Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Capital Markets

Hyundai Engineering   / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Our base case valuation of Hyundai Engineering Co Ltd is EV of 3.3 trillion won, implied market cap of 5.4 trillion won, and target price of 67,475 won per share. </li>
<li>This is within the IPO price range of 57,900 won and 75,700 won per share. Given the lack of upside, we have a Negative view of this IPO.</li>
<li>Our base case valuation is based on 6.3x EV/EBITDA valuation multiple using 2022 estimated EBITDA of 526 billion won.</li>
</ul>


Our base case valuation of Hyundai Engineering Co Ltd is EV of 3.3 trillion won, implied market cap of 5.4 trillion won, and target price of 67,475 won per share. 
This is within the IPO price range of 57,900 won and 75,700 won per share. Given the lack of upside, we have a Negative view of this IPO.
Our base case valuation is based on 6.3x EV/EBITDA valuation multiple using 2022 estimated EBITDA of 526 billion won.


Hyundai Engineering IPO Valuation Analysis

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-engineering-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33008:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Engineering Co Ltd (HEC KS)</a> is looking to raise up to US$1bn in its upcoming Korea IPO.</li>
<li>Whilst the firm has a relatively high concentration of international orders in its backlog, 40% in 9M21, it has been on the down trend since 2016.</li>
<li>In this note, we discuss peer comparison, our assumptions and valuation against domestic and international peers.</li>
</ul>



Hyundai Engineering Co Ltd (HEC KS) is looking to raise up to US$1bn in its upcoming Korea IPO.
Whilst the firm has a relatively high concentration of international orders in its backlog, 40% in 9M21, it has been on the down trend since 2016.
In this note, we discuss peer comparison, our assumptions and valuation against domestic and international peers.


Hyundai Engineering Pre-IPO - Unjustifiable Premium to Most Domestic Peers

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>The success of this IPO depends on whether Hyundai Engineering can present a growth story that can justify a valuation premium of up to twice that of the local peers.</li>
<li>Of course, Hyundai Engineering is indeed in an advantageous position compared to the local competitors because it can present synergies with Hyundai Motor Group affiliates.</li>
<li>However, it depends on how specific a picture of financial growth is presented, which will be a significant challenge for Hyundai Engineering as well.</li>
</ul>


The success of this IPO depends on whether Hyundai Engineering can present a growth story that can justify a valuation premium of up to twice that of the local peers.
Of course, Hyundai Engineering is indeed in an advantageous position compared to the local competitors because it can present synergies with Hyundai Motor Group affiliates.
However, it depends on how specific a picture of financial growth is presented, which will be a significant challenge for Hyundai Engineering as well.


Hyundai Engineering IPO: Offering Details, Valuation Issues, & Index Fast Entry

Research from Asian Century Stocks, Asian Century Stocks

Michael Fritzell

Research from Asian Century Stocks

Providing financial journalism in the Asia-Pacific

Asian Century Stocks

Asian Century Stocks is a newsletter providing financial journalism for companies and stocks in the Asia-Pacific. 
The Asian Century Stocks logotype “百” stands for “one hundred” or a “century”. The economic centre of gravity is moving towards Asia. Yet most global investors are missing out.

Equity Bottom-Up

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<p>I just read the book <a href="https://www.amazon.com/Samsung-Rising-Inside-Korean-Conquer-ebook/dp/B07T9WTTZC/ref=sr_1_1?dchild=1&amp;keywords=samsung+rising&amp;qid=1623743594&amp;sr=8-1" target="_blank" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://www.amazon.com/Samsung-Rising-Inside-Korean-Conquer-ebook/dp/B07T9WTTZC/ref%3Dsr_1_1?dchild%3D1%26keywords%3Dsamsung%2Brising%26qid%3D1623743594%26sr%3D8-1&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1624323969123000&amp;usg=AFQjCNGC2aiiwDMsNjEfaxR0gESTgnBzqg" rel="noopener">Samsung Rising</a> by Geoffrey Cain and found it enlightening.</p>
<p>Samsung is a unique company: one of the best brand names to ever come out of East Asia.</p>
<p>This post will give you a brief history of how Samsung made the journey from a post-war trading company to an international technology giant. I will then describe where Samsung is today and where it could be heading in the future.</p>




I just read the book Samsung Rising by Geoffrey Cain and found it enlightening.
Samsung is a unique company: one of the best brand names to ever come out of East Asia.
This post will give you a brief history of how Samsung made the journey from a post-war trading company to an international technology giant. I will then describe where Samsung is today and where it could be heading in the future.

Founder/CEO of ROK Advisory, ROK Advisory LLC

Ken S. Kim

Founder/CEO of ROK Advisory

ROK Advisory LLC

ROK is an independent research advisory firm. We guide you to minimize the information gap between foreign and local investors in Northeast Asia with a focus in Korea, Taiwan and Japan.

Independent Research Advisory Firm

<p>In Korea the safest way to invest is to align your interest as a minority shareholder with those of the family?  Usually the key asset of the chaebol is apparent but what about SK Group? It seems we have an opportunity to hone in what the key asset is.</p>

In Korea the safest way to invest is to align your interest as a minority shareholder with those of the family?  Usually the key asset of the chaebol is apparent but what about SK Group? It seems we have an opportunity to hone in what the key asset is.

The Chaebol Dilemma - What's the Family Jewel(S)?

South Korea

Samsung Engineering Co., Ltd. provides engineering construction and project management services in the domestic and international markets. The Company constructs refinery plants, petrochemical plants, gas plants, hydrocarbon upstream, power plants, metallurgy plant, industrial plants, and water treatment facilities.

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Samsung Engineering (028050 KS)

Hyundai Engineering IPO Valuation Analysis

Our target price of Hyundai Engineering Co is 67,475 won per share which is within the IPO price range of 57,900 won and 75,700 won. Given the lack...

Douglas Kim

Hyundai Engineering Pre-IPO - Unjustifiable Premium to Most Domestic Peers

Hyundai Engineering Co Ltd (HEC KS) is looking to raise up to US$1bn in its upcoming Korea IPO. In this note, we discuss peer comparison, our...

Clarence Chu

Hyundai Engineering IPO: Offering Details, Valuation Issues, & Index Fast Entry

Hyundai Engineering, another big fish in Korea's local IPO market, put out its listing prospectus. The company offers 16M shares, representing...

Sanghyun Park

Samsung Is In A Crucial Transition

Samsung is a unique company: one of the best brand names to ever come out of East Asia, covering Samsung's history, where it is today and its future

Asian Century Stocks

The Chaebol Dilemma - What's the Family Jewel(S)?

What is the key asset of the SK Group and how should we play this over the course of time ? Here's at least what we should consider

Ken S. Kim

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