Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY 50 Index</a> closed last week up at 19751.05, 2nd week up, in synch with the S&amp;P 500 INDEX WEEKLY bounce.</li>
<li>The index has not moved up much from a price perspective, weak bounce. Resistance levels must be monitored: if the index rallies this week it could pull back next week.</li>
<li>The trade orientation is to go SHORT once the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY</a> reaches Q2/Q3 OVERBOUGHT resistance levels in the 20167-20230 price area, this week. SHORT Trade at Close is also valid.</li>
</ul>


The NIFTY 50 Index closed last week up at 19751.05, 2nd week up, in synch with the S&amp;P 500 INDEX WEEKLY bounce.
The index has not moved up much from a price perspective, weak bounce. Resistance levels must be monitored: if the index rallies this week it could pull back next week.
The trade orientation is to go SHORT once the NIFTY reaches Q2/Q3 OVERBOUGHT resistance levels in the 20167-20230 price area, this week. SHORT Trade at Close is also valid.


EQD | NIFTY WEEKLY Weak Bounce, Ready to Fall Next Week?

Head of Research, Steno Research

Emil Moller

Head of Research

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Chinese stimulus, US CPI, and Gaza Bombardment now likely turning into a land invasion.</li><li>Plenty of events to digest in the scope of one week! Which of course leaves us with the question we attempt to answer every Saturday: How are markets positioned?</li><li>But before diving into that, we think it prudent to act with some context to the nature of the situation that markets have to digest</li></ul>

Chinese stimulus, US CPI, and Gaza Bombardment now likely turning into a land invasion.Plenty of events to digest in the scope of one week! Which of course leaves us with the question we attempt to answer every Saturday: How are markets positioned?But before diving into that, we think it prudent to act with some context to the nature of the situation that markets have to digest

Positioning Watch:  Seeking Shelter in the Fog of War

<ul><li>The world has seen significant changes since the last release of Portfolio Watch, marked by the tragic events in the Middle East.</li><li>To add some context, it is perhaps helpful to refresh the six key takeaways before the Hamas incursion into Israel on Saturday.</li><li>1) We are on the sideline on Bonds but it is starting to look juicy 2) Yield curve steepener is good risk reward 3) We’re bearish on equities 4) We don’t wanna bet against the USD 5) Credit spreads are bound to widen  6) We think banks are starting to look detached from fundamentals</li></ul>

The world has seen significant changes since the last release of Portfolio Watch, marked by the tragic events in the Middle East.To add some context, it is perhaps helpful to refresh the six key takeaways before the Hamas incursion into Israel on Saturday.1) We are on the sideline on Bonds but it is starting to look juicy 2) Yield curve steepener is good risk reward 3) We’re bearish on equities 4) We don’t wanna bet against the USD 5) Credit spreads are bound to widen  6) We think banks are starting to look detached from fundamentals

Portfolio Watch: The Art of Resisting Panic

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

<ul><li>In light of the firmer than expected CPI report from the US, we have re-visited our curve views across major currencies.</li><li>We find the following to be decent risk/rewards:USD-EUR spreads can widen further due to diverging inflation outlooks.</li><li>We see value in March-2024 spreads.</li></ul>

In light of the firmer than expected CPI report from the US, we have re-visited our curve views across major currencies.We find the following to be decent risk/rewards:USD-EUR spreads can widen further due to diverging inflation outlooks.We see value in March-2024 spreads.

Rates Watch: Are we all still chasing that cutting cycle too early?

Senior Equity Derivatives Trader

Simon Harris

<ul>
<li>Weekly summary of vol changes and moves across Global Markets</li>
<li>Analysing ATM volatility and skew changes over the last 5 days</li>
<li>We suggest a few trades to take advantage of the implied vol surfaces</li>
</ul>


Weekly summary of vol changes and moves across Global Markets
Analysing ATM volatility and skew changes over the last 5 days
We suggest a few trades to take advantage of the implied vol surfaces


EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades- Tensions Rise

United States

The S&P 500® is widely regarded as the best single gauge of large-cap U.S. equities and serves as the foundation for a wide range of investment products. The index includes 500 leading companies and captures approximately 80% coverage of available market capitalization.

S&P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)

EQD | NIFTY WEEKLY Weak Bounce, Ready to Fall Next Week?

The NIFTY 50 Index closed higher last week, but resistance levels should be monitored as a potential pullback could occur the week after this, if...

Nico Rosti

Positioning Watch: Seeking Shelter in the Fog of War

Chinese stimulus, US CPI, and Gaza Bombardment now likely turning into a land invasion. Plenty of events to digest in the scope of one week!

Steno Research

Portfolio Watch: The Art of Resisting Panic

The world has seen significant changes since the last release of Portfolio Watch, marked by the tragic events in the Middle East.

Steno Research

Rates Watch: Are we all still chasing that cutting cycle too early?

In light of the firmer than expected CPI report from the US, we have re-visited our curve views across major currencies. We find the following to...

Steno Research

EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades- Tensions Rise

A weekly look at spot, vol and skew changes across 8 global Indices. We analyse the changes and try to identify the best trades based on the vol...

Simon Harris

EQD | NIFTY WEEKLY Weak Bounce, Ready to Fall Next Week?

​The NIFTY 50 Index closed higher last week, but resistance levels should be monitored as a potential pullback could occur the week after this, if...

Nico Rosti

Positioning Watch: Seeking Shelter in the Fog of War

Chinese stimulus, US CPI, and Gaza Bombardment now likely turning into a land invasion. Plenty of events to digest in the scope of one week!

Steno Research

Portfolio Watch: The Art of Resisting Panic

The world has seen significant changes since the last release of Portfolio Watch, marked by the tragic events in the Middle East.

Steno Research

Rates Watch: Are we all still chasing that cutting cycle too early?

In light of the firmer than expected CPI report from the US, we have re-visited our curve views across major currencies. We find the following to...

Steno Research

EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades- Tensions Rise

A weekly look at spot, vol and skew changes across 8 global Indices. We analyse the changes and try to identify the best trades based on the vol...

Simon Harris

The NIFTY 50 Index closed higher last week, but resistance levels should be monitored as a potential pullback could occur the week after this, if...