Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Foxconn Industrial Internet / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Over 90% of the way through the review period, we see 9 potential adds/10 potential deletes in December. However, there can be a maximum of 5 changes at a review.</li>
<li>We estimate a one-way turnover of 6.1% at the December rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 5.27bn. Index arb balances could increase the impact on the stocks.</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes this year though there has been a deterioration in performance over the last few months.</li>
</ul>


Over 90% of the way through the review period, we see 9 potential adds/10 potential deletes in December. However, there can be a maximum of 5 changes at a review.
We estimate a one-way turnover of 6.1% at the December rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 5.27bn. Index arb balances could increase the impact on the stocks.
The adds have outperformed the deletes this year though there has been a deterioration in performance over the last few months.


SSE50 Index Rebalance Preview: Consolidating After Big Outperformance

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>SSE 50 and SSE180, respectively, aim to represent the performance of the 50 and 180 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on Shanghai Stock Exchange.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at our expectations for potential index changes for SSE 50 and SSE 180 during the December 2023 Rebalance event.</li>
<li>I currently expect 5 ADDs/DELETEs for the SSE 50 index 18 ADDs/DELs for the SSE 180 index. Some of these names are different from my previous expectations.</li>
</ul>


SSE 50 and SSE180, respectively, aim to represent the performance of the 50 and 180 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on Shanghai Stock Exchange.
In this insight, we take a look at our expectations for potential index changes for SSE 50 and SSE 180 during the December 2023 Rebalance event.
I currently expect 5 ADDs/DELETEs for the SSE 50 index 18 ADDs/DELs for the SSE 180 index. Some of these names are different from my previous expectations.


Quiddity Leaderboard SSE50/180 Dec 23: US$937mn One-Way; Some Changes to Expectations

<ul>
<li>SSE 50 and SSE180, respectively, aim to represent the performance of the 50 and 180 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on Shanghai Stock Exchange. </li>
<li>Earlier this month, I discussed the historical price and volume performance of SSE 50 and SSE 180 Rebalance events in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-primer-for-sse-50-180-380-index-rebalance-events" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:109693" rel="noopener">Quiddity Primer for SSE 50/180/380 Index Rebalance Events</a>. </li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at our expectations for potential index changes for SSE 50 and SSE 180 during the December 2023 Rebalance event.</li>
</ul>


SSE 50 and SSE180, respectively, aim to represent the performance of the 50 and 180 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on Shanghai Stock Exchange. 
Earlier this month, I discussed the historical price and volume performance of SSE 50 and SSE 180 Rebalance events in Quiddity Primer for SSE 50/180/380 Index Rebalance Events. 
In this insight, we take a look at our expectations for potential index changes for SSE 50 and SSE 180 during the December 2023 Rebalance event.


Quiddity Leaderboard SSE50/180 Dec 23: 5 Changes for SSE50 and 18 Changes for SSE180

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The joint venture (JV) between state-owned SAIC Motor Corp. Ltd. and Volkswagen AG will start developing its own plug-in hybrid models, a source familiar with the matter told Caixin, in a move insiders say shows that Chinese automaking is now leading innovation instead of simply emulating foreign manufacturers.</li><li>The effort by SAIC Volkswagen Automotive Co. Ltd. is its latest to appeal more to Chinese consumers with an interest in new-energy vehicles (NEVs), which have increasingly become a key growth driver for the world’s largest auto market.</li><li>Beijing aims to make almost all new cars sold in 2035 in the country<a href="https://www.caixinglobal.com/2020-10-28/almost-all-new-cars-sold-in-china-will-be-battery-powered-by-2035-blueprint-predicts-101619926.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> eco-friendly</a> amid its push to reduce carbon emissions. </li></ul>

The joint venture (JV) between state-owned SAIC Motor Corp. Ltd. and Volkswagen AG will start developing its own plug-in hybrid models, a source familiar with the matter told Caixin, in a move insiders say shows that Chinese automaking is now leading innovation instead of simply emulating foreign manufacturers.The effort by SAIC Volkswagen Automotive Co. Ltd. is its latest to appeal more to Chinese consumers with an interest in new-energy vehicles (NEVs), which have increasingly become a key growth driver for the world’s largest auto market.Beijing aims to make almost all new cars sold in 2035 in the country eco-friendly amid its push to reduce carbon emissions. 

Volkswagen’s China Joint Venture to Develop Plug-In Hybrids for Local Market

China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>VW’s long-term software dilemma caused delays of new EV model launch. Thus, leveraging established software capability of Xpeng could help VW catch up and shorten its R&amp;D cycle.</li>
<li>We see two benefits for Xpeng: 1) a new revenue stream from tech licensing and potential reduction of supply chain costs; 2) VW’s endorsement  could help Xpeng’s overseas expansion.</li>
<li>We think the potential of Xpeng’s high-margin tech licensing being opened to more VW models and other OEMs. Our TP implies 2.5x 2024PS</li>
</ul>


VW’s long-term software dilemma caused delays of new EV model launch. Thus, leveraging established software capability of Xpeng could help VW catch up and shorten its R&amp;D cycle.
We see two benefits for Xpeng: 1) a new revenue stream from tech licensing and potential reduction of supply chain costs; 2) VW’s endorsement  could help Xpeng’s overseas expansion.
We think the potential of Xpeng’s high-margin tech licensing being opened to more VW models and other OEMs. Our TP implies 2.5x 2024PS


[XPeng(XPEV US, BUY, TP US$24.3)TP Change]: Potential of Tech Licensing and EV Sales Lifts Valuation

China

SAIC Motor Corporation Ltd., through joint ventures, manufactures and markets automobiles and related parts and accessories.

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SAIC Motor (600104 CH)

SSE50 Index Rebalance Preview: Consolidating After Big Outperformance

The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes this year but there has been a downward drift over the last few months. As we near the...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard SSE50/180 Dec 23: US$937mn One-Way; Some Changes to Expectations

My latest estimates for one-way flows for the SSE 50 and SSE 180 are roughly US$678mn and US$259mn respectively. Most of these names have fairly...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard SSE50/180 Dec 23: 5 Changes for SSE50 and 18 Changes for SSE180

One-way flows for the SSE 50 and SSE 180 could be roughly US$693mn and US$258mn respectively. SSE 50 cases are more interesting than SSE 180 cases...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Volkswagen’s China Joint Venture to Develop Plug-In Hybrids for Local Market

The joint venture (JV) between state-owned SAIC Motor Corp. Ltd. and Volkswagen AG will start developing its own plug-in hybrid models, a source...

Caixin Global

[XPeng(XPEV US, BUY, TP US$24.3)TP Change]: Potential of Tech Licensing and EV Sales Lifts Valuation

VW’s long-term software dilemma caused delays of new EV model launch. Thus, leveraging established software capability of Xpeng could help VW catch...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

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