Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/west-african-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18794:1" rel="noopener">West African Resources (WAF AU)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uniti-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29042:1" rel="noopener">Uniti Group Ltd (UWL AU)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> at the close of trading on 21 July.</li>
<li>We estimate passive trackers will need to sell 45.3m shares (A$226m; 10.2 days of ADV) on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uniti-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29042:1" rel="noopener">Uniti Group Ltd (UWL AU)</a> at the close on 21 July.</li>
<li>With over 10 days of ADV to buy from passive trackers and only 4 days to implementation, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/west-african-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18794:1" rel="noopener">West African Resources (WAF AU)</a> could outperform its peers till 21 July.</li>
</ul>



West African Resources (WAF AU) will replace Uniti Group Ltd (UWL AU) in the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) at the close of trading on 21 July.
We estimate passive trackers will need to sell 45.3m shares (A$226m; 10.2 days of ADV) on Uniti Group Ltd (UWL AU) at the close on 21 July.
With over 10 days of ADV to buy from passive trackers and only 4 days to implementation, West African Resources (WAF AU) could outperform its peers till 21 July.


ASX200 Index Rebalance: West African Resources (WAF) In; Uniti Group (UWL) Out

<ul>
<li>There could be one change to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> in July following the privatisation of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uniti-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29042:1" rel="noopener">Uniti Group Ltd (UWL AU)</a>. </li>
<li>Then there will be a whole bunch of changes to the S&amp;P/ASX 100 Index, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> and S&amp;P/ASX 300 Index in September as part of the regular rebalance. </li>
<li>There is large short interest on a couple of the potential adds and a lot of the potential deletes. That will drive stock price moves closer to implementation.</li>
</ul>


There could be one change to the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) in July following the privatisation of Uniti Group Ltd (UWL AU). 
Then there will be a whole bunch of changes to the S&amp;P/ASX 100 Index, S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) and S&amp;P/ASX 300 Index in September as part of the regular rebalance. 
There is large short interest on a couple of the potential adds and a lot of the potential deletes. That will drive stock price moves closer to implementation.


S&P/​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Sep): Plenty of High Impact Changes

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for S&amp;P ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the September 2022 Rebalance.</li>
<li>In addition to the Regular Rebalance changes, M&amp;A events involving <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uniti-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29042:1" rel="noopener">Uniti Group Ltd (UWL AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration (LNK AU)</a><em>could</em> also cause index changes during this quarter.</li>
<li>The historical price and volume performance of high conviction ADDs/DELs and potential LONG-SHORT trade ideas involving these names are also discussed in this insight.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for S&amp;P ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the September 2022 Rebalance.
In addition to the Regular Rebalance changes, M&amp;A events involving Uniti Group Ltd (UWL AU) and Link Administration (LNK AU)could also cause index changes during this quarter.
The historical price and volume performance of high conviction ADDs/DELs and potential LONG-SHORT trade ideas involving these names are also discussed in this insight.


S&P/​​​​​ASX Quiddity Leaderboard Sep 2022: Uniti Deletion & Many Other Changes for ASX 200 & 300

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crown-resorts-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:808:1" rel="noopener">Crown Resorts (CWN AU)</a>'s Second Court hearing is scheduled for 15 June and the stock is likely to stop trading at the close on that day. </li>
<li>Estimated passive tracker selling is 62m shares (A$809m; 31.2 days of ADV) of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crown-resorts-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:808:1" rel="noopener">Crown Resorts (CWN AU)</a> and that could open up some arb opportunities.</li>
<li>We expect <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/whitehaven-coal-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14253:1" rel="noopener">Whitehaven Coal (WHC AU)</a> will be added to the S&amp;P/ASX 100 Index, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coronado-global-resources-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27473:1" rel="noopener">Coronado Global Resources Inc (CRN AU)</a> could be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a>. </li>
</ul>



Crown Resorts (CWN AU)'s Second Court hearing is scheduled for 15 June and the stock is likely to stop trading at the close on that day. 
Estimated passive tracker selling is 62m shares (A$809m; 31.2 days of ADV) of Crown Resorts (CWN AU) and that could open up some arb opportunities.
We expect Whitehaven Coal (WHC AU) will be added to the S&amp;P/ASX 100 Index, while Coronado Global Resources Inc (CRN AU) could be added to the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX). 


