Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>We are now ready to present our Macro Regime Indicator framework</li>
<li>We base our tactical allocation indicator on three major variables: Liquidity, inflation and growth</li>
<li>We find liquidity to be added short-term, inflation to be waning and growth to be somewhat bouncing. All-in-all BETTER than feared.</li>
</ul>


We are now ready to present our Macro Regime Indicator framework
We base our tactical allocation indicator on three major variables: Liquidity, inflation and growth
We find liquidity to be added short-term, inflation to be waning and growth to be somewhat bouncing. All-in-all BETTER than feared.


Asset Allocation Watch: Introducing Our Macro Regime Indicator Methodology

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Over the past two weeks, we have been steadfast in our belief that this current rally/short squeeze is likely to fizzle in the 4100-4165 area on the S&amp;P 500.</li>
<li>There has yet to be any meaningful deterioration and we cannot rule out the SPX reaching higher, potentially for 4300-4325 (August 2022 highs).</li>
<li>We continue to preach caution and believe upside is limited on the market indexes. Any combination of a continued strong labor market or hotter-than-expected inflation could upset the market.</li>
</ul>


Over the past two weeks, we have been steadfast in our belief that this current rally/short squeeze is likely to fizzle in the 4100-4165 area on the S&amp;P 500.
There has yet to be any meaningful deterioration and we cannot rule out the SPX reaching higher, potentially for 4300-4325 (August 2022 highs).
We continue to preach caution and believe upside is limited on the market indexes. Any combination of a continued strong labor market or hotter-than-expected inflation could upset the market.


Downgrading Energy; SPX Final Reach Up to 4300-4325?; Buys in Restaurants, Retailers, Industrials

Technical Analysis / Chartered Market Technician, The Markets Academy

David Coloretti, CMT

Technical Analysis / Chartered Market Technician

The Markets Academy

TMA implements 2 strategies. 1) Tactical ... Trend Sustainability Score (TSS) allows TMA to identify exhaustion / reversal points in interim trends by utilising our proprietary analysis of ST momentum indicators. 2) Medium Term ... our 3 Pillars approach to technical analysis allows TMA to determine high probability medium term outcomes in markets.

<ul>
<li>At TMA we deliver high probability outcomes by focusing on our 3 pillars of technical analysis. •1) Response to key levels. •2) Price action. •3) Momentum confirmation.</li>
<li>Last week delivered a host of bullish MT USD reversal patterns across USD/G10 and USD/Asia pairs.</li>
<li>USDJPY has responded impulsively to critical LT support around 127.50. February has the potential to confirm a return to the multi-year uptrend with aggressive targets around 175/180.</li>
</ul>


At TMA we deliver high probability outcomes by focusing on our 3 pillars of technical analysis. •1) Response to key levels. •2) Price action. •3) Momentum confirmation.
Last week delivered a host of bullish MT USD reversal patterns across USD/G10 and USD/Asia pairs.
USDJPY has responded impulsively to critical LT support around 127.50. February has the potential to confirm a return to the multi-year uptrend with aggressive targets around 175/180.


USDJPY - Is USDJPY Confirming a Return to the Long-Term Uptrend?

High Quality Stock Setups, Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

High Quality Stock Setups

Finding high potential stock setups on quality companies

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>According to BeSpoke investment firm research, the top 10% of the most heavily shorted stocks are up an average of 36.3% so far this year.</li><li>This includes troubled retailer Bed Bath &amp; Beyond (BBBY) whose shares surged by more than 18% Thursday, a day after they missed a Feb. 1 interest payment and warned that it might file for bankruptcy within weeks.</li><li>Other stocks like online car dealer Carvana and any company which has anything remotely associated with artificial intelligence (AI) have seen similar spikes.</li></ul>

According to BeSpoke investment firm research, the top 10% of the most heavily shorted stocks are up an average of 36.3% so far this year.This includes troubled retailer Bed Bath &amp; Beyond (BBBY) whose shares surged by more than 18% Thursday, a day after they missed a Feb. 1 interest payment and warned that it might file for bankruptcy within weeks.Other stocks like online car dealer Carvana and any company which has anything remotely associated with artificial intelligence (AI) have seen similar spikes.

Senior Equity Derivatives Trader

Simon Harris

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Weekly summary of vol changes and moves across Global Markets</li>
<li>Analysing ATM volatility and skew changes over the last 5 days</li>
<li>We suggest a few trades to take advantage of the implied vol surfaces</li>
</ul>


Weekly summary of vol changes and moves across Global Markets
Analysing ATM volatility and skew changes over the last 5 days
We suggest a few trades to take advantage of the implied vol surfaces


EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades

United States

The S&P 500® is widely regarded as the best single gauge of large-cap U.S. equities and serves as the foundation for a wide range of investment products. The index includes 500 leading companies and captures approximately 80% coverage of available market capitalization.

S&P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)

Asset Allocation Watch: Introducing Our Macro Regime Indicator Methodology

Our macro regime indicator is based on liquidity, inflation and growth, which are the three most important tactical asset allocation variables....

Steno Research

Downgrading Energy; SPX Final Reach Up to 4300-4325?; Buys in Restaurants, Retailers, Industrials

We have expected this squeeze to fizzle in the 4100-4165 $SPX area, but with no meaningful deterioration, we could see the $SPX reach for 4300-4325...

Vermilion Research

USDJPY - Is USDJPY Confirming a Return to the Long-Term Uptrend?

30+ years as a technical analyst and a razor sharp focus on momentum confirmation delivered TMA a 75% unleveraged return on our 7 Smartkarma...

David Coloretti, CMT

Weekly Stock Bullfinder - Week of 2/6

According to BeSpoke investment firm research, the top 10% of the most heavily shorted stocks are up an average of 36.3% so far this year.

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades

A weekly look at spot, vol and skew changes across 8 global Indices. We analyse the changes and try to identify the best trades based on the vol...

Simon Harris