Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<div class="content-highlight">
<p>In this insight, we provide a trading strategy on the upcoming KOSPI 200 rebalance announcement in November amid heightened market volatility. The classic "bread and butter" trading strategy is to go long on the companies that could get included in the KOSPI 200 rebalance and go short on the companies that could get excluded. However, this is typical on relatively normal market conditions. In this high vol market environment, we would argue that this strategy should be tweaked a bit. </p>
<p>In the tables below, we provided a list of 7 stocks that could get included and 10 stocks that could get excluded in the next round of KOSPI 200 rebalance. In normal conditions, the regular strategy would be to go long on the 7 stocks which could get included and go short on the 10 stocks that could get excluded. </p>
<p>Because of heightened market volatility, we would argue that a BETTER strategy is to go long on the top 3 high market cap companies (which tend to be more resistant to high volatility environment) which would be SK Telecom/SK Square, Hyundai Heavy Industries, and Meritz Financial and go short on the 10 stocks that could get excluded in the KOSPI 200 rebalance. </p>
</div>


In this insight, we provide a trading strategy on the upcoming KOSPI 200 rebalance announcement in November amid heightened market volatility. The classic "bread and butter" trading strategy is to go long on the companies that could get included in the KOSPI 200 rebalance and go short on the companies that could get excluded. However, this is typical on relatively normal market conditions. In this high vol market environment, we would argue that this strategy should be tweaked a bit. 
In the tables below, we provided a list of 7 stocks that could get included and 10 stocks that could get excluded in the next round of KOSPI 200 rebalance. In normal conditions, the regular strategy would be to go long on the 7 stocks which could get included and go short on the 10 stocks that could get excluded. 
Because of heightened market volatility, we would argue that a BETTER strategy is to go long on the top 3 high market cap companies (which tend to be more resistant to high volatility environment) which would be SK Telecom/SK Square, Hyundai Heavy Industries, and Meritz Financial and go short on the 10 stocks that could get excluded in the KOSPI 200 rebalance. 


A Trading Strategy on the Upcoming KOSPI 200 Index Rebalance Amid Heightened Market Volatility

