Chief Economist & Political Strategist, CrossASEAN Research

Prasenjit K. Basu

Chief Economist & Political Strategist

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>Germany, the EU's most consequential power, now has a "traffic-lights" coalition government with an ambitious agenda for its structural transformation into a green, digitized economy. </li>
<li>Socially-Liberal policies, including expunging 'race" from the constitution, will allow greater entry of technology professionals, and relatively smooth path toward citizenship, which should attract considerable talent. </li>
<li>With the debt brake absent in 2022, the state railway and development bank will borrow big to fund the investment surge, lowering Germany's current account surplus and boosting Eurozone growth. </li>
</ul>


Germany, the EU's most consequential power, now has a "traffic-lights" coalition government with an ambitious agenda for its structural transformation into a green, digitized economy. 
Socially-Liberal policies, including expunging 'race" from the constitution, will allow greater entry of technology professionals, and relatively smooth path toward citizenship, which should attract considerable talent. 
With the debt brake absent in 2022, the state railway and development bank will borrow big to fund the investment surge, lowering Germany's current account surplus and boosting Eurozone growth. 


Germany: Scholz-Led Traffic-Light Coalition to Redefine Left-Wing Pragmatism

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Netmarble aims to raise up to US$415m via selling 1.5% stake in Kakao Bank.</li>
<li>This is not the first selldown by Netmarble and hence, it might be kind of expected as it comes after the three month lock-up expired last month.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


Netmarble aims to raise up to US$415m via selling 1.5% stake in Kakao Bank.
This is not the first selldown by Netmarble and hence, it might be kind of expected as it comes after the three month lock-up expired last month.
In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Kakao Bank Placement - Not a Surprise but past Deal Didn’t Do Well

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>October semiconductor revenues have been released setting a new record</li>
<li>The semiconductor market, whose revenues have been following a trend since 1996, are currently well above that trend</li>
<li>The ingredients for a collapse are not developing.  The current trend seems destined to continue for at least another couple of quarters, but probably longer.</li>
</ul>


October semiconductor revenues have been released setting a new record
The semiconductor market, whose revenues have been following a trend since 1996, are currently well above that trend
The ingredients for a collapse are not developing.  The current trend seems destined to continue for at least another couple of quarters, but probably longer.


October Semi Revenues Released: Even Farther Above Trend

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The 4Q consensus DPS is ₩584, implying that this year's special dividend is ₩223 and the 4Q CAPEX is ₩12.62T.</li>
<li>From the 1P/Ord pair trade perspective, the possibility that the 1P discount will rise above 10% again is low in the short term.</li>
<li>We may have to prepare a trading setup aimed at the possibility that the CAPEX concerns may push the futures/spot into contango, leading to a spread opening.</li>
</ul>


The 4Q consensus DPS is ₩584, implying that this year's special dividend is ₩223 and the 4Q CAPEX is ₩12.62T.
From the 1P/Ord pair trade perspective, the possibility that the 1P discount will rise above 10% again is low in the short term.
We may have to prepare a trading setup aimed at the possibility that the CAPEX concerns may push the futures/spot into contango, leading to a spread opening.


Samsung Electronics Yearend DPS Revised Down

<ul>
<li>WSTS released a forecast for 26% growth in 2021 and 9% in 2022 </li>
<li>Prior WSTS forecasts have been overheated in up years and too modest in down years</li>
<li>If today's demand bubble continues, sub-10% 2022 growth is likely.  Otherwise, there could be a collapse.</li>
</ul>


WSTS released a forecast for 26% growth in 2021 and 9% in 2022 
Prior WSTS forecasts have been overheated in up years and too modest in down years
If today's demand bubble continues, sub-10% 2022 growth is likely.  Otherwise, there could be a collapse.


WSTS Semi Forecast Very Bullish for 2021-22, but Is It Realistic?

South Korea

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures a wide range of consumer and industrial electronic equipment and products such as semiconductors, personal computers, peripherals, monitors, televisions, and home appliances including air conditioners and microwave ovens. The Company also produces Internet access network systems and telecommunications equipment including mobile phones.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Samsung Electronics (SMSN LI)

Germany: Scholz-Led Traffic-Light Coalition to Redefine Left-Wing Pragmatism

The new coalition will borrow in 2022, & invest in a green, digital transformation over the next 5 years. Germany's large current account surplus...

Prasenjit K. Basu

Kakao Bank Placement - Not a Surprise but past Deal Didn’t Do Well

Netmarble aims to raise up to US$415m via selling 1.5% stake in Kakao Bank. In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal...

Sumeet Singh

October Semi Revenues Released: Even Farther Above Trend

October semiconductor revenues set a record once again, making the 2021 semiconductor market one to remember. A collapse appears unlikely in the...

Jim Handy

Samsung Electronics Yearend DPS Revised Down

Samsung's 4Q consensus DPS is ₩584, implying a special dividend of at least ₩200. It is possible that the CAPEX concerns may push the futures/spot...

Sanghyun Park

WSTS Semi Forecast Very Bullish for 2021-22, but Is It Realistic?

The semiconductor market is on a tear, and WSTS forecasts that next year will see solid growth. This Insight examines the likelihood that 2022...

Jim Handy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)