Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

United Microelectron Sp Adr / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>To our understanding, UMC and Samsung have dealt the 28nm wafer demand and have lifted 28nm wafer price in 2Q22.</li>
<li>We think it’s possible to lift the wafer price again in 2H22 if TSMC decides to further lift wafer price recently.</li>
<li>Entering the 5G era, there could be more demand in several aspects, like data storage, data transmission and processing, smartphone, and PC/NB upgrade and etc.</li>
</ul>


To our understanding, UMC and Samsung have dealt the 28nm wafer demand and have lifted 28nm wafer price in 2Q22.
We think it’s possible to lift the wafer price again in 2H22 if TSMC decides to further lift wafer price recently.
Entering the 5G era, there could be more demand in several aspects, like data storage, data transmission and processing, smartphone, and PC/NB upgrade and etc.


UMC (UMC.US; 2303.TT): Although It Could Be ~1% ASP Changed Only, but the Price Is Lifted in 2Q22.

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

<ul>
<li>SK Hynix has lost slight market share in DRAM, but gained significantly in NAND to become a strong #2 contender</li>
<li>Revenue growth expectations seem conservative given Intel consolidation, market growth expectations, and the current pricing environment</li>
<li>The company is still trading at discount valuation multiples despite improved market positioning and medium-term dividend clarity</li>
</ul>


SK Hynix has lost slight market share in DRAM, but gained significantly in NAND to become a strong #2 contender
Revenue growth expectations seem conservative given Intel consolidation, market growth expectations, and the current pricing environment
The company is still trading at discount valuation multiples despite improved market positioning and medium-term dividend clarity


SK Hynix: Improving Global Market Positioning Whilst Still Trading at Discount Valuation Multiples

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We believe TSMC shall decide whether to raise wafer price in one, or two month.</li>
<li>To our understanding, Intel has gotten the wafer allocation from TSMC for the next two years.</li>
<li>To our understanding, MediaTek is the first client to perform 4nm production, although the booking quantity is less than Apple iPhone.</li>
</ul>


We believe TSMC shall decide whether to raise wafer price in one, or two month.
To our understanding, Intel has gotten the wafer allocation from TSMC for the next two years.
To our understanding, MediaTek is the first client to perform 4nm production, although the booking quantity is less than Apple iPhone.


TSMC (TSM.US; 2303.TT): TSMC Shall Decide Whether to Raise Wafer Price in One, or Two Month.

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss the potential impact on the semiconductor supply chain if Russia invades Ukraine. Many semiconductor manufacturers rely on Russian and Ukrainian-sourced materials like neon and palladium. </li>
<li>Our guess is that the vast majority of portfolio managers are NOT likely to change their semiconductor stocks allocations in their portfolios due to concerns on the potential Russia/Ukraine conflict.</li>
<li>Palladium is mainly used to make NAND Flash memory, of which Korea and China are major producers, but fewer Taiwanese companies are engaged in this sector.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss the potential impact on the semiconductor supply chain if Russia invades Ukraine. Many semiconductor manufacturers rely on Russian and Ukrainian-sourced materials like neon and palladium. 
Our guess is that the vast majority of portfolio managers are NOT likely to change their semiconductor stocks allocations in their portfolios due to concerns on the potential Russia/Ukraine conflict.
Palladium is mainly used to make NAND Flash memory, of which Korea and China are major producers, but fewer Taiwanese companies are engaged in this sector.


Potential Semiconductor Supply Chain Crisis if Russia Invades Ukraine?

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

<ul>
<li>In their Q4 earnings calls DRAM makers posted a 6% Q/Q decline, but 47% annual growth</li>
<li>Their outlook is generally positive, with solid market drivers for the year</li>
<li>SK hynix was able to take some market share from Samsung and Micron</li>
</ul>


In their Q4 earnings calls DRAM makers posted a 6% Q/Q decline, but 47% annual growth
Their outlook is generally positive, with solid market drivers for the year
SK hynix was able to take some market share from Samsung and Micron


DRAM Market Poised for Steady Growth in 2022

South Korea

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures a wide range of consumer and industrial electronic equipment and products such as semiconductors, personal computers, peripherals, monitors, televisions, and home appliances including air conditioners and microwave ovens. The Company also produces Internet access network systems and telecommunications equipment including mobile phones.

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Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)

UMC (UMC.US; 2303.TT): Although It Could Be ~1% ASP Changed Only, but the Price Is Lifted in 2Q22.

Considering Samsung 28nm demand fraction to UMC’s total revenue, we estimate UMC's price should be lifted for ~1% and GM might increase to be ~41%...

Patrick Liao

SK Hynix: Improving Global Market Positioning Whilst Still Trading at Discount Valuation Multiples

In this insight, we analyse SK Hynix’s relative market share changes, market pricing dynamics, and revenue growth outlook, as well as an updated...

Wium Malan, CFA

TSMC (TSM.US; 2303.TT): TSMC Shall Decide Whether to Raise Wafer Price in One, or Two Month.

TSMC has the lowest wafer price among top foundry players, i.e., TSMC, UMC, GF and SMIC. For 28nm, the generic price is ~US$2,500 in TSMC, but it...

Patrick Liao

Potential Semiconductor Supply Chain Crisis if Russia Invades Ukraine?

We discuss the potential impact on the semiconductor supply chain if Russia invades Ukraine. Many semiconductor manufacturers rely on Russian and...

Douglas Kim

DRAM Market Poised for Steady Growth in 2022

DRAM makers posted a small 6% Q/Q revenue decline in Q4, but gave an outlook for solid 2022 growth after growing 41% in 2021. This seems to be a...

Jim Handy

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