SPX Risk of Fallout past September Hinges on Weekly Cycle Momentum
Key sector break points in small caps and transports outlined in our Core US Sector Weakness/Triple Tops Mirror Late 2018 with Tail Risk insight...
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U.S. Equity Strategy: Market Still Susceptible
We remain concerned about the prospect for additional weakness for the broad market due to deterioration in several metrics that we often turn to...
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Recession Watch: Fluctuating Trade War on the Verge of Tripping up the World Economy
The US 10y-2y yield curve (a near perfect predictor of recessions 6-24 months ahead) has inverted. We expect early easing action by the Fed to...
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El Paso: Trump's Waterloo
Consequential changes in sentiment in key states underscore the presidential prospects for the Democratic Party primary leader, former Vice...
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Here We Go Again
In last week’s Compass we laid the case that markets were at a key inflection point heading into the first Fed rate cut in over a decade. Despite...
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