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<p>KOSPI 200 December rebalancing's review period is May 1 to October 31.</p><h2>Adds</h2><p>Below is the list of the likely additions based on the average daily market cap from May 1 to yesterday. All of them have a pretty decent shot at joining KOSPI 200 at this point.</p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
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<tbody>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"KOSPI 200 adds - screening"}'>KOSPI 200 adds - screening</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Ticker"}'>Ticker</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Cumulative average daily market cap"}'>Cumulative average daily market cap</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Average daily market cap ranking"}'>Average daily market cap ranking</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Cumulative average daily trading value"}'>Cumulative average daily trading value</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"&gt; 15th percentile"}'>&gt; 15th percentile</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"&lt; 90.00%"}'>&lt; 90.00%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"&gt; 15th percentile"}'><div><div>&gt; 15th percentile</div></div></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"PI Advanced Materials Co Ltd"}'><strong>PI Advanced Materials</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":178920}'>178920</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.19436336904045193}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'><strong>19.44%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.8148148148148148}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'><strong>81.48%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.8313253012048193}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'>83.13%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Myoung Shin Industrial Co Ltd"}'><strong>Myoung Shin Industrial</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"009900"}'>009900</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.18064633216832338}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'><strong>18.06%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.6388888888888888}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'><strong>63.89%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.9681528662420382}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'>96.82%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"SL Corp"}'><strong>SL Corp</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"005850"}'>005850</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.16233071177081637}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'><strong>16.23%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.7222222222222222}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'><strong>72.22%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.6751592356687899}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'>67.52%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Meritz Financial Group Inc"}'><strong>Meritz Financial Group</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":138040}'>138040</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.18331189030260275}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'><strong>18.33%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.8947368421052632}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'><strong>89.47%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.6268656716417911}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'>62.69%</td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="5" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: KRX &amp; FnGuide"}'>Source: KRX &amp; FnGuide</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><div class="content-highlight"><p>F&amp;F (383220), Iljin Hysolus (271940), and SD Biosensor (137310) are also meeting the inclusion screening requirements. But they do not meet the minimum listing period of 6 months, so they will not be included in the index for this rebalancing. At their current market caps, they will likely join KOSPI 200 in the June rebalancing next year.</p></div><p>Below are the passive inflow estimates for each likely addition. Meritz Financial Group and SL Corp are expected to experience significant passive inflow at 1.91x and 1.69x compared to ADTV, respectively.</p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"KOSPI 200 adds - passive inflow"}'>KOSPI 200 adds - passive inflow</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Ticker"}'>Ticker</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Estimated passive inflow"}'>Estimated passive inflow</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Shares in"}'>Shares-in</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Days to buy"}'>Days to buy (est. passive inflow / ADTV)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"PI Advanced Materials Co Ltd"}'><strong>PI Advanced Materials</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":178920}'>178920</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":10.825840665461046}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0B"}'>₩10.8B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":214798.42590200488}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0","3":1}'>214,798</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.9039685638683741}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00x","3":1}'><strong>0.90x</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Myoung Shin Industrial Co Ltd"}'><strong>Myoung Shin Industrial</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"009900"}'>009900</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":10.991761963498126}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0B"}'>₩11.0B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":427695.0180349466}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0","3":1}'>427,695</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.30905100286068315}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00x","3":1}'><strong>0.31x</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"SL Corp"}'><strong>SL Corp</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"005850"}'>005850</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":6.550051172140481}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0B"}'>₩6.6B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":254370.91930642645}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0","3":1}'>254,371</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1.6851889200919719}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00x","3":1}'><strong>1.69x</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Meritz Financial Group Inc"}'><strong>Meritz Financial Group</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":138040}'>138040</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":15.155515711760314}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0B"}'>₩15.2B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":470668.18980622094}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0","3":1}'>470,668</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1.905338234034025}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00x","3":1}'><strong>1.91x</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="5" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: KRX &amp; FnGuide"}'>Source: KRX &amp; FnGuide</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><h2>Deletes</h2><p>Below is the list of the likely deletions based on the average daily market cap from May 1 to yesterday. Of these five candidates, the first three have a higher chance of leaving the index. Then, one of the last two (Lotte Himart or LX Hausys) will likely join the rest to leave the index.</p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"KOSPI 200 deletes - screening"}'>KOSPI 200 deletes - screening</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Ticker"}'>Ticker</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Cumulative average daily market cap"}'>Cumulative average daily market cap</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Average daily market cap ranking"}'>Average daily market cap ranking</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Cumulative average daily trading value"}'>Cumulative average daily trading value</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"&gt; 15th percentile"}'>&lt; 15th percentile</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"&gt; 110.00%"}'>&gt; 110.00%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"&gt; 15th percentile"}'><div><div>&gt; 15th percentile</div></div></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Samyang Foods Co Ltd"}'><strong>Samyang Foods</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"003230"}'>003230</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.09118900815365227}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'><strong>9.12%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1.2173913043478262}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'><strong>121.74%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.5416666666666667}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'>54.17%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Ilyang Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd"}'><strong>Ilyang Pharmaceutical</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"007570"}'>007570</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.05931317465504915}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'><strong>5.93%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1.4444444444444444}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'><strong>144.44%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.5614035087719298}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'>56.14%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"LX Holdings Corp"}'><strong>LX Holdings</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":383800}'>383800</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.09812342876337998}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'><strong>9.81%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1.2}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'><strong>120.00%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.5176470588235293}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'>51.76%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"LOTTE Himart Co Ltd"}'><strong>LOTTE Himart</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"071840"}'>071840</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.09733771137498692}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'><strong>9.73%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1.1388888888888888}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'><strong>113.89%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.5605095541401274}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'>56.05%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"LX Hausys Ltd"}'><strong>LX Hausys</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":108670}'>108670</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.10423769792069448}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'><strong>10.42%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1.16}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'><strong>116.00%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.6705882352941177}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'>67.06%</td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="5" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: KRX &amp; FnGuide"}'>Source: KRX &amp; FnGuide</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><p>Below are the passive outflow estimates for each likely deletion. Samyang Foods and Lotte Himart will likely suffer the harshest passive outflow at 2.40x and 2.12x compared to ADTV, respectively.</p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"KOSPI 200 deletes - passive outflow"}'>KOSPI 200 deletes - passive outflow</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Ticker"}'>Ticker</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Estimated passive outflow"}'>Estimated passive outflow</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Shares-out"}'>Shares-out</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Days to cover"}'>Days to cover (est. passive outflow / ADTV)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Samyang Foods Co Ltd"}'><strong>Samyang Foods</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"003230"}'>003230</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":4}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0B"}'>₩4.0B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":46948.35680751174}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0","3":1}'>46,948</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":2.3955941922623576}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00x","3":1}'><strong>2.40x</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Ilyang Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd"}'><strong>Ilyang Pharmaceutical</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"007570"}'>007570</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":5.999999999999999}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0B"}'>₩6.0B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":207972.27036395145}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0","3":1}'>207,972</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1.1713189148648702}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00x","3":1}'><strong>1.17x</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"LX Holdings Corp"}'><strong>LX Holdings</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":383800}'>383800</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":5.999999999999999}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0B"}'>₩6.0B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":673400.6734006733}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0","3":1}'>673,401</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1.7705475669560264}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00x","3":1}'><strong>1.77x</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"LOTTE Himart Co Ltd"}'><strong>LOTTE Himart</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"071840"}'>071840</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":4}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0B"}'>₩4.0B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":139616.05584642233}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0","3":1}'>139,616</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":2.1244720753282564}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00x","3":1}'><strong>2.12x</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"LX Hausys Ltd"}'><strong>LX Hausys</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":108670}'>108670</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":8}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0B"}'>₩8.0B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":108695.65217391304}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0","3":1}'>108,696</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1.2487943625014968}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00x","3":1}'><strong>1.25x</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="5" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: KRX &amp; FnGuide"}'>Source: KRX &amp; FnGuide</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table>