Crown Resorts (CWN AU): Passive Sell Flow and Potential ASX100/200 Replacements

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/core-lithium-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14712:1" rel="noopener">Core Lithium Ltd (CXO AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lake-resources-nl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14597:1" rel="noopener">Lake Resources Nl (LKE AU)</a> and Piedmont Lithium ADR have been added to the MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avz-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6148:1" rel="noopener">AVZ Minerals</a> has been deleted. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/core-lithium-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14712:1" rel="noopener">Core Lithium Ltd (CXO AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lake-resources-nl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14597:1" rel="noopener">Lake Resources Nl (LKE AU)</a> are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200</a> additions that will be also implemented at the close of trading on 17 June.</li>
<li>With only 4 trading days to implementation (Monday is a holiday), the stocks with significant days of ADV to trade could out(under)perform their peers and the market.</li>
</ul>



Core Lithium Ltd (CXO AU), Lake Resources Nl (LKE AU) and Piedmont Lithium ADR have been added to the MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index. AVZ Minerals has been deleted. 

Core Lithium Ltd (CXO AU) and Lake Resources Nl (LKE AU) are S&amp;P/ASX 200 additions that will be also implemented at the close of trading on 17 June.
With only 4 trading days to implementation (Monday is a holiday), the stocks with significant days of ADV to trade could out(under)perform their peers and the market.


MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: CXO & LKE Added; AVZ Out

Australia

The S&P/ASX 200 measures the performance of the 200 largest index-eligible stocks listed on the ASX by float-adjusted market capitalization. Representative liquid and tradable, it is widely considered Australia's preeminent benchmark index. The index is float-adjusted. The index was launched in April 2000.

S&P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)

ASX200 Index Rebalance: West African Resources (WAF) In; Uniti Group (UWL) Out

West African Resources (WAF) will replace Uniti Group in the ASX200 at the close on 21 July. There is a lot to buy on WAF and the stock should...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Sep): Plenty of High Impact Changes

There are a lot of potential changes to the S&P/ASX family of indices over the next few months. Passive trading impact is high on a lot of stocks...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Quiddity Leaderboard Sep 2022: Uniti Deletion & Many Other Changes for ASX 200 & 300

Uniti Group could get deleted from the ASX 200 and ASX 300 in July 2022. The potential replacement names could be very high impact index inclusion...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Crown Resorts (CWN AU): Passive Sell Flow and Potential ASX100/200 Replacements

Crown Resorts has received all reg approvals. The court hearing takes place 15 Jun & the stock could stop trading at the close. There will be large...

Brian Freitas

MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: CXO & LKE Added; AVZ Out

CXO AU and LKE AU have been added to the REMX, while AVZ has been deleted. CXO and LKE are also adds to the ASX200 Index with both implementations...

Brian Freitas

ASX200 Index Rebalance: West African Resources (WAF) In; Uniti Group (UWL) Out

West African Resources (WAF) will replace Uniti Group in the ASX200 at the close on 21 July. There is a lot to buy on WAF and the stock should...

Brian Freitas

S&P/​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Sep): Plenty of High Impact Changes

There are a lot of potential changes to the S&P/ASX family of indices over the next few months. Passive trading impact is high on a lot of stocks...

Brian Freitas

S&P/​​​​​ASX Quiddity Leaderboard Sep 2022: Uniti Deletion & Many Other Changes for ASX 200 & 300

Uniti Group could get deleted from the ASX 200 and ASX 300 in July 2022. The potential replacement names could be very high impact index inclusion...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Crown Resorts (CWN AU): Passive Sell Flow and Potential ASX100/200 Replacements

Crown Resorts has received all reg approvals. The court hearing takes place 15 Jun & the stock could stop trading at the close. There will be large...

Brian Freitas

MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: CXO & LKE Added; AVZ Out

CXO AU and LKE AU have been added to the REMX, while AVZ has been deleted. CXO and LKE are also adds to the ASX200 Index with both implementations...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Sep): Plenty of High Impact Changes

S&P/ASX Quiddity Leaderboard Sep 2022: Uniti Deletion & Many Other Changes for ASX 200 & 300