Understanding Oil Price Shocks: What to Expect from Asset Class Returns?
Oil price shocks push inflation higher and favor Gold as an asset class, but unlike what many believe, are not bad news for Equities!
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Asset Allocation Watch: Best not hope for cuts
Recent developments in components of the inflation basket leave us less convinced of the path ahead for the Fed but judging by funds futures, the...
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Evolving Correlation Between Oil Prices and US Sector Credit Risks
A strong recovery in developed economies’ growth prospects and expectations of restricted oil supply till the end of 2024 have rallied oil...
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Positioning Watch: Energy is not (yet) a consensus
Over the past week we received the monthly Fund Manager survey suggesting that UK and Europe are now (clearly) underweight relative to benchmark...
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The Weekly Market Monitor – The ECB’s Unreasonable Hike While the UK Falls into Recession
Markets got a dovish ECB hike but wrapped in a highly conflicting message, and one that will likely qualify as a policy mistake in hindsight.
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