KOSPI 200 December rebalancing's review period is May 1 to October 31.AddsBelow is the list of the likely additions based on the average daily market cap from May 1 to yesterday. All of them have a pretty decent shot at joining KOSPI 200 at this point.









KOSPI 200 adds - screening
Ticker
Cumulative average daily market cap
Average daily market cap ranking
Cumulative average daily trading value




&gt; 15th percentile
&lt; 90.00%
&gt; 15th percentile


PI Advanced Materials
178920
19.44%
81.48%
83.13%


Myoung Shin Industrial
009900
18.06%
63.89%
96.82%


SL Corp
005850
16.23%
72.22%
67.52%


Meritz Financial Group
138040
18.33%
89.47%
62.69%

Source: KRX &amp; FnGuide

F&amp;F (383220), Iljin Hysolus (271940), and SD Biosensor (137310) are also meeting the inclusion screening requirements. But they do not meet the minimum listing period of 6 months, so they will not be included in the index for this rebalancing. At their current market caps, they will likely join KOSPI 200 in the June rebalancing next year.Below are the passive inflow estimates for each likely addition. Meritz Financial Group and SL Corp are expected to experience significant passive inflow at 1.91x and 1.69x compared to ADTV, respectively.









KOSPI 200 adds - passive inflow
Ticker
Estimated passive inflow
Shares-in
Days to buy (est. passive inflow / ADTV)


PI Advanced Materials
178920
₩10.8B
214,798
0.90x


Myoung Shin Industrial
009900
₩11.0B
427,695
0.31x


SL Corp
005850
₩6.6B
254,371
1.69x


Meritz Financial Group
138040
₩15.2B
470,668
1.91x

Source: KRX &amp; FnGuide

DeletesBelow is the list of the likely deletions based on the average daily market cap from May 1 to yesterday. Of these five candidates, the first three have a higher chance of leaving the index. Then, one of the last two (Lotte Himart or LX Hausys) will likely join the rest to leave the index.









KOSPI 200 deletes - screening
Ticker
Cumulative average daily market cap
Average daily market cap ranking
Cumulative average daily trading value




&lt; 15th percentile
&gt; 110.00%
&gt; 15th percentile


Samyang Foods
003230
9.12%
121.74%
54.17%


Ilyang Pharmaceutical
007570
5.93%
144.44%
56.14%


LX Holdings
383800
9.81%
120.00%
51.76%


LOTTE Himart
071840
9.73%
113.89%
56.05%


LX Hausys
108670
10.42%
116.00%
67.06%

Source: KRX &amp; FnGuide

Below are the passive outflow estimates for each likely deletion. Samyang Foods and Lotte Himart will likely suffer the harshest passive outflow at 2.40x and 2.12x compared to ADTV, respectively.









