Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Korea’s rights issues offer a clean arb setup—track stock rights vs. spot price, with first price as a cap, and lock in predictable entry vs. exit costs.</li>
<li>Aggressive locals skip hedging, betting the discount holds between final pricing and listing. History backs it, but it’s a case-by-case call—not a blanket recommendation.</li>
<li>Samsung SDI and Hanwha Aerospace’s KRW 5.5T raise is massive, likely flooding stock rights into the market—prime setup for arb plays.</li>
</ul>


Korea’s rights issues offer a clean arb setup—track stock rights vs. spot price, with first price as a cap, and lock in predictable entry vs. exit costs.
Aggressive locals skip hedging, betting the discount holds between final pricing and listing. History backs it, but it’s a case-by-case call—not a blanket recommendation.
Samsung SDI and Hanwha Aerospace’s KRW 5.5T raise is massive, likely flooding stock rights into the market—prime setup for arb plays.


Revisiting Korea’s Local Rights Issue Arb Setup

<ul>
<li>The discount’s tight, but this near-2-trillion-won raise is a rare mega-deal in Korea, despite the issuance ratio below 20%.</li>
<li>Samsung Electronics is in for 150 billion won, but plenty of supply remains. A smooth clearance? Unlikely. This could drive stock rights costs lower as price discovery unfolds.</li>
<li>The optimal approach is to wait for a decline in rights prices and assess hedge costs through single stock futures (or TRS, if doable), given the shorting restrictions.</li>
</ul>


The discount’s tight, but this near-2-trillion-won raise is a rare mega-deal in Korea, despite the issuance ratio below 20%.
Samsung Electronics is in for 150 billion won, but plenty of supply remains. A smooth clearance? Unlikely. This could drive stock rights costs lower as price discovery unfolds.
The optimal approach is to wait for a decline in rights prices and assess hedge costs through single stock futures (or TRS, if doable), given the shorting restrictions.


Samsung SDI Capital Raise: A Mega Deal Rarely Seen in the Local Market

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

<ul>
<li>On 14 March, Samsung SDI (006400 KS) announced a 2 trillion won (US$1.4 billion) rights offering capital raise plan.</li>
<li>Samsung SDI's 2 trillion won capital raise is likely to have a near-term negative impact on the company's share price.</li>
<li>We are negative on Samsung SDI's rights offering capital raise mainly due to shares dilution. We also remain concerned that weak demand for EVs globally could last longer. </li>
</ul>


On 14 March, Samsung SDI (006400 KS) announced a 2 trillion won (US$1.4 billion) rights offering capital raise plan.
Samsung SDI's 2 trillion won capital raise is likely to have a near-term negative impact on the company's share price.
We are negative on Samsung SDI's rights offering capital raise mainly due to shares dilution. We also remain concerned that weak demand for EVs globally could last longer. 


Samsung SDI: Announces a 2 Trillion Won Rights Offering Capital Raise

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Mar 28th which has an aggregated holding worth USD490.5bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,292mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Samsung Electronics, Hanwha Aerospace, SK Hynix, Hyundai Motor, Kia.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Mar 28th which has an aggregated holding worth USD490.5bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,292mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Samsung Electronics, Hanwha Aerospace, SK Hynix, Hyundai Motor, Kia.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Mar 28th): Samsung Electronics, Hanwha Aerospace, SK Hynix

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Short selling in Korea resumes in a couple of hours. Expect heightened volatility for a few days before things settle down.</li>
<li>Foreign investors have increased their holdings over the last five weeks and there could be further buying in select stocks on stock price drops.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200 INDEX</a> has outperformed the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index</a>, and the forecast index deletes have underperformed the indices indicating that there will be positioning for the short-sell resumption.</li>
</ul>


Short selling in Korea resumes in a couple of hours. Expect heightened volatility for a few days before things settle down.
Foreign investors have increased their holdings over the last five weeks and there could be further buying in select stocks on stock price drops.
The KOSPI 200 INDEX has outperformed the KOSDAQ 150 Index, and the forecast index deletes have underperformed the indices indicating that there will be positioning for the short-sell resumption.


South Korea

Samsung SDI Co., Ltd. specializes in developing Lithium Ion Battery (LIB) technology.  The Company also manufactures cathode ray tubes (CRTs) for televisions and computer monitors.  Samsung SDI also produces liquid crystal display (LCD) components and rechargeable batteries for cellular phones , personal digital assistants (PDAs), Energy Storage Systems and solar panels.

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Samsung SDI (006400 KS)

Revisiting Korea’s Local Rights Issue Arb Setup

This post revisits Korea’s rights issue arb setup—fine-tuning the playbook and spotting the best angles to play the spread.

Sanghyun Park

Samsung SDI Capital Raise: A Mega Deal Rarely Seen in the Local Market

Post-close, an FSS insider leaked that SDI is the first test case for the new rights issue review system. Starting Monday, the FSS will scrutinize...

Sanghyun Park

Samsung SDI: Announces a 2 Trillion Won Rights Offering Capital Raise

Samsung SDI's 2 trillion won capital raise is likely to have a near-term negative impact on the company's share price. We also remain concerned...

Douglas Kim

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Mar 28th): Samsung Electronics, Hanwha Aerospace, SK Hynix

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Samsung Electronics, Hanwha Aerospace, SK Hynix,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Korea Short Selling: Off to the Races

Data indicates positioning in different types of trades ranging from index pairs to forecast index deletions and stocks with high forward PEs. Some...

Brian Freitas

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