IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Domain Holdings Australia  / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/domain-holdings-australia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26033:1" rel="noopener">Domain Holdings Australia (DHG AU)</a> announced a final non-binding proposal from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/costar-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16907:1" rel="noopener">Costar Group (CSGP US)</a> at A$4.43, a 5.5% premium to the previous A$4.20 offer.</li>
<li>The scheme vote is low-risk as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nine-entertainment-co-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:708:1" rel="noopener">Nine Entertainment Co Holdings (NEC AU)</a> seems supportive. Nine suggested that the revised price would result in after-tax cash proceeds of A$1.4 billion.</li>
<li>While attractive to precedent transaction multiples, the revised offer remains light compared to peer multiples. Nevertheless, expect a binding proposal to be forthcoming. </li>
</ul>



Domain Holdings Australia (DHG AU) announced a final non-binding proposal from Costar Group (CSGP US) at A$4.43, a 5.5% premium to the previous A$4.20 offer.
The scheme vote is low-risk as Nine Entertainment Co Holdings (NEC AU) seems supportive. Nine suggested that the revised price would result in after-tax cash proceeds of A$1.4 billion.
While attractive to precedent transaction multiples, the revised offer remains light compared to peer multiples. Nevertheless, expect a binding proposal to be forthcoming. 


Domain Holdings (DHG AU): CoStar Returns with a Final NBIO at A$4.43

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/domain-holdings-australia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26033:1" rel="noopener">Domain Holdings Australia (DHG AU)</a> announced a non-binding proposal from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/costar-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16907:1" rel="noopener">Costar Group (CSGP US)</a> at A$4.20, a 34.6% premium to the undisturbed price of A$3.12 (20 February).</li>
<li>The bid follows CoStar's acquisition of a 16.9% stake in Domain on 20 February. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nine-entertainment-co-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Nine Entertainment Co Holdings (NEC AU)</a>'s support is crucial for its success.  </li>
<li>While attractive to precedent transaction multiples, the offer is light compared to peer multiples. Nine is evaluating the offer and will likely push for improved terms.</li>
</ul>



Domain Holdings Australia (DHG AU) announced a non-binding proposal from Costar Group (CSGP US) at A$4.20, a 34.6% premium to the undisturbed price of A$3.12 (20 February).
The bid follows CoStar's acquisition of a 16.9% stake in Domain on 20 February. Nine Entertainment Co Holdings (NEC AU)'s support is crucial for its success.  
While attractive to precedent transaction multiples, the offer is light compared to peer multiples. Nine is evaluating the offer and will likely push for improved terms.


Domain Holdings (DHG AU): CoStar Raids the Register and Launches a NBIO at A$4.20

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/propertyguru-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28149:1" rel="noopener">PropertyGuru (PGRU US)</a> entered into a definitive merger agreement with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eqt-ab" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28922:1" rel="noopener">EQT (EQT SS)</a> at US$6.70 per share, a 51.9% premium to the undisturbed price of US$4.41 (21 May).</li>
<li>The shareholder vote is done (two-thirds voting threshold) due to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tpg-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35361:1" rel="noopener">TPG Inc (TPG US)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kkr-co-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27333:1" rel="noopener">KKR &amp; Co (KKR US)</a>’s support and drag-along rights relating to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rea-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:699:1" rel="noopener">REA Group Ltd (REA AU)</a>’s shares.  </li>
<li>This is a clean deal as there is no dissenting condition or requirement for country antitrust approvals. At the last close and for end-of-year payment, the gross/annualised spread is 2.3%/6.4%.</li>
</ul>



PropertyGuru (PGRU US) entered into a definitive merger agreement with EQT (EQT SS) at US$6.70 per share, a 51.9% premium to the undisturbed price of US$4.41 (21 May).
The shareholder vote is done (two-thirds voting threshold) due to TPG Inc (TPG US)/KKR &amp; Co (KKR US)’s support and drag-along rights relating to REA Group Ltd (REA AU)’s shares.  
This is a clean deal as there is no dissenting condition or requirement for country antitrust approvals. At the last close and for end-of-year payment, the gross/annualised spread is 2.3%/6.4%.


PropertyGuru (PGRU US): EQT’s US$6.70 Offer Is A Done Deal

<ul>
<li>Bloomberg reports that KKR and TPG are exploring options, including a buyout of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/propertyguru-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28149:1" rel="noopener">PropertyGuru (PGRU US)</a>, and are gauging initial interest from other global investors.</li>
<li>The favoured privatisation option for US ADRs with the Cayman Islands incorporation is a statutory merger requiring a two-thirds voting approval threshold. </li>
<li>The concentrated shareholder register would suggest that TPG/KKR would aim for irrevocable from the other three substantial shareholders, facilitating a modest takeover premium. </li>
</ul>


Bloomberg reports that KKR and TPG are exploring options, including a buyout of PropertyGuru (PGRU US), and are gauging initial interest from other global investors.
The favoured privatisation option for US ADRs with the Cayman Islands incorporation is a statutory merger requiring a two-thirds voting approval threshold. 
The concentrated shareholder register would suggest that TPG/KKR would aim for irrevocable from the other three substantial shareholders, facilitating a modest takeover premium. 


PropertyGuru (PGRU US): KKR/TPG Mulling a Buyout

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

US Treasury (10 Yr Generic) / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>In our two previous Int'l Compass reports (Aug. 18 &amp; 24) we discussed that we were buyers on the pullback to the major $93 support level on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US).</li>
<li>$93 on ACWI is 1+ year base support and a level that coincides with the 10-month uptrend. We remain bullish as long as the ACWI-US is above $93.</li>
<li>$93 on ACWI-US is likely the low for this pullback as long as the 10-year Treasury yield and DXY can stay below respective resistance levels (4.3%-4.35% and $103.70-$105.70).</li>
</ul>


In our two previous Int'l Compass reports (Aug. 18 &amp; 24) we discussed that we were buyers on the pullback to the major $93 support level on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US).
$93 on ACWI is 1+ year base support and a level that coincides with the 10-month uptrend. We remain bullish as long as the ACWI-US is above $93.
$93 on ACWI-US is likely the low for this pullback as long as the 10-year Treasury yield and DXY can stay below respective resistance levels (4.3%-4.35% and $103.70-$105.70).


Further Declines in DXY, Sovereign Yields May Provide More Fuel for a Rally in Global Equities

Germany

Scout24 AG is an operator of digital classifieds platforms. The Company specializes in the real estate and automotive sectors in Germany and other selected European countries.

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Scout24 AG (G24 GR)

Domain Holdings (DHG AU): CoStar Returns with a Final NBIO at A$4.43

A binding proposal should be forthcoming. The revised and final offer is attractive compared to precedent transaction multiples. The vote is low...

Arun George

Domain Holdings (DHG AU): CoStar Raids the Register and Launches a NBIO at A$4.20

While attractive to precedent transaction multiples, the offer is light compared to peer multiples. Nine, the controlling shareholder, is...

Arun George

PropertyGuru (PGRU US): EQT’s US$6.70 Offer Is A Done Deal

This is a clean deal; the vote is done, and there are no dissenting conditions or country antitrust approvals. At the last close and for end-of...

Arun George

PropertyGuru (PGRU US): KKR/TPG Mulling a Buyout

The concentrated shareholder register would suggest that TPG/KKR would aim for irrevocable from the other three substantial shareholders,...

Arun George

Further Declines in DXY, Sovereign Yields May Provide More Fuel for a Rally in Global Equities

We continue to believe $93 on $ACWI is likely the low for this pullback as long as the 10-year Treasury yield $TNX and $DXY can stay below their...

Vermilion Research

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