KOSPI 200 deletes - passive outflow
Ticker
Estimated passive outflow
Shares-out
Days to cover (est. passive outflow / ADTV)


Samyang Foods
003230
₩4.0B
46,948
2.40x


Ilyang Pharmaceutical
007570
₩6.0B
207,972
1.17x


LX Holdings
383800
₩6.0B
673,401
1.77x


LOTTE Himart
071840
₩4.0B
139,616
2.12x


LX Hausys
108670
₩8.0B
108,696
1.25x

Source: KRX &amp; FnGuide



KOSPI 200 December Rebalancing: 5 Adds/Deletes & Special Considerations

<p>Below is KOSPI 200's screening methodology for the regular bi-annual rebalancing. The rebalancing trading will occur at the close on <strong>December 9</strong>, and the review period is <strong>May 1 to October 31</strong>. We will likely hear the rebalancing results in late November.</p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="150">
<col width="800">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr><td colspan="2" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Status (₩B)"}'>KOSPI 200 bi-annual rebalancing</td></tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Rebalancing"}'>Rebalancing</td>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Biannually"}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0"}'>Biannually</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":" - Effective date"}'>- Effective date</td>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Next trading day of 2nd Thursday of June &amp; December"}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0"}'>Next trading day of 2nd Thursday of June &amp; December</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":" - December"}'>- Implementation</td>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":44540}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":5,"2":"mmmm d, yyyy","3":1}'>December 10, 2021</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>- Rebalancing trading</strong></td>
<td><strong>December 9, 2021</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":" - Review period"}'><strong>- Review period</strong></td>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"May 1 to October 31, 2021"}'><strong>May 1 to October 31, 2021</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td rowspan="6" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Screening"}'><div><strong>Screening</strong></div></td>
<td rowspan="6" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Select candidates for each sector in order by the cumulative average daily market cap (the cumulative cut-off at the 15th percentile). Include the first company that crosses the 15th percentile mark. Exclude those whose cumulative average daily trading value is below the 15th percentile. Also, exclude those new entrants whose average daily market cap ranking is above 110%. If not reach a full 200 members in the first and second screenings, then re-select the current constituents whose average daily market cap ranking is within 110%. Select additional names among the unselected current constituents by the average daily market cap regardless of classification."}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0"}'><ul>
<li><strong>Select candidates for each sector in order by the cumulative average daily market cap (the cumulative cut-off at the 15th percentile).</strong></li>
<li><strong>Include the first company that crosses the 15th percentile mark. Exclude those whose cumulative average daily trading value is below the 15th percentile.</strong></li>
<li><strong>Also, exclude those new entrants whose average daily market cap ranking is above 110%.</strong></li>
<li><strong>If not reach 200 members in the first and second screenings, then re-select the current constituents whose average daily market cap ranking is within 110%.</strong></li>
<li><strong>Select additional names among the unselected current constituents by the average daily market cap regardless of classification.</strong></li>
</ul></td>
</tr>
<tr></tr>
<tr></tr>
<tr></tr>
<tr></tr>
<tr></tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Total float MC (₩B)"}'>Total float MC (₩B)</td>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1247667.684}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.0"}'>1,247,667.7</td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="2" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: KRX"}'>Source: KRX</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/231/157/original/1.png?1632295209" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="231157"></figure></section>

Below is KOSPI 200's screening methodology for the regular bi-annual rebalancing. The rebalancing trading will occur at the close on December 9, and the review period is May 1 to October 31. We will likely hear the rebalancing results in late November.





KOSPI 200 bi-annual rebalancing

Rebalancing
Biannually


- Effective date
Next trading day of 2nd Thursday of June &amp; December


- Implementation
December 10, 2021


- Rebalancing trading
December 9, 2021


- Review period
May 1 to October 31, 2021


Screening

Select candidates for each sector in order by the cumulative average daily market cap (the cumulative cut-off at the 15th percentile).
Include the first company that crosses the 15th percentile mark. Exclude those whose cumulative average daily trading value is below the 15th percentile.
Also, exclude those new entrants whose average daily market cap ranking is above 110%.
If not reach 200 members in the first and second screenings, then re-select the current constituents whose average daily market cap ranking is within 110%.
Select additional names among the unselected current constituents by the average daily market cap regardless of classification.








Total float MC (₩B)
1,247,667.7

Source: KRX



KOSPI 200 Bi-Annual Rebalancing Preview (December 9)

<p>In this insight, we discuss the stocks that could get included or excluded in the November 2021 KOSPI 200 rebalance. We highlight 15 stocks that could get included and 10 stocks that could get excluded in the upcoming KOSPI 200 rebalance.</p><div class="content-highlight">
<p>This rebalance of the KOSPI 200 strategy is a type of<strong> momentum-driven strategy.</strong> The 15 stocks that we think could get included in the next KOSPI 200 rebalance have generated strong share price performances <strong>(up 55% on average in the past six months</strong>). </p>
<p>On the other hand, the 10 stocks which we think could get excluded in the next KOSPI 200 rebalance (the bottom 5% of KOSPI 200 index in terms of market cap) have done much worse in terms of their share price performance (<strong>down 6.1% on average in the past six months</strong>). </p>
</div>

