Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>One of the key events for Samsung Electronics in 1Q 2023 could be additional selling by Lee Jae-Yong and his family members to pay for inheritance taxes.</li>
<li>Samsung Electronics underperformed significantly versus KOSPI in the first quarter in the past two years.</li>
<li>As the negative issue of inheritance taxes becomes highlighted once again, this could further negatively impact Samsung Electronics and other Samsung affiliate shares. </li>
</ul>


One of the key events for Samsung Electronics in 1Q 2023 could be additional selling by Lee Jae-Yong and his family members to pay for inheritance taxes.
Samsung Electronics underperformed significantly versus KOSPI in the first quarter in the past two years.
As the negative issue of inheritance taxes becomes highlighted once again, this could further negatively impact Samsung Electronics and other Samsung affiliate shares. 


Samsung Electronics: Likely Focus on Inheritance Taxes Again in 1Q 2023

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Samsung C&amp;T had outstanding results that soundly beat consensus estimates in 3Q 2022.</li>
<li>Samsung C&amp;T generated operating profit of 796.8 billion won in 3Q 2022, up 465% YoY and 67.7% higher than the consensus estimates. </li>
<li>The strong growth of sales and operating profit was led by the biologics, construction, fashion, and resort businesses.</li>
</ul>


Samsung C&amp;T had outstanding results that soundly beat consensus estimates in 3Q 2022.
Samsung C&amp;T generated operating profit of 796.8 billion won in 3Q 2022, up 465% YoY and 67.7% higher than the consensus estimates. 
The strong growth of sales and operating profit was led by the biologics, construction, fashion, and resort businesses.


Samsung C&T: Soundly Beat Consensus Operating Profit Estimates by 68% in 3Q 2022

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergence of the major Korean holdcos and opcos amid market carnage.</li>
<li>In general, more holdcos/quasi-holdcos have been outperforming the opcos in the past year, as compared to the previous years as more investors seek value-oriented, deep NAV discount stocks.</li>
<li>We highlight 26 pair trades that involve Korean holdcos and opcos.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergence of the major Korean holdcos and opcos amid market carnage.
In general, more holdcos/quasi-holdcos have been outperforming the opcos in the past year, as compared to the previous years as more investors seek value-oriented, deep NAV discount stocks.
We highlight 26 pair trades that involve Korean holdcos and opcos.


Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Spreads Opportunities Amid Market Carnage

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>South Korea moves to the bottom of the 'big 4' as managers aggressively rotate portfolios in 2022.</li>
<li>Nearly a 5th of Asia Ex-Japan managers made the switch to underweight over the last 6-months, pushing allocations to their lowest levels in over a decade. </li>
<li>KakaoBank, Samsung SDI, Kakao Corp and Samsung Electronics Pref Shares saw allocations fall the most.</li>
</ul>


South Korea moves to the bottom of the 'big 4' as managers aggressively rotate portfolios in 2022.
Nearly a 5th of Asia Ex-Japan managers made the switch to underweight over the last 6-months, pushing allocations to their lowest levels in over a decade. 
KakaoBank, Samsung SDI, Kakao Corp and Samsung Electronics Pref Shares saw allocations fall the most.


Asia Ex-Japan Funds Rotate Out of South Korea

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We are starting to see early signs of a potential bottom on MSCI EM (EEM-US).</li>
<li>Specifically, the EEM-US has reversed topside its 6-month downtrend. If MSCI EM has indeed bottomed, we want to be buying the leaders; that is where this report comes in.</li>
<li>Specific themes include attractive opportunities in India and Thailand, and also many in Taiwan and South Korea. Attractive Sectors include Energy, Financials, Materials, and Industrials.</li>
</ul>


We are starting to see early signs of a potential bottom on MSCI EM (EEM-US).
Specifically, the EEM-US has reversed topside its 6-month downtrend. If MSCI EM has indeed bottomed, we want to be buying the leaders; that is where this report comes in.
Specific themes include attractive opportunities in India and Thailand, and also many in Taiwan and South Korea. Attractive Sectors include Energy, Financials, Materials, and Industrials.


Finding Leadership Within Emerging Markets

South Korea

Samsung C&T Corporation conducts diversified business support services and resort operation activities. The Company offers a range of services in areas including clothing retail, construction, energy, real estate, food service, and resort accommodations. Samsung C&T also operates a resort with amusement rides, a zoo, water park, golf clubs, and restaurants.

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Samsung C&T (028260 KS)

Samsung Electronics: Likely Focus on Inheritance Taxes Again in 1Q 2023

One of the key events for Samsung Electronics in 1Q 2023 could be additional selling by Lee Jae-Yong and his family members to pay for inheritance...

Douglas Kim

Samsung C&T: Soundly Beat Consensus Operating Profit Estimates by 68% in 3Q 2022

Samsung C&T had outstanding results that soundly beat consensus estimates in 3Q 2022. Samsung C&T generated operating profit of 796.8 billion won...

Douglas Kim

Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Spreads Opportunities Amid Market Carnage

In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergence of the major Korean holdcos and opcos amid market carnage. We highlight 26 pair trades...

Douglas Kim

Asia Ex-Japan Funds Rotate Out of South Korea

Active Asia Ex-Japan managers have rotated away from South Korean stocks in 2022, pushing allocations towards their lowest level in over a decade.

Steven Holden

Finding Leadership Within Emerging Markets

We are starting to see early signs of a potential bottom on $EEM. Specifically, the EEM has reversed topside its 6-month downtrend. If EEM has...

Vermilion Research

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