Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Despite the enormous demand for Black Pink concerts and the expected launch of the new girl-group band BabyMonster, we believe shares of Yg Entertainment (122870 KS) have overextended this year.</li>
<li>Black Pink remains a fan-favorite group and their contribution to sales and profits are likely to peak this year. Valuations for YG Entertainment is also unattractive.</li>
<li>Although BabyMonster is likely to become popular, the higher probability scenario is for them to fall below expectations. We do not believe BabyMonster could become the next Black Pink. </li>
</ul>


Despite the enormous demand for Black Pink concerts and the expected launch of the new girl-group band BabyMonster, we believe shares of Yg Entertainment (122870 KS) have overextended this year.
Black Pink remains a fan-favorite group and their contribution to sales and profits are likely to peak this year. Valuations for YG Entertainment is also unattractive.
Although BabyMonster is likely to become popular, the higher probability scenario is for them to fall below expectations. We do not believe BabyMonster could become the next Black Pink. 


YG Entertainment: BabyMonster to Become the Next Black Pink?

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we provide the details of Medtronic's M&amp;A and tender offer for Eoflow. </li>
<li>Currently, Eoflow is trading at 28,050 won which is 6.5% lower than the tender offer price of 30,000 won.</li>
<li>Eoflow's share price is currently comfortably below 30,000 won and we believe this deal has 95-98%+ probability of getting completed within the current M&amp;A framework.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we provide the details of Medtronic's M&amp;A and tender offer for Eoflow. 
Currently, Eoflow is trading at 28,050 won which is 6.5% lower than the tender offer price of 30,000 won.
Eoflow's share price is currently comfortably below 30,000 won and we believe this deal has 95-98%+ probability of getting completed within the current M&amp;A framework.


Medtronic's M&A, Tender Offer, and Taking Private of Eoflow

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>There are 44 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Three new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this past week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/albemarle-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7678:1" rel="noopener">Albemarle (ALB US)</a>'s <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/liontown-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20488:1" rel="noopener">Liontown Resources (LTR AU)</a> tilt; Malteries Soufflet's <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-malt-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29116:1" rel="noopener">United Malt (UMG AU)</a> Offer; Bain Capital's <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/estia-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:77:1" rel="noopener">Estia (EHE AU)</a> Offer. </li>
<li>Key updates took place for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aag-energy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:501:1" rel="noopener">Aag Energy Holdings (2686 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyo-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1176:1" rel="noopener">Toyo Construction (1890 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a>, and<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-fiber-system-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20826:1" rel="noopener">Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are 44 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Three new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this past week: Albemarle (ALB US)'s Liontown Resources (LTR AU) tilt; Malteries Soufflet's United Malt (UMG AU) Offer; Bain Capital's Estia (EHE AU) Offer. 
Key updates took place for Aag Energy Holdings (2686 HK), Toyo Construction (1890 JP), Toshiba Corp (6502 JP), andGolden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Liontown, United Malt, Estia, Mincor, Origin, Toyo, Toshiba

<ul>
<li>Korea Investment &amp; Securities announced the final competition rate for the tender offer of SM Entertainment by Kakao Group (8,333,641 shares of SM Entertainment at 150,000 won per share).</li>
<li>The competition ratio of the tender offer was 2.2655436 to 1. Accordingly, the allocation ratio was set at 44.1395170%. </li>
<li>At the current price of 95,100 won, SM Entertainment's shares are undervalued by about 25% to 45% over the next 6-12 months, in our view. </li>
</ul>


Korea Investment &amp; Securities announced the final competition rate for the tender offer of SM Entertainment by Kakao Group (8,333,641 shares of SM Entertainment at 150,000 won per share).
The competition ratio of the tender offer was 2.2655436 to 1. Accordingly, the allocation ratio was set at 44.1395170%. 
At the current price of 95,100 won, SM Entertainment's shares are undervalued by about 25% to 45% over the next 6-12 months, in our view. 


