Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Large-cap aerospace and defense stocks remain leadership, emerging from recent market volatility to achieve new relative strength highs. Aero/defense-related names continue to be favorites of ours within the Manufacturing Sector.  In today’s report we highlight the following names: Lockheed Martin (LMT), General Dynamics (GD), Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII), TransDigm (TDG), Textron (TXT), Teledyne Technologies (TDY), Embraer S.A. ADR (ERJ), and L3 Technologies (LLL).

Large-cap aerospace and defense stocks remain leadership, emerging from recent market volatility to achieve new relative strength highs. Aero/defense-related names continue to be favorites of ours within the Manufacturing Sector.  In today’s report we highlight the following names: Lockheed Martin (LMT), General Dynamics (GD), Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII), TransDigm (TDG), Textron (TXT), Teledyne Technologies (TDY), Embraer S.A. ADR (ERJ), and L3 Technologies (LLL).

Founder & CEO. Oil markets macro-analysis., Vanda Insights

Vandana Hari

Founder & CEO. Oil markets macro-analysis.

Vanda Insights

Vanda Insights is a Singapore-based boutique provider of intelligence on the global energy markets, launched in September 2016. The venture was born out of a desire to extract the signal from the noise in the complex and often volatile oil markets. Our succinct and clear macro analysis is relied upon by thousands of readers globally, including those doing business directly or indirectly in the physical commodity and derivatives markets; wealth managers; governments, regulatory bodies and think-tanks; as well as trade organizations and educational institutions.

Global Energy Markets

Commodities

Benchmark crude prices were hammered down to two-week lows in the week to March 2, first by renewed fears over a hawkish Fed following Jerome Powell's testimonies before the US House and Senate committees and then by a surprisingly large build in US crude inventories reported by the Energy Information Administration. Benchmark Brent and WTI closed marginally higher Friday following three straight days of losses, but we expected crude to remain under pressure as US President Donald Trump's plan to impose tariffs on steel and aluminium imports dealt another blow to sentiment in the stock markets towards the end of the week.A full-blown trade war between the US and its trading partners around the world -- if that is what the tariffs lead to -- would threaten global economic growth, which is a negative for oil demand.

Benchmark crude prices were hammered down to two-week lows in the week to March 2, first by renewed fears over a hawkish Fed following Jerome Powell's testimonies before the US House and Senate committees and then by a surprisingly large build in US crude inventories reported by the Energy Information Administration. Benchmark Brent and WTI closed marginally higher Friday following three straight days of losses, but we expected crude to remain under pressure as US President Donald Trump's plan to impose tariffs on steel and aluminium imports dealt another blow to sentiment in the stock markets towards the end of the week.A full-blown trade war between the US and its trading partners around the world -- if that is what the tariffs lead to -- would threaten global economic growth, which is a negative for oil demand. 

Weekly Oil Views: No Respite for Crude as Trump Tariff Plan Stuns Stock Markets

Multi-asset Macro/Emerging Markets Strategist

Virgil Fernandez Esguerra

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Our guide to this week’s global macro risk events and trading opportunities.<ul class="">
<li>
This week in trade ideas: Go strategic long Norwegian Krone vs EUR and Saudi stocks. Stay short Italian stocks and bonds vs Stoxx 600 and Bunds. Consider fading Trump steel tariff news via relative value short US steel names vs Japanese peers. Stay strategic short Swedish Krona vs EUR. We stay constructive on JPY.</li>
<li>
Monday: Markets digest Italy vote/Germany SPD referendum, Trump tariffs on steel. Also: Australia MI CPI…</li>
</ul>

Our guide to this week’s global macro risk events and trading opportunities.

This week in trade ideas: Go strategic long Norwegian Krone vs EUR and Saudi stocks. Stay short Italian stocks and bonds vs Stoxx 600 and Bunds. Consider fading Trump steel tariff news via relative value short US steel names vs Japanese peers. Stay strategic short Swedish Krona vs EUR. We stay constructive on JPY.

Monday: Markets digest Italy vote/Germany SPD referendum, Trump tariffs on steel. Also: Australia MI CPI…


Week Ahead in Global Macro: US NFP, Tariffs, ECB, BOJ, RBA, China NPC/CPI/Trade, BOC, BNM

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

The rally and fade sequence all unfolding quicker that we expected (early March peak rather than late February). Our <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/s-p-support-signals-and-the-path-into-march" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:17694">S&amp;P Support Signals and the Path into March</a> outlined a rise to 2,750 with a MT pivot peak at 2,800. The reversal from just under S&amp;P 2,800 puts in motion a fresh corrective cycle that may be marginally deeper than originally expected. We map out our base case path as well as a C wave alternate design while aligning historical VIX pattern to fine tune VIX peaks (50 has marked…

The rally and fade sequence all unfolding quicker that we expected (early March peak rather than late February). Our S&amp;P Support Signals and the Path into March outlined a rise to 2,750 with a MT pivot peak at 2,800. The reversal from just under S&amp;P 2,800 puts in motion a fresh corrective cycle that may be marginally deeper than originally expected. We map out our base case path as well as a C wave alternate design while aligning historical VIX pattern to fine tune VIX peaks (50 has marked…

Economist

Richard Iley

Macroeconomics

<div class="content-highlight">By popular demand and, with key US macro-economic indicators seemingly setting 20-year, even 50-year, highs on a near daily basis, this new publication is designed to make sure that these extraordinary data points are getting the airplay they deserve and need. As the US economy starts to overheat and inflation accelerates, these short (near) daily notes will keep you up to speed. We will also track any big downward surprises and, in due course, signs that the boom is finally fading. </div>Last night…

By popular demand and, with key US macro-economic indicators seemingly setting 20-year, even 50-year, highs on a near daily basis, this new publication is designed to make sure that these extraordinary data points are getting the airplay they deserve and need. As the US economy starts to overheat and inflation accelerates, these short (near) daily notes will keep you up to speed. We will also track any big downward surprises and, in due course, signs that the boom is finally fading. Last night…

Coming To The Boil - US Overheating Watch #1

United States

The S&P 500® is widely regarded as the best single gauge of large-cap U.S. equities and serves as the foundation for a wide range of investment products. The index includes 500 leading companies and captures approximately 80% coverage of available market capitalization.

S&P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)

U. S. Aerospace & Defense Lifting Off

Large-cap aerospace and defense stocks remain leadership, emerging from recent market volatility to achieve new relative strength highs....

Vermilion Research

Weekly Oil Views: No Respite for Crude as Trump Tariff Plan Stuns Stock Markets

Benchmark crude prices were hammered down to two-week lows in the week to March 2, first by renewed fears over a hawkish Fed following Jerome...

Vandana Hari

Week Ahead in Global Macro: US NFP, Tariffs, ECB, BOJ, RBA, China NPC/CPI/Trade, BOC, BNM

Our guide to this week’s global macro risk events and trading opportunities. This week in trade ideas: Go strategic long Norwegian Krone vs EUR...

Virgil Fernandez Esguerra

S&P 2,800 Fade Targets

The rally and fade sequence all unfolding quicker that we expected (early March peak rather than late February). Our S&P Support Signals and...

Thomas Schroeder

Coming To The Boil - US Overheating Watch #1

By popular demand and, with key US macro-economic indicators seemingly setting 20-year, even 50-year, highs on a near daily basis, this new...

Richard Iley