Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jubilant-foodworks-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:986:1" rel="noopener">Jubilant Foodworks (JUBI IN)</a> is India’s largest food service company. In hindsight, CEO's exit in March 2022 under a high inflationary environment was just "NOISE".</li>
<li>Industry drivers are favourable, JUBI's renewed focus on growth, additional brands and a new CEO, all put JUBI back on track to deliver robust growth. </li>
<li>Currently trading at 68.5x NTM, JUBI is available at a 22% discount compared to it's 3Y mean, considering the growth prospects discussed below, this discount is attractive.</li>
</ul>



Jubilant Foodworks (JUBI IN) is India’s largest food service company. In hindsight, CEO's exit in March 2022 under a high inflationary environment was just "NOISE".
Industry drivers are favourable, JUBI's renewed focus on growth, additional brands and a new CEO, all put JUBI back on track to deliver robust growth. 
Currently trading at 68.5x NTM, JUBI is available at a 22% discount compared to it's 3Y mean, considering the growth prospects discussed below, this discount is attractive.


Jubilant Foodworks (JUBI IN) | Discount Is Attractive

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<li>YTD <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sapphire-foods-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34951:1" rel="noopener">Sapphire Foods (SAPPHIRE IN)</a> has delivered 10.5% vs <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/devyani-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33519:1" rel="noopener">Devyani International (DEVYANI IN)</a> which has delivered 7.9% and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jubilant-foodworks-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:986:1" rel="noopener">Jubilant Foodworks (JUBI IN)</a> which has delivered -16.43%  (Relative to NIFTY).</li>
<li>On an NTM basis, SAPPHIRE at 58x trades 30% cheaper compared to DEVYANI, and only 16% cheaper than JUBI.</li>
<li>The business performance is poor, the worst capital allocation among peers is not expected to change materially in the near term warranting attention to YTD outperformance. </li>
</ul>


YTD Sapphire Foods (SAPPHIRE IN) has delivered 10.5% vs Devyani International (DEVYANI IN) which has delivered 7.9% and Jubilant Foodworks (JUBI IN) which has delivered -16.43%  (Relative to NIFTY).
On an NTM basis, SAPPHIRE at 58x trades 30% cheaper compared to DEVYANI, and only 16% cheaper than JUBI.
The business performance is poor, the worst capital allocation among peers is not expected to change materially in the near term warranting attention to YTD outperformance. 


Sapphire Foods (SAPPHIRE IN) | Outperformance Not Justified

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited is an Indian diversified financial services firm offering a range of financial products and services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>The Indian Food Service Industry (FSI) is expected to clock 9% CAGR in the coming years, with QSRs likely to grow faster at 23% CAGR over FY20-25.</li></ul></div></div></div></div><div><div><div><div><ul><li>SAPPHIRE’s new scalable Restaurant economic model is a game-changer. Its omnichannel strategy and reduction in store sizes, along with other elements of the model, have led to a big shift in SAPPHIRE’s unit economics.</li></ul></div></div></div></div><div><div><div><div><ul><li>KFC India’s business is on a strong footing, with a healthy ADS and profitability.</li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

The Indian Food Service Industry (FSI) is expected to clock 9% CAGR in the coming years, with QSRs likely to grow faster at 23% CAGR over FY20-25.SAPPHIRE’s new scalable Restaurant economic model is a game-changer. Its omnichannel strategy and reduction in store sizes, along with other elements of the model, have led to a big shift in SAPPHIRE’s unit economics.KFC India’s business is on a strong footing, with a healthy ADS and profitability.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Sapphire Foods - Available Always in All Ways

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Waaree Renewable Technologies / Equity Capital Markets

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/waaree-energies-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35367:1" rel="noopener">Waaree Energies Limited (0656504D IN)</a> is looking to raise up to US$202m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal will be run by Axis Capital, HSBC, ICICI Securities.</li>
<li>As of Aug 2021, it had 24% market share out of total enlisted capacity as per the Approved List of Models and Manufacturers for solar PV module manufacturing in India</li>
<li>It currently operates three manufacturing facilities comprising four factories in India.</li>
</ul>



Waaree Energies Limited (0656504D IN) is looking to raise up to US$202m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal will be run by Axis Capital, HSBC, ICICI Securities.
As of Aug 2021, it had 24% market share out of total enlisted capacity as per the Approved List of Models and Manufacturers for solar PV module manufacturing in India
It currently operates three manufacturing facilities comprising four factories in India.


CE Info Systems (MapmyIndia) / Equity Capital Markets

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ce-info-systems-mapmyindia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34215:1" rel="noopener">CE Info Systems (MapmyIndia) (CE IN)</a> is looking to raise up to US$138m in its India IPO.</li>
<li>CE Info Systems is India’s leading provider of advanced digital maps, geospatial software and location-based IoT Technologies, as per Frost &amp; Sullivan (F&amp;S).</li>
<li>As of date on RHP, the firm’s digital maps cover 6.29m km of roads in India, representing 98.5% of India’s road network, which was 6.39m km as at Mar 2019.</li>
</ul>



CE Info Systems (MapmyIndia) (CE IN) is looking to raise up to US$138m in its India IPO.
CE Info Systems is India’s leading provider of advanced digital maps, geospatial software and location-based IoT Technologies, as per Frost &amp; Sullivan (F&amp;S).
As of date on RHP, the firm’s digital maps cover 6.29m km of roads in India, representing 98.5% of India’s road network, which was 6.39m km as at Mar 2019.


CE Info Systems (MapmyIndia) IPO - Unlike Most Indian Tech Firm Listed This Year, Firm Is Profitable

India

Sapphire Foods India Limited owns and operates quick service restaurants. The Company offers prepared food and beverages to be served on premise. Sapphire Foods serves clients in India and Sri Lanka.

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Sapphire Foods (SAPPHIRE IN)

Jubilant Foodworks (JUBI IN) | Discount Is Attractive

Jubilant Foodworks (JUBI IN) is India’s largest food service company. Industry drivers are favourable, with a renewed focus on growth, additional...

Pranav Bhavsar