Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>After the large tender offer in late 2021, SBI was always going to try to take Shinsei Bank private. Now they have launched their deal at ¥2,800/share. </li>
<li>That is below fair according to the Board, Special Committee, and implicitly to SBI. But the Shinsei Board has recommended shareholders tender so The Government will vote to squeeze out. </li>
<li>I expect some upset, the possibility of some activism, but it all plays out in the back end in my opinion. Not the front end.</li>
</ul>


After the large tender offer in late 2021, SBI was always going to try to take Shinsei Bank private. Now they have launched their deal at ¥2,800/share. 
That is below fair according to the Board, Special Committee, and implicitly to SBI. But the Shinsei Board has recommended shareholders tender so The Government will vote to squeeze out. 
I expect some upset, the possibility of some activism, but it all plays out in the back end in my opinion. Not the front end.


SBI Launches Opportunistic, Unfair Offer for Shinsei (8303) And Shinsei Board Drops the Ball

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rakuten-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35638:1" rel="noopener">Rakuten Bank (5838 JP)</a>, the online banking arm of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rakuten-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31:1" rel="noopener">Rakuten (4755 JP)</a>, aims to raise up to around US$630m in its Japan listing in April 2023.</li>
<li>RB is the largest internet bank in Japan, by number of accounts. As of Dec 22, it had 13.3m deposit accounts with a total deposit base of JPY8.8tn.</li>
<li>In our earlier notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance and undertook a peer comparison. In this note, we talk about valuations in the IPO price range.</li>
</ul>



Rakuten Bank (5838 JP), the online banking arm of Rakuten (4755 JP), aims to raise up to around US$630m in its Japan listing in April 2023.
RB is the largest internet bank in Japan, by number of accounts. As of Dec 22, it had 13.3m deposit accounts with a total deposit base of JPY8.8tn.
In our earlier notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance and undertook a peer comparison. In this note, we talk about valuations in the IPO price range.


Rakuten Bank IPO - Lower Range Makes It Even More Attractive

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>2022 marked our seventh year covering Equity Capital Markets (ECM) in Asia Pacific. 2022 was rather quiet ending with us covering one of the lowest number of IPOs and placements.</li>
<li>We ended 2022 with an accuracy rate of 74.6% across 55 IPOs that we covered and 70.5% across 78 placements. </li>
<li>For those not familiar with our coverage, we aim to cover all IPOs and placements with a minimum deal size of US$100m across Asia-Pacific, including China ADRs.</li>
</ul>


2022 marked our seventh year covering Equity Capital Markets (ECM) in Asia Pacific. 2022 was rather quiet ending with us covering one of the lowest number of IPOs and placements.
We ended 2022 with an accuracy rate of 74.6% across 55 IPOs that we covered and 70.5% across 78 placements. 
For those not familiar with our coverage, we aim to cover all IPOs and placements with a minimum deal size of US$100m across Asia-Pacific, including China ADRs.


Aequitas 2022 IPOs and Placements Performance Review - From the Busiest Year to the Slowest Year

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10928:1" rel="noopener">SBI Holdings (8473 JP)</a>'s unit SBI Regional Bank Holdings KK (SBI 地銀ホールディングス株式会社) today <a href="https://www.sbigroup.co.jp/english/news/pdf/2022/1011_a_en.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> it had received FSA authorisation to turn the company into a Bank Holding Company.  </li>
<li>There are some technicalities involved. SBI announced it would buy 2.5mm shares of Shinsei on-market to get to 50.05% by end-March 2023. This will disappoint some, but...</li>
<li>I expect investors should continue to look at the big picture. Technicalities are technicalities. Strategy is strategy. The big picture is unchanged and there isn't <em>that</em> much room to manoeuvre. </li>
</ul>



SBI Holdings (8473 JP)'s unit SBI Regional Bank Holdings KK (SBI 地銀ホールディングス株式会社) today announced it had received FSA authorisation to turn the company into a Bank Holding Company.  
There are some technicalities involved. SBI announced it would buy 2.5mm shares of Shinsei on-market to get to 50.05% by end-March 2023. This will disappoint some, but...
I expect investors should continue to look at the big picture. Technicalities are technicalities. Strategy is strategy. The big picture is unchanged and there isn't that much room to manoeuvre. 


SBI Obtains Approval - Has Plan To Buy 0.965% of Shinsei - It Isn't Strategic, It's Technical

<ul>
<li>The Deposit Insurance Corporation of Japan, which owns 23.3% of voting rights in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinsei-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16897:1" rel="noopener">Shinsei Bank (8303 JP)</a> asked both SBI and Shinsei to provide answers to questions by 12 November</li>
<li>They both did on Friday and the answers were curiously lacklustre. If one of the two 'won' it may have been SBI. But we don't know what DICJ will do.</li>
<li>In other news, Shinsei reported results and a famous activist announced a 5+% stake.</li>
</ul>


The Deposit Insurance Corporation of Japan, which owns 23.3% of voting rights in Shinsei Bank (8303 JP) asked both SBI and Shinsei to provide answers to questions by 12 November
They both did on Friday and the answers were curiously lacklustre. If one of the two 'won' it may have been SBI. But we don't know what DICJ will do.
In other news, Shinsei reported results and a famous activist announced a 5+% stake.


SBI and Shinsei Responses to the DICJ and an Activist Joins the Party

Japan

Daiwa Securities Group Inc. is a holding company. The Group provides a comprehensive financial services including dealing, brokerage, underwriting, and distribution of securities.  Other services are research & systems development, custody service, and asset management. Daiwa has subsidiaries in US, Europe, Asia, and Middle East.

