IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arm-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21816:1" rel="noopener">ARM Holdings (1822695D US)</a> has launched a roadshow for its IPO. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a> offers 95.5 million ADSs (over-allotment option of 7.0 million ADS) at US$47.00-51.00 per ADS.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/arm-holdings-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:111238" rel="noopener">ARM Holdings IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/arm-holdings-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:111471" rel="noopener">ARM Holdings IPO: The Bear Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/arm-holdings-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:111704" rel="noopener">ARM Holdings IPO: Valuation Insights</a>. </li>
<li>The IPO price range values ARM at a premium to peers' multiples. DCF sensitivity analysis suggests a need for ambitious forecasts to justify the price range.</li>
</ul>



ARM Holdings (1822695D US) has launched a roadshow for its IPO. Softbank Group (9984 JP) offers 95.5 million ADSs (over-allotment option of 7.0 million ADS) at US$47.00-51.00 per ADS.
We previously discussed the IPO in ARM Holdings IPO: The Bull Case, ARM Holdings IPO: The Bear Case and ARM Holdings IPO: Valuation Insights. 
The IPO price range values ARM at a premium to peers' multiples. DCF sensitivity analysis suggests a need for ambitious forecasts to justify the price range.


ARM Holdings IPO: Unattractive Price Range

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top 100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.</li>
<li>The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.</li>
<li>Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 3 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.</li>
</ul>


An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top 100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.
The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.
Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 3 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.


Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Q2'23 marked a turning point with semi sales, memory, silicon wafer &amp; PC shipments PC registering modest QoQ growth while smartphones and server shipments barely missed the cut.</li>
<li>Despite this positive turn of events, the memory segment remains mired in losses and the outlook for foundry is getting worse, not better</li>
<li>The much anticipated second half recovery will be muted at best</li>
</ul>


Q2'23 marked a turning point with semi sales, memory, silicon wafer &amp; PC shipments PC registering modest QoQ growth while smartphones and server shipments barely missed the cut.
Despite this positive turn of events, the memory segment remains mired in losses and the outlook for foundry is getting worse, not better
The much anticipated second half recovery will be muted at best


APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Doosan Robotics  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/doosan-robotics" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36816:1" rel="noopener">Doosan Robotics (DOOSANROBO KS)</a> is looking to raise up to US$314m in its Korean IPO. </li>
<li>Doosan Robotics (DR) manufactures and sells collaborative robots (Cobots). The firm’s product portfolio primarily includes different series of robot arms as well as its coffee module. </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Doosan Robotics (DOOSANROBO KS) is looking to raise up to US$314m in its Korean IPO. 
Doosan Robotics (DR) manufactures and sells collaborative robots (Cobots). The firm’s product portfolio primarily includes different series of robot arms as well as its coffee module. 
In this note, we will talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Doosan Robotics IPO - The Negatives - But Losses Continue to Widen

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>Our base case valuation per share of Doosan Robotics is 42,826 won, which is 65% higher than the high end of the IPO valuation range. </li>
<li>We estimate Doosan Robotics to generate sales of 61.7 billion won (up 37.2% YoY) in 2023 and 97.7 billion won (up 58.2% YoY) in 2024. </li>
<li>If Doosan Robotics is compared to Fanuc, Doosan Robotics' valuation would be much lower. However, one could argue that Doosan Robotics should have higher valuation than Rainbow Robotics.</li>
</ul>


Our base case valuation per share of Doosan Robotics is 42,826 won, which is 65% higher than the high end of the IPO valuation range. 
We estimate Doosan Robotics to generate sales of 61.7 billion won (up 37.2% YoY) in 2023 and 97.7 billion won (up 58.2% YoY) in 2024. 
If Doosan Robotics is compared to Fanuc, Doosan Robotics' valuation would be much lower. However, one could argue that Doosan Robotics should have higher valuation than Rainbow Robotics.


South Korea

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures a wide range of consumer and industrial electronic equipment and products such as semiconductors, personal computers, peripherals, monitors, televisions, and home appliances including air conditioners and microwave ovens. The Company also produces Internet access network systems and telecommunications equipment including mobile phones.

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Samsung Electronics (SMSN LI)

ARM Holdings IPO: Unattractive Price Range

The IPO price range values ARM at a premium to peers' multiples. DCF sensitivity analysis suggests a need for ambitious forecasts to justify the...

Arun George

Screening for GEMs: September 2023

This insight provides an overview of our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, based on a Multifactor model, a Deep Neural...

Wium Malan, CFA

Q2'23 Semiconductor Review & Outlook

Q2'23 saw semi sales, memory, silicon wafer & PC shipments PC with modest QoQ growth. Smartphones and server shipments barely missed the cut....

William Keating

Doosan Robotics IPO - The Negatives - But Losses Continue to Widen

Doosan Robotics (DOOSANROBO KS) is looking to raise up to US$314m in its Korean IPO. In this note, we will talk about the not-so-positive aspects...

Ethan Aw

Doosan Robotics IPO Valuation Analysis

Our base case valuation per share of Doosan Robotics is 42,826 won, which is 65% higher than the high end of the IPO valuation range.

Douglas Kim

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