micron +7% Intel +7.6%  spurs sentiment around Semi recovery. </li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs -0.3% vs Cash; USDJPY ¥132.8;  Dividend x-Date today - expect ~¥1trill of reinvestment BUYING in total; New Toyota CEO vows to get serious about EVs -about time</li>
<li>NUGGET. Incoming CEO Makiko Ono - Set to Further Globalize Suntory Beverage.  If she can execute, stock looks like a bargain. </li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. SPX reclaims 4000 level to cose up +1.4%; Nasdaq 100 enters BULL MARKET;  Micron +7% Intel +7.6%  spurs sentiment around Semi recovery. 
JAPAN. NKY Futs -0.3% vs Cash; USDJPY ¥132.8;  Dividend x-Date today - expect ~¥1trill of reinvestment BUYING in total; New Toyota CEO vows to get serious about EVs -about time
NUGGET. Incoming CEO Makiko Ono - Set to Further Globalize Suntory Beverage.  If she can execute, stock looks like a bargain. 


Good Morning Japan |NASDAQ BULL MARKET! NUGGET: CEO Makiko Ono-Set to Further Globalize Suntory Bev

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS.  Choppy Session with SPX closing -0.2%;  Tech down again as reversal continues;  US 2Yr yield back above 4%, Alibaba +14% split to unlock value; Micron after hours-worst over?</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs -1.0% vs Cash; USDJPY 130.9; US-Japan strikes deal on EV battery materials Under IRA; Japan's FTA fine with MSFT-ATVI, -ve Sony; Alibaba Split +ve Softbank</li>
<li>NUGGET. Panasonic - Potential beneficiary of new IRA related deal with the US. Could see IRA EV tax credit rise from ¥172bn/year to ¥228bn/year.</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS.  Choppy Session with SPX closing -0.2%;  Tech down again as reversal continues;  US 2Yr yield back above 4%, Alibaba +14% split to unlock value; Micron after hours-worst over?
JAPAN. NKY Futs -1.0% vs Cash; USDJPY 130.9; US-Japan strikes deal on EV battery materials Under IRA; Japan's FTA fine with MSFT-ATVI, -ve Sony; Alibaba Split +ve Softbank
NUGGET. Panasonic - Potential beneficiary of new IRA related deal with the US. Could see IRA EV tax credit rise from ¥172bn/year to ¥228bn/year.


Good Morning Japan |Choppy Equities; Weak Tech; NUGGET: Panasonic-New US Tax Credit Opportunity?

Senior Technology Analyst, Japanese Equities, LightStream Research

Scott Foster

Senior Technology Analyst, Japanese Equities

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>A tour of the Hikone factory last week left us impressed with Screen's efficiency and the timing of its capacity expansion.</li>
<li>The company's semiconductor production equipment sales are likely to decline this year, but outperform the industry as a whole due to low exposure to memory. </li>
<li>Buy for longer-term recovery after the recent advance has been digested.</li>
</ul>


A tour of the Hikone factory last week left us impressed with Screen's efficiency and the timing of its capacity expansion.
The company's semiconductor production equipment sales are likely to decline this year, but outperform the industry as a whole due to low exposure to memory. 
Buy for longer-term recovery after the recent advance has been digested.


Screen Holdings (7735 JP): Positive Impression from Hikone Factory Tour

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. SPX Rise as Cycicals/Tech bid; Higher Rates; Strong USD, No problem !   Market seems to have concluded that higher rates+strong economy is a workable outcome.</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs +0.4% vs Cash; USDJPY weakens to 134.1; Weak Yen Narrative to dominate; Do not say to "Mr Yen" who sees 120 ;  BULLISH Inbound but priced in</li>
<li>DAILY NUGGET. BayCurrent Consulting (6532) - Still lot of tailwinds..still BULLISH.</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. SPX Rise as Cycicals/Tech bid; Higher Rates; Strong USD, No problem !   Market seems to have concluded that higher rates+strong economy is a workable outcome.
JAPAN. NKY Futs +0.4% vs Cash; USDJPY weakens to 134.1; Weak Yen Narrative to dominate; Do not say to "Mr Yen" who sees 120 ;  BULLISH Inbound but priced in
DAILY NUGGET. BayCurrent Consulting (6532) - Still lot of tailwinds..still BULLISH.


Good Morning Japan |GOLDILOCKS?: Higher Rates, Strong USD=Higher Equities; In JP, Mr Yen Says 120

<ul>
<li>Wage pressures continue to build in Japan. The country's largest employer of part-time workers, AEON, is raising wages. Same goes for systems operator, TIS</li>
<li>It has been a disappointing year for shareholders of Z Holdings - perhaps a management change and new round of restructuring will help</li>
<li>Divergent fortunes for SPE names Screen and Lasertec. Suspect this has more to do with short term positioning. The fundamentals are broadly similar</li>
</ul>


Wage pressures continue to build in Japan. The country's largest employer of part-time workers, AEON, is raising wages. Same goes for systems operator, TIS
It has been a disappointing year for shareholders of Z Holdings - perhaps a management change and new round of restructuring will help
Divergent fortunes for SPE names Screen and Lasertec. Suspect this has more to do with short term positioning. The fundamentals are broadly similar


Japan Weekly | Z Holdings, Money Forward, Screen, Lasertec

Japan

SCREEN Holdings Co Ltd.  manufactures and sell semiconductors, FPD devices, commercial printing and printed circuit boards(PCB). The company also provides additional services for its products.

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SCREEN Holdings (7735 JP)

Good Morning Japan |NASDAQ BULL MARKET! NUGGET: CEO Makiko Ono-Set to Further Globalize Suntory Bev

In the US, NASDAQ 100 enters bull market. Broad based US rally. In Japan, Tech to lead; Drivers today: US rally, weaker yen; Underweight investors...

Mark Chadwick

Good Morning Japan |Choppy Equities; Weak Tech; NUGGET: Panasonic-New US Tax Credit Opportunity?

US Markets Choppy; Tech down again; Japan set to approve 114trill budget; US-Japan strikes deal on EV battery materials Under IRA; Japan's FTA fine...

Mark Chadwick