In this insight, we discuss the stocks that could get included or excluded in the November 2021 KOSPI 200 rebalance. We highlight 15 stocks that could get included and 10 stocks that could get excluded in the upcoming KOSPI 200 rebalance.
This rebalance of the KOSPI 200 strategy is a type of momentum-driven strategy. The 15 stocks that we think could get included in the next KOSPI 200 rebalance have generated strong share price performances (up 55% on average in the past six months). 
On the other hand, the 10 stocks which we think could get excluded in the next KOSPI 200 rebalance (the bottom 5% of KOSPI 200 index in terms of market cap) have done much worse in terms of their share price performance (down 6.1% on average in the past six months). 


Potential Changes of KOSPI 200 Index Components in the November 2021 Rebalance

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

<p>With <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakaobank-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33501:1" rel="noopener">KakaoBank (323410 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/krafton-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28956:1" rel="noopener"> Krafton Inc (259960 KS)</a> nearing the end of their first 15 days of trading, they are a certainty to be included in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> at the September rebalance that coincides with the index futures expiry.</p><p>Post the changes at the June rebalance, we see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lock-lock-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4739:1" rel="noopener">Lock&amp;Lock (115390 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jw-pharmaceutical-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18784:1" rel="noopener">Jw Pharmaceutical (001060 KS)</a> as the lowest ranked constituents and the stocks could be deleted at the September rebalance.</p><p>We expect the announcement of the changes on 1 September and the implementation at the close of trading on 9 September.</p><p>The impact from passive trading is not very high on the inclusions while the impact on the potential deletions is a lot higher. There is a bit of short interest on the potential deletions and some of that could be covered in the lead up to index deletion.</p><p>The dynamics of the index changes are pretty interesting. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakaobank-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33501:1" rel="noopener">KakaoBank (323410 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/krafton-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28956:1" rel="noopener"> Krafton Inc (259960 KS)</a> will be short-sell eligible from 10 September while the deletions will no longer be short-sell eligible. We suggest potential trading strategies to take advantage of these dynamics.</p>

With KakaoBank (323410 KS) and  Krafton Inc (259960 KS) nearing the end of their first 15 days of trading, they are a certainty to be included in the Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX) at the September rebalance that coincides with the index futures expiry.Post the changes at the June rebalance, we see Lock&amp;Lock (115390 KS) and Jw Pharmaceutical (001060 KS) as the lowest ranked constituents and the stocks could be deleted at the September rebalance.We expect the announcement of the changes on 1 September and the implementation at the close of trading on 9 September.The impact from passive trading is not very high on the inclusions while the impact on the potential deletions is a lot higher. There is a bit of short interest on the potential deletions and some of that could be covered in the lead up to index deletion.The dynamics of the index changes are pretty interesting. KakaoBank (323410 KS) and  Krafton Inc (259960 KS) will be short-sell eligible from 10 September while the deletions will no longer be short-sell eligible. We suggest potential trading strategies to take advantage of these dynamics.

KOSPI200 September Rebalance Preview: Double Edged Sword

South Korea

Samyang Foods Co., Ltd. manufactures instant and processed food products, such as noodles, snacks, cooking oil, and feed.  The Company also produces dairy goods including milk, cheese, and ice cream.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Samyang Foods (003230 KS)

A Trading Strategy on the Upcoming KOSPI 200 Index Rebalance Amid Heightened Market Volatility

In this insight, we provide a trading strategy on the upcoming KOSPI 200 rebalance announcement in November amid heightened market volatility.

Douglas Kim

KOSPI 200 December Rebalancing: 5 Adds/Deletes & Special Considerations

This post previews the KOSPI 200 December rebalancing: five likely adds and deletes through the regular screening and special considerations for...

Sanghyun Park

KOSPI 200 Bi-Annual Rebalancing Preview (December 9)

This post previews the upcoming regular bi-annual rebalancing of KOSPI 200, whose rebalancing trading will take place on December 9.

Sanghyun Park

Potential Changes of KOSPI 200 Index Components in the November 2021 Rebalance

In this insight, we discuss stocks that could get included or excluded in the November 2021 KOSPI 200 rebalance. We highlight 15 stocks that could...

Douglas Kim

KOSPI200 September Rebalance Preview: Double Edged Sword

KakaoBank and Krafton are high probability inclusions to the KOSPI200 in September while Lock&Lock and JW Pharma are potential deletions. KakaoBank...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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