SM Entertainment: Tender Offer Allocation Ratios Announced

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a>'s Board is clearly giving this to shareholders and saying "We did our job. Now it's up to you."</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-industries-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4500:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Industries (6201 JP)</a> admits to falsifying some engine emission tests. But the market dinging the company ~20% is excessive. </li>
<li>US$16bn of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> shares from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> got delivered on 24 March 2023. That's a lot.</li>
</ul>



Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)'s Board is clearly giving this to shareholders and saying "We did our job. Now it's up to you."

Toyota Industries (6201 JP) admits to falsifying some engine emission tests. But the market dinging the company ~20% is excessive. 
US$16bn of Meituan (3690 HK) shares from Tencent (700 HK) got delivered on 24 March 2023. That's a lot.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Toshiba, Toyota Industries, Meituan, Kingsoft, Rakuten Bank

South Korea

Cheil Worldwide Inc. provides a wide range of marketing services such as new product development and advertisement, brand management, advertising budget analysis, and advertising effectiveness evaluation.  The Company also creates, prints, publishes, and produces promotional and advertising materials.

JYP Entertainment Corp plans, produces, promotes, and markets Korean singers both in Korean and overseas market. The Company's also engages in licensing, merchandizing, and artist management business including the commercial flim contracts of the artists.

CJ CGV Co., Ltd. develops and operates multi-screen movie theaters in South Korea.  The Company's theater complex also conducts stores and restaurants in theaters, and offers advertisement through screens.

Innocean Worldwide Inc. provides marketing and communications services. As a media agency, the company is engaged in promotion, sports business consulting, space design, and advertisement production.

YG Entertainment Inc., produces and markets music recording, music publishing, record manufacturing/sales, artist management, concert production, and new artist discovering/training.

Hyundai Hy Communications & Network Co Ltd is cable television and Internet service company.  The Company also generates revenue from advertisement. Hyundai HCN provides service within South Korea.

Hyundai Hy Communications & Network (126560 KS)

Seoul Broadcasting System (SBS) is a commercial television and radio broadcasting company.  The Company produces and broadcasts programs, such as news, sports, weather, music, movies, and television drama series.

CJ Hellovision Company Ltd. operates as a multi-system operator that receives programs from program providers and airs them to subscribers. The Company offers cable TV services covering news, movie, music, entertainment, documentary, sports, education, go game, culture, homeshopping, and local broadcasting, as well as ground wave and satellite TV broadcasting channels.

Nasmedia Co., Ltd. is a Media Rep company that markets various advertising services based on the internet and mobile devices.  The Company's advertising service engages in digital signages, advertising solution, and web analysis.

YG PLUS provides a wide range of advertisement services through television, magazine, radio, and newspaper.  The Company also offers marketing and event planning related to sales promotion (SP) services.

Network 18 Media & Investments Ltd. is an entertainment holding company.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, operates a business news television channel; offers Internet access; operates real-time news terminals; operates general news television channels; produces motion pictures; and retails goods on television and over the Internet.

DAIICHIKOSHO CO., LTD. manufactures, sells, and, leases karaoke equipment and software.  The Company also operates karaoke booth chains called Big Echo, provides karaoke software via cable line called DAM, and participates in broadcasting via satellite.

TV Asahi Holdings Corporation produces and broadcasts a variety of television programs mainly in the Tokyo area. The Company sells commercial spots through a network system. TV Asahi also provides patent maintenance for music publication, entertainment planning, sales of broadcasting equipment, and TV shopping.

CITIC Guoan Information Industry Co., Ltd., through its subsidiary, installs, tests, and operates cable TV and satellite telecommunication networks. The Company also develops real estate properties .  In addition, CITIC designs network integrated systems and application software, and provides advertising services.

Sinclair Broadcast Group, Inc. is a diversified broadcasting company that owns or provides programming services to television stations across the United States.  The Company's television group includes FOX, WB, ABC, CBS, NBC, and UPN affiliates.

Visual China Group Co., Ltd. manufactures cultural and entertainment products and technologies. The Company's products include radio and television transmission technology, Internet transmission, Internet games and entertainment, mobile communications network gaming and entertainment technology, and computer software development.

Central China Land Media Co., Ltd. operates media businesses.  The company provides web services for news, publishing, movies and television related programs.

Hunan TV & Broadcast Intermediary Co. Ltd. designs, produces, and broadcasