Energy Transition | AI | Shifting World Order, Mint Finance

Pranay Yadav

Energy Transition | AI | Shifting World Order

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>FOMC decided to hold rates steady and their statement suggested that members were not expecting further rate hikes. </li>
<li>FOMC's economic projections suggest 3 rate cuts next year as well as a soft landing for the US economy, reaffirming market view.</li>
<li>Equities surge while dollar falls and bond-yields fall to multi-month low. Gold and Silver rally sharply. EUR and GBP rally but underperform relative to JPY and AUD. </li>
</ul>


FOMC decided to hold rates steady and their statement suggested that members were not expecting further rate hikes. 
FOMC's economic projections suggest 3 rate cuts next year as well as a soft landing for the US economy, reaffirming market view.
Equities surge while dollar falls and bond-yields fall to multi-month low. Gold and Silver rally sharply. EUR and GBP rally but underperform relative to JPY and AUD. 


Mint Macro Roundup: Powell Has Gifted Fed Pivot. Markets in Merry. What to Expect from ECB and BoE?

<ul>
<li>In November, CPI rose 0.1% Month-on-Month. CPI cooled to annual rate of 3.1%, in-line with expectations. Core inflation unchanged at 4%, double the Fed target.</li>
<li>2.3% MoM decline in energy prices kept inflation low while core inflation rose 0.3% MoM. Rent remains concern, shelter costs rose 0.4% MoM. Early indicators point to declining rent. </li>
<li>Equities markets stronger following release. Other markets looking for further signals from FOMC meeting.</li>
</ul>


In November, CPI rose 0.1% Month-on-Month. CPI cooled to annual rate of 3.1%, in-line with expectations. Core inflation unchanged at 4%, double the Fed target.
2.3% MoM decline in energy prices kept inflation low while core inflation rose 0.3% MoM. Rent remains concern, shelter costs rose 0.4% MoM. Early indicators point to declining rent. 
Equities markets stronger following release. Other markets looking for further signals from FOMC meeting.


Mint Macro Roundup: US November CPI, Lower Oil But Higher Rent

Senior Equity Derivatives Trader

Simon Harris

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Weekly summary of vol changes and moves across Global Markets</li>
<li>Analysing ATM volatility and skew changes over the last 5 days</li>
<li>We suggest a few trades to take advantage of the implied vol surfaces</li>
</ul>


Weekly summary of vol changes and moves across Global Markets
Analysing ATM volatility and skew changes over the last 5 days
We suggest a few trades to take advantage of the implied vol surfaces


EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades-Soft Landing

Global Multi-Asset Investment Strategist, True Insights

Jeroen Blokland

Global Multi-Asset Investment Strategist

Build Well-Diversified Multi-Asset Portfolios

True Insights

Our research helps investors build well-diversified multi-asset portfolios and profit from market developments. In addition, our unique and proven Macro – Sentiment – Valuation (MSV) investment framework ensures a consistent flow of new investment opportunities. Together with our market views, these opportunities will be reflected in our live ETF-based Global Multi-Asset Portfolios.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Despite the USD declining and OPEC pledging more production cuts, oil has entered a Bear Market. We discuss the disadvantages of being a (price) cartel.</li>
<li>Will the Bank of Japan finally end its extremely loose monetary policy? While investors are betting it will happen as soon as mid-December, the latest inflation data and previous statements of central bank Governor Ueda suggest otherwise.</li>
<li>Next to Federal Reserve hopium, the unanimous embracing of the soft landing, liquidity has boosted equities and other liquidity-driven asset classes like Bitcoin and Gold. </li>
</ul>


Despite the USD declining and OPEC pledging more production cuts, oil has entered a Bear Market. We discuss the disadvantages of being a (price) cartel.
Will the Bank of Japan finally end its extremely loose monetary policy? While investors are betting it will happen as soon as mid-December, the latest inflation data and previous statements of central bank Governor Ueda suggest otherwise.
Next to Federal Reserve hopium, the unanimous embracing of the soft landing, liquidity has boosted equities and other liquidity-driven asset classes like Bitcoin and Gold. 


