Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-biologics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22932:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Biologics (207940 KS)</a> reported year-over-year improvement in sales and operating profit in 1Q23. However, net profit declined 4% YoY due to one-off factor stemming from an acquisition last year.</li>
<li>The company expects stronger growth in H2 due to revenue contribution of Plant 4 and the launch of Humira biosimilar in the U.S.  </li>
<li>Based on the strength of CMO business, Samsung Biologics has raised 2023 revenue growth guidance to 15–20% YoY from 10–15% YoY announced in January.</li>
</ul>



Samsung Biologics (207940 KS) reported year-over-year improvement in sales and operating profit in 1Q23. However, net profit declined 4% YoY due to one-off factor stemming from an acquisition last year.
The company expects stronger growth in H2 due to revenue contribution of Plant 4 and the launch of Humira biosimilar in the U.S.  
Based on the strength of CMO business, Samsung Biologics has raised 2023 revenue growth guidance to 15–20% YoY from 10–15% YoY announced in January.


Samsung Biologics (207940 KS): Slow Start of 2023; Stronger Growth in H2; 2023 Guidance Raised

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos in 2Q 2023.</li>
<li>Of the 38 pair trades, 21 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos YTD and 17 of them involved opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period.</li>
<li>We highlight 38 pair trades that involve Korean holdcos and opcos.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we highlight the pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos in 2Q 2023.
Of the 38 pair trades, 21 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos YTD and 17 of them involved opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period.
We highlight 38 pair trades that involve Korean holdcos and opcos.


Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 2Q 2023

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Samsung SDI and LG Chem are expected to be newly included in the index, while Hana Financial and KT&amp;G Corporation are predicted to be excluded.</li>
<li>The correlation between the price movement and the flow direction on the rebalancing trading day of constituent changes from the past reviews was quite high.</li>
<li>We can set the price impact expectation for the upcoming review even more aggressively, given that the size of the flow x DTV is more significant than in previous cases.</li>
</ul>


Samsung SDI and LG Chem are expected to be newly included in the index, while Hana Financial and KT&amp;G Corporation are predicted to be excluded.
The correlation between the price movement and the flow direction on the rebalancing trading day of constituent changes from the past reviews was quite high.
We can set the price impact expectation for the upcoming review even more aggressively, given that the size of the flow x DTV is more significant than in previous cases.


Price/Flow Impact on Four Constituent Changes in KODEX Top 5 Plus ETF Rebalancing in June

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The market of biopharmaceuticals and CDMO keeps growing, with CAGR of about 10%. However, CGT is the "outlier". The whole story of CGT business isn’t persuasive at the current stage.</li>
<li>Lonza is still the leader.WuXi bio has secured the second place. Samsung Biologics is catching up in terms of profit margin. Different production capacity structures can bring about different changes.</li>
<li>Industry concentration of CDMO would further increase, making it difficult for new entrants to seize orders from Top CDMOs.We advise investors not to spend too much time on small CDMOs.</li>
</ul>


The market of biopharmaceuticals and CDMO keeps growing, with CAGR of about 10%. However, CGT is the "outlier". The whole story of CGT business isn’t persuasive at the current stage.
Lonza is still the leader.WuXi bio has secured the second place. Samsung Biologics is catching up in terms of profit margin. Different production capacity structures can bring about different changes.
Industry concentration of CDMO would further increase, making it difficult for new entrants to seize orders from Top CDMOs.We advise investors not to spend too much time on small CDMOs.


A Different View on Global CDMO - The Industry Trend, the Major Players, and the Outlook

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>Total short interest in Hong Kong is HK$435.1bn, marginally higher from end-December. Short notional has moved in line with the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>Total short notional of the KOSPI and KOSDAQ market has moved up since end-December and is in line with the move higher in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI2 INDEX</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index</a>.</li>
<li>Short notional in Taiwan is lower over the quarter even as the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-stock-exchange-weighted-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26056:1" rel="noopener">TWSE INDEX</a> has moved higher over the period. There has been big short covering on some stocks.</li>
</ul>


Total short interest in Hong Kong is HK$435.1bn, marginally higher from end-December. Short notional has moved in line with the Hong Kong Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX). 
Total short notional of the KOSPI and KOSDAQ market has moved up since end-December and is in line with the move higher in the KOSPI2 INDEX and KOSDAQ 150 Index.
Short notional in Taiwan is lower over the quarter even as the TWSE INDEX has moved higher over the period. There has been big short covering on some stocks.


Short Interest Movements (Q1 2023): HK, Korea, Taiwan, Australia

South Korea

Samsung Biologics Co.,Ltd. manufactures bio-healthcare products. The Company develops, refines, and distributes biopharmaceutical products.

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Samsung Biologics (207940 KS)