Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist, CrossBorder Capital

Michael J. Howell

Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist

Implementing Research Using Alt Data & AI

CrossBorder Capital

CrossBorder Capital is a London-based independent investment advisory firm. Founded in 1996, it exploits a gap in the investment arena by focusing on Central bank liquidity. 

It specialises in the monitoring and analysis of global liquidity flows - an important determinant of asset prices, from currencies through to bonds, equities and real estate.

CrossBorder Capital implements its investment strategy and currently manages over US$ 350m.


Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Bear market results from sharp monetary squeeze as Central Bank liquidity withdrawn, led by Fed. More pain to come. Recession is here 
</li>
<li>
 US Federal Reserve is driving markets lower and USD up. QT has officially started, but Fed has in fact been secretly tightening liquidity for months</li>
<li>Effective Fed balance sheet likely to contract by US$2 trillion under QT plans, but policy error could easily force a bigger US$3 trillion correction. Wall Street at risk. 
</li>
</ul>


Bear market results from sharp monetary squeeze as Central Bank liquidity withdrawn, led by Fed. More pain to come. Recession is here 


 US Federal Reserve is driving markets lower and USD up. QT has officially started, but Fed has in fact been secretly tightening liquidity for months
Effective Fed balance sheet likely to contract by US$2 trillion under QT plans, but policy error could easily force a bigger US$3 trillion correction. Wall Street at risk. 



Recession Is Here! SPX(S&P500) Still Set to Test 3200.Last Week’s US Fed Move Makes This More Likely

<ul>
<li>
 Bear market caused by sharp monetary squeeze as Central Bank liquidity withdrawn. More pain to come US Federal Reserve is now leading the charge. </li>
<li>QT is slated to begin in June, but Fed has already been secretly tightening liquidity for months</li>
<li>Effective Fed balance sheet is set to contract by US$2 trillion under QT plans, but policy error could easily force a bigger US$3 trillion correction and crater stock prices</li>
</ul>



 Bear market caused by sharp monetary squeeze as Central Bank liquidity withdrawn. More pain to come US Federal Reserve is now leading the charge. 
QT is slated to begin in June, but Fed has already been secretly tightening liquidity for months
Effective Fed balance sheet is set to contract by US$2 trillion under QT plans, but policy error could easily force a bigger US$3 trillion correction and crater stock prices


SPX (S&P500) Will Probably Hit 3200 (Minus 18%) …It Could Even Test 2500 (Minus 35%)!

Founder & Chief Market Strategist - SAV Markets, SAV Markets

Shyam Devani

Founder & Chief Market Strategist - SAV Markets

Provide Comprehensive Analysis & Commentary

SAV Markets

SAV Markets aims to provide comprehensive analysis & commentary on foreign exchange and asset markets. The approach is multi asset as markets are typically interlinked. Cause and effect are always at work, even if those effects take time to manifest. As nothing is permanent we strive to get ahead of the curve in an ever changing world.

<ul>
<li>As equity indices take a wobble again the Oil price has remained strong after posting both bullish weekly monthly close to new trend highs</li>
<li>The relationship between Oil &amp; stocks is in question because it is unclear whether a higher Oil price in an already inflationary environment is seen as “good” or “bad” </li>
<li>Even in the case that the S&amp;P 500 holds up and becomes correlated properly to Oil, the charts below suggest it will still underperform</li>
</ul>


As equity indices take a wobble again the Oil price has remained strong after posting both bullish weekly monthly close to new trend highs
The relationship between Oil &amp; stocks is in question because it is unclear whether a higher Oil price in an already inflationary environment is seen as “good” or “bad” 
Even in the case that the S&amp;P 500 holds up and becomes correlated properly to Oil, the charts below suggest it will still underperform


Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The WTR Sustainable Index was down 4.5% W/W versus the S&amp;P 500 Index (down 2.1%), the cex (down 4.0%) and the Nasdaq Index (up 5.7%).</li><li>Energy Technology (13.5% of the index) was down 1.6%, while Industrial Climate and Ag Technology (48.3% of the index) was down 3.8%, ClimateTech Mining was down 3.4%, and Advanced Transportation Solutions (20.6% of index) was down 5.5%.</li><li>Top 10 Performers: GRB, BE, WKHS, MULN, LILM, HLGN, FGPHF, AMPS, NEOV, NOVA</li></ul>

The WTR Sustainable Index was down 4.5% W/W versus the S&amp;P 500 Index (down 2.1%), the cex (down 4.0%) and the Nasdaq Index (up 5.7%).Energy Technology (13.5% of the index) was down 1.6%, while Industrial Climate and Ag Technology (48.3% of the index) was down 3.8%, ClimateTech Mining was down 3.4%, and Advanced Transportation Solutions (20.6% of index) was down 5.5%.Top 10 Performers: GRB, BE, WKHS, MULN, LILM, HLGN, FGPHF, AMPS, NEOV, NOVA

Sustainable Investing Surveyor Focus on REX American Resources Corp. (REX)

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Trung Nguyen

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

<ul>
<li>In today's Convertibles Brief publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Lenovo</li>
<li>Credit markets widened on Friday, with the iTraxx X-Over increasing 8 bps to 304 bps.</li>
<li>European bourses declined 0.1-1.3%, except for the IBEX 35 (+1.0%). In the US, the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq fell 1.3% and 2.2%, respectively.</li>
</ul>


In today's Convertibles Brief publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Lenovo
Credit markets widened on Friday, with the iTraxx X-Over increasing 8 bps to 304 bps.
European bourses declined 0.1-1.3%, except for the IBEX 35 (+1.0%). In the US, the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq fell 1.3% and 2.2%, respectively.


Lucror Analytics - Convertibles Brief: Lenovo (992 HK)

United States

The S&P 500® is widely regarded as the best single gauge of large-cap U.S. equities and serves as the foundation for a wide range of investment products. The index includes 500 leading companies and captures approximately 80% coverage of available market capitalization.

S&P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)

Recession Is Here! SPX(S&P500) Still Set to Test 3200.Last Week’s US Fed Move Makes This More Likely

World recession Is here. SPX(S&P500) set to test index 3200.Last week’s US Fed move makes this more likely. They pulled another US$105 billion from...

Michael J. Howell

SPX (S&P500) Will Probably Hit 3200 (Minus 18%) …It Could Even Test 2500 (Minus 35%)!

We remain (very) bearish. Do not be lured back. SPX (S&P500) is slated to test 3200, and could with a coming Fed policy error slump tp 2500.

Michael J. Howell

Long-Short Trades: Oil Versus Stocks

Despite the volatility in equity markets, the Oil price remains in a strong uptrend as is break higher. The relationship is questionable in this...

Shyam Devani

Sustainable Investing Surveyor Focus on REX American Resources Corp. (REX)

The WTR Sustainable Index was down 4.5% W/W versus the S&P 500 Index (down 2.1%), the Russell 2000 Index (down 4.0%) and the Nasdaq Index (up 5.7%).

Water Tower Research

Lucror Analytics - Convertibles Brief: Lenovo (992 HK)

In today's Convertibles Brief publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: LenovoCredit markets widened on Friday,...

Lucror Analytics