The Weekly Market Monitor – Oil & China Bear Markets, but Liquidity Saves the Day!

<ul>
<li>In the past four months or so, stock prices haven’t done all that much. The MSCI World Index measured stands 1.5% higher than at the beginning of July.</li>
<li>However, cash has performed just as well as equities, or even slightly better in the case of the MSCI World Index, with much lower risk.</li>
<li>If we were to compare the Sharpe ratios (return divided by realized volatility) of stocks and cash over the past months, the gap between the two categories would be huge.</li>
</ul>


In the past four months or so, stock prices haven’t done all that much. The MSCI World Index measured stands 1.5% higher than at the beginning of July.
However, cash has performed just as well as equities, or even slightly better in the case of the MSCI World Index, with much lower risk.
If we were to compare the Sharpe ratios (return divided by realized volatility) of stocks and cash over the past months, the gap between the two categories would be huge.


Investing Is About Return and Risk – Update 34027

United States

The S&P 500® is widely regarded as the best single gauge of large-cap U.S. equities and serves as the foundation for a wide range of investment products. The index includes 500 leading companies and captures approximately 80% coverage of available market capitalization.

S&P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)

Mint Macro Roundup: Powell Has Gifted Fed Pivot. Markets in Merry. What to Expect from ECB and BoE?

FOMC holds rates steady, signaling no further hikes. Economic projections hint at rate cuts and a soft landing for US economy. Equities rise,...

Mint Finance

Mint Macro Roundup: US November CPI, Lower Oil But Higher Rent

November CPI rose 0.1% MoM, cooling to an annual rate of 3.1%. Core inflation remains at 4%, double the Fed target. Energy prices declined, but...

Mint Finance

EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades-Soft Landing

A weekly look at spot, vol and skew changes across 8 global Indices. We analyse the changes and try to identify the best trades based on the vol...

Simon Harris

The Weekly Market Monitor – Oil & China Bear Markets, but Liquidity Saves the Day!

Investments highlighted: Oil, Gold, Copper, Commodities, Japanese Yen, Nikkei, Chinese equities, Hang Seng Index, Bitcoin, and US Treasuries.

Jeroen Blokland

Investing Is About Return and Risk – Update 34027

The Weekly Market Monitor keeps you updated on the week’s most important charts and developments in financial markets. Investments highlighted:...

Jeroen Blokland

Mint Macro Roundup: Powell Has Gifted Fed Pivot. Markets in Merry. What to Expect from ECB and BoE?

​FOMC holds rates steady, signaling no further hikes. Economic projections hint at rate cuts and a soft landing for US economy. Equities rise,...

Mint Finance

Mint Macro Roundup: US November CPI, Lower Oil But Higher Rent

​November CPI rose 0.1% MoM, cooling to an annual rate of 3.1%. Core inflation remains at 4%, double the Fed target. Energy prices declined, but...

Mint Finance

EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades-Soft Landing

A weekly look at spot, vol and skew changes across 8 global Indices. We analyse the changes and try to identify the best trades based on the vol...

Simon Harris

The Weekly Market Monitor – Oil & China Bear Markets, but Liquidity Saves the Day!

Investments highlighted: Oil, Gold, Copper, Commodities, Japanese Yen, Nikkei, Chinese equities, Hang Seng Index, Bitcoin, and US Treasuries.

Jeroen Blokland

Investing Is About Return and Risk – Update 34027

The Weekly Market Monitor keeps you updated on the week’s most important charts and developments in financial markets. Investments highlighted:...

Jeroen Blokland

FOMC holds rates steady, signaling no further hikes. Economic projections hint at rate cuts and a soft landing for US economy. Equities rise,...

November CPI rose 0.1% MoM, cooling to an annual rate of 3.1%. Core inflation remains at 4%, double the Fed target. Energy prices declined, but...