Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Hyundai Home Shopping Network / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A third of the way through the review period, we see one potential change. There are four stocks that are close to inclusion zone and could lead to more changes.</li>
<li>Currently, Miwon Specialty Chemical Co (268280 KS) is an add while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-home-shopping-network-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2357:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Home Shopping Network (057050 KS)</a> is a delete.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samyang-foods-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9100:1" rel="noopener">Samyang Foods (003230 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lotte-confectionery-co-ltd-1feb0155-08b6-44eb-bdbd-8d67cf757dac" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25993:1" rel="noopener">Lotte Confectionery (280360 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/unid-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11197:1" rel="noopener">Unid Co Ltd (014830 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/miwon-commercial-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13416:1" rel="noopener">Miwon Commercial (002840 KS)</a> are close adds currently.</li>
</ul>


A third of the way through the review period, we see one potential change. There are four stocks that are close to inclusion zone and could lead to more changes.
Currently, Miwon Specialty Chemical Co (268280 KS) is an add while Hyundai Home Shopping Network (057050 KS) is a delete.

Samyang Foods (003230 KS), Lotte Confectionery (280360 KS), Unid Co Ltd (014830 KS) and Miwon Commercial (002840 KS) are close adds currently.


KOSPI200 Dec Index Rebalance Preview: Stocks Nearing the Inclusion Zone

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>As expected, most of the KOSPI 200 deletions, except for Bukwang Pharm, significantly outperformed the KOSPI index today.</li>
<li>Those that fit the pattern shown in the last rebalancing are CJ CGV and Bukwang. The problem, however, is that they have potential events triggering their price to fall.</li>
<li>So, I suggest paying attention to Yungjin Pharm and SK Discovery, which also have a sizable level of short interest and are expected to have stable short-coverings by end-June.</li>
</ul>


As expected, most of the KOSPI 200 deletions, except for Bukwang Pharm, significantly outperformed the KOSPI index today.
Those that fit the pattern shown in the last rebalancing are CJ CGV and Bukwang. The problem, however, is that they have potential events triggering their price to fall.
So, I suggest paying attention to Yungjin Pharm and SK Discovery, which also have a sizable level of short interest and are expected to have stable short-coverings by end-June.


Short-Covering Trend of KOSPI 200 Deletions by Month-End

<ul>
<li>Short-Selling is not possible after being deleted from the KOSPI 200. So, active short-covering for deletions is witnessed before and after the rebalancing implementation.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cj-cgv-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2885:1" rel="noopener">CJ CGV (079160 KS)</a> stands out the most at this point. Its short interest is 4.10% of SO, and the short interest has increased the most over the past month.</li>
<li>The short-covering/price movement started to be observed from the end of the prior month. So, I'd consider building positions from the third week of this month.</li>
</ul>


Short-Selling is not possible after being deleted from the KOSPI 200. So, active short-covering for deletions is witnessed before and after the rebalancing implementation.

CJ CGV (079160 KS) stands out the most at this point. Its short interest is 4.10% of SO, and the short interest has increased the most over the past month.
The short-covering/price movement started to be observed from the end of the prior month. So, I'd consider building positions from the third week of this month.


KOSPI 200 Rebalancing: Trade Short Covering Event for Deletions

<ul>
<li>The local regulators will likely announce a full resumption of short selling within this month, and it will likely be implemented either next month or at the latest within April.</li>
<li>Immediate candidates filtering on KOSPI (outside KOSPI 200): Huchems Fine Chemical, Hana Tour, Samyang Foods, and Douzone Bizon.</li>
<li>Immediate candidates filtering on KOSDAQ (outside KOSDAQ 150): UniTest and Kolon Life Science.</li>
</ul>


The local regulators will likely announce a full resumption of short selling within this month, and it will likely be implemented either next month or at the latest within April.
Immediate candidates filtering on KOSPI (outside KOSPI 200): Huchems Fine Chemical, Hana Tour, Samyang Foods, and Douzone Bizon.
Immediate candidates filtering on KOSDAQ (outside KOSDAQ 150): UniTest and Kolon Life Science.


Short Selling Full Resumption Schedule & Immediate Candidates Filtering

Myoung Shin Industrial Co.,Ltd / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>This post measures how far the rebalancing trading of passive funds is progressing at this point. This can be essential data for setting up positions close to the effective date.</li>
<li>For this purpose, each stock's net purchase data of Pension and Insurance were collected from November 25 to today (30th).</li>
<li>As we move closer to the effective date, we need to consider selecting those with the relatively slow progress of rebalancing trading among the regular rebalancing stocks.</li>
</ul>


This post measures how far the rebalancing trading of passive funds is progressing at this point. This can be essential data for setting up positions close to the effective date.
For this purpose, each stock's net purchase data of Pension and Insurance were collected from November 25 to today (30th).
As we move closer to the effective date, we need to consider selecting those with the relatively slow progress of rebalancing trading among the regular rebalancing stocks.


KOSPI 200 Rebalancing Trading Progress Checkup

South Korea

Samyang Foods Co., Ltd. manufactures instant and processed food products, such as noodles, snacks, cooking oil, and feed.  The Company also produces dairy goods including milk, cheese, and ice cream.

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Samyang Foods (003230 KS)

KOSPI200 Dec Index Rebalance Preview: Stocks Nearing the Inclusion Zone

We currently see one potential change to the KOSPI200 in Dec, though there are 4 more changes possible. There will be a lot to trade on some stocks...

Brian Freitas

Short-Covering Trend of KOSPI 200 Deletions by Month-End

This post investigates the pattern shown in the last KOSPI 200 rebalancing for short-covering on the deletions and applies it to this rebalancing...

Sanghyun Park

KOSPI 200 Rebalancing: Trade Short Covering Event for Deletions

This post discusses the trading opportunities on the short-covering event for the deletions in the upcoming KOSPI 200 rebalancing.

Sanghyun Park

Short Selling Full Resumption Schedule & Immediate Candidates Filtering

The post summarizes the short-selling full resumption schedule in Korea and offers the filtering results of immediate short-selling candidates.

Sanghyun Park

KOSPI 200 Rebalancing Trading Progress Checkup

This post measures how far the rebalancing trading of local passive funds is progressing at this point. This can be important data when we set up...

Sanghyun Park

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