Japan Exchange Group Inc is the holding company created through the merger of Tokyo Stock Exchange Group, Inc and Osaka Securities Exchange Co., Ltd. The group provides and operates a marketplace for the trading of equities, futures, and options. The Group manages the trading, as well as administers listed stocks and registered members.

MATSUI SECURITIES CO., LTD. provides online brokerage services through its website.  The Company offers investment news and educational services.

Ichigo Inc. is a value-add real estate company. The Company's three key businesses are Value-Add, in which Ichigo acquires and improves mid-sized, prime location real estate, Asset Management including the Ichigo Office REIT (8975), and Clean Energy, in which Ichigo builds and operates solar power plants  on disused land nationwide.

Monex Group, Inc. is a holding company, which was established through merger between Monex and Nikko Beans. The Company manages its subsidiaries that provides investing services for self-directed investors through Internet and telephone.

OKASAN SECURITIES GROUP INC. is a comprehensive securities firm based in Mie Prefecture.  The Company is active in stock transaction for individual investors.  Okasan Holdings provides financial services such as the dealing, brokerage, underwriting, and distribution of securities.  The Company also provides investment consulting and trust services.

Tokai Tokyo Financial Holdings, Inc. is a comprehensive securities firm. The Company provides financial services such as dealing, distribution, brokerage, underwriting, and distribution of securities and investment trust.

Aizawa Securities Co Ltd is a comprehensive securities firm. The Company provides financial services such as dealing, brokerage, underwriting, and distribution of securities, and investment trust.

JAFCO Co., Ltd. forms venture capital groups to invest primarily in domestic and foreign private companies with high potential for future growth.  The Company also provides management services to the groups, makes loans and offers consultation services to the invested companies.

M&A Capital Partners Co., Ltd. is an M&A advisory firm. The Company provides advisory service in M&A due diligence, business strategy, corporate regeneration, capital increase strategy to support owners of small and medium companies with business succession.

ASX Ltd is a demutualized company which operates Australia's primary national stock exchange and equity derivatives market. The ASX operates markets for equities, derivatives, fixed-interest securities and capital-raising for unlisted companies using advanced computer systems for both trading and settlement.

Singapore Exchange Limited owns and operates Singapore's Securities and derivatives exchange and their related clearing houses.  The Company also provides ancillary securities processing and information technology services to participants in the financial sector.

Founder Securities Company Limited's major business includes securities brokerage, securities investment consulting, securities trading, financial advisory on securities investment and trading activities, proprietary trading, securities asset management, investment fund distribution, margin business, and provide intermediate agency services for Founder Futures Limited.

MarketAxess Holdings, Inc. operates an electronic, multi-dealer to client platform for U.S. and European high-grade corporate and emerging markets bond trading.  The Company's technology delivers price discovery and trade execution services to institutional and broker-dealer clients.

China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. provides securities services. The Company offers securities brokerage, securities investment consulting, securities underwriting, and other services. China Merchants Securities also operates investment management.

China Merchants Securities Co Ltd (A) (600999 CH)

GF Securities Co Ltd. is a securities firm. The Company offers investment banking services including equity and bond underwriting, mergers and acquisitions consulting, financial consulting, brokerage services, and asset management services.

Stifel Financial Corp. is a financial services holding company whose subsidiaries serve individual and institutional clients in the U.S. and Europe. The Company's broker-dealer affiliates provide wealth management, investment banking, independent research, trading, investment advisory, and related financial services.

Invesco, Ltd. provides investment management services. The Company offers equity, fixed income, separate accounts, exchange traded, collective, and balance mutual funds. Invesco serves customers globally.

SEI Investments Company provides global investment solutions and business solutions.  The Company integrates technology, research, information services, financial products, and asset management advice to serve banks, mutual fund and pension plan sponsors, insurance companies, money managers, and individual investors.

Hargreaves Lansdown PLC provides investment management services. The Company offers its services in stock brokerage, pension fund management, financial planning, and asset and wealth management. Hargreaves Lansdown serves investors in the United Kingdom.

SBI Holdings, Inc. manages venture capital fund which mainly invest in Internet related venture companies.  The Company also provides brokerage, investment banking, and financial services.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

SBI Holdings (8473 JP)

SBI Launches Opportunistic, Unfair Offer for Shinsei (8303) And Shinsei Board Drops the Ball

SBI Holdings has announced a Tender Offer for Shinsei Bank, to take out minorities, with a goal to pay the government back quickly. Therein lies...

Travis Lundy

Rakuten Bank IPO - Lower Range Makes It Even More Attractive

Rakuten Bank (5838 JP), the online banking arm of Rakuten (4755 JP), aims to raise up to around US$630m in its Japan listing in April 2023.

Sumeet Singh

Aequitas 2022 IPOs and Placements Performance Review - From the Busiest Year to the Slowest Year

2022 marked our seventh year covering Equity Capital Markets (ECM) in Asia Pacific. 2022 was rather quiet ending with us covering one of the lowest...

Sumeet Singh

SBI Obtains Approval - Has Plan To Buy 0.965% of Shinsei - It Isn't Strategic, It's Technical

SBI today announced it had received Bank Holding Company approval. To do that, it needs 50+% of votes in Shinsei. Some will misunderstand the news....

Travis Lundy

SBI and Shinsei Responses to the DICJ and an Activist Joins the Party

SBI & Shinsei both responded to the DICJ's questions, and curiously both come up with similar March 2025 profit expectations. It's not clear how...

Travis Lundy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)