Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

Inner Mongolia Furui Medical Scie / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>CSI Medical Service represents the top 50 largest and most-liquid stocks involved in medical devices, medical care, medical informatization and other medical theme from the Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing Exchanges.</li>
<li>The reference period for the December 2024 index rebal event ended recently. In this insight, we take a look at our final expected ADDs/DELs.</li>
<li>There has been no change to our list of expected changes presented in my last insight.</li>
</ul>


CSI Medical Service represents the top 50 largest and most-liquid stocks involved in medical devices, medical care, medical informatization and other medical theme from the Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing Exchanges.
The reference period for the December 2024 index rebal event ended recently. In this insight, we take a look at our final expected ADDs/DELs.
There has been no change to our list of expected changes presented in my last insight.


Quiddity Leaderboard CSI Medical Dec 24: Final Rankings; Exp ADDs Underperforming Exp DELs

Sinopep-Allsino Bio Pharmaceutical / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>CSI Medical Service represents the top 50 largest and most-liquid stocks involved in medical devices, medical care, medical informatization and other medical theme from the Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing Exchanges.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs leading the race for the semiannual index rebal event in December 2024.</li>
<li>We expect up to five ADDs and five DELs for the CSI Medical Service index during this index rebal event based on the latest available data.</li>
</ul>


CSI Medical Service represents the top 50 largest and most-liquid stocks involved in medical devices, medical care, medical informatization and other medical theme from the Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing Exchanges.
In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs leading the race for the semiannual index rebal event in December 2024.
We expect up to five ADDs and five DELs for the CSI Medical Service index during this index rebal event based on the latest available data.


Quiddity Leaderboard CSI Medical Service Dec 24: US$271mn One-Way; 1x-4x ADV to Trade for Most Names

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>The review period ends on 31 October, the changes should be announced on 29 November and will be effective after the close of trading on 13 December.</li>
<li>We forecast 4 potential changes for the index in December where there could be buying of 0.5-3x ADV in the adds and selling of between 0.5-1.3x ADV in the deletes.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have drifted lower versus the forecast deletes following the rally in the markets and the large ETF creations. That could reverse from now till review period end.</li>
</ul>


The review period ends on 31 October, the changes should be announced on 29 November and will be effective after the close of trading on 13 December.
We forecast 4 potential changes for the index in December where there could be buying of 0.5-3x ADV in the adds and selling of between 0.5-1.3x ADV in the deletes.
The forecast adds have drifted lower versus the forecast deletes following the rally in the markets and the large ETF creations. That could reverse from now till review period end.


CSI Medical Service Index Rebalance Preview: Four Potential Changes in December

<ul>
<li>CSI Medical Service represents the top 50 largest and most-liquid stocks involved in medical devices, medical care, medical informatization, and other medical theme from the Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing Exchanges.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs leading the race for the semiannual index rebal event in December 2024.</li>
<li>We expect up to five ADDs and five DELs for the CSI Medical Service index during this index review event based on the latest available data.</li>
</ul>


CSI Medical Service represents the top 50 largest and most-liquid stocks involved in medical devices, medical care, medical informatization, and other medical theme from the Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing Exchanges.
In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs leading the race for the semiannual index rebal event in December 2024.
We expect up to five ADDs and five DELs for the CSI Medical Service index during this index review event based on the latest available data.


Quiddity Leaderboard CSI Medical Dec 24: 5 Changes Possible; Exp ADDs yet to Outperform Exp DELs

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Livzon Pharmaceutical Group In / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>With rising COVID-19 cases, a pandemic outbreak in late 2024 is likely. Investors should focus on related sectors and stocks again.</li>
<li>Due to BIOSECURE Act, US companies are leaving Chinese partners.If Trump is elected, his sanctions on China's supply chain may intensify. So, there should be “valuation discount” for China CXOs.</li>
<li>Livzon may have negative YoY revenue growth in 24H1, but full-year revenue may have positive low single-digit YoY growth. Due to good dividend/repurchase policy, Livzon deserves more patience from investors.</li>
</ul>


With rising COVID-19 cases, a pandemic outbreak in late 2024 is likely. Investors should focus on related sectors and stocks again.
Due to BIOSECURE Act, US companies are leaving Chinese partners.If Trump is elected, his sanctions on China's supply chain may intensify. So, there should be “valuation discount” for China CXOs.
Livzon may have negative YoY revenue growth in 24H1, but full-year revenue may have positive low single-digit YoY growth. Due to good dividend/repurchase policy, Livzon deserves more patience from investors.


China Healthcare Weekly (Aug.18)- COVID Is Here, BIOSECURE Act Update, Livzon Deserves More Patience

China

Sansure Biotech Inc. operates as an in vitro diagnostic solution provider. The Company develops and sells upstream nucleic acid extraction kits, novel coronavirus nucleic acid detection kits, and other products. Sansure Biotech markets its products worldwide.

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Sansure Biotech (688289 CH)

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI Medical Dec 24: Final Rankings; Exp ADDs Underperforming Exp DELs

We expect the index changes to be announced after market close on 29th November 2024. We currently estimate one-way flow to be US$248mn. Most...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI Medical Service Dec 24: US$271mn One-Way; 1x-4x ADV to Trade for Most Names

We estimate the CSI Medical December 2024 index rebalance to trigger flows of US$271mn one-way. Most of the expected ADDs/DELs have 1x-4x ADV to...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

CSI Medical Service Index Rebalance Preview: Four Potential Changes in December

There could be 4 changes for the CSI Medical Service Index in Dec. Trackers will need to trade between 0.5-3x ADV. The adds have underperformed as...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI Medical Dec 24: 5 Changes Possible; Exp ADDs yet to Outperform Exp DELs

We expect US$187mn one-way flows. Most of the expected ADDs/DELs have 1x-4x ADV to trade. The expected ADDs have failed to outperform the the...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

China Healthcare Weekly (Aug.18)- COVID Is Here, BIOSECURE Act Update, Livzon Deserves More Patience

COVID is coming again. So investors can focus on related stocks. US companies leaving Chinese partners due to BIOSECURE Act. Livzon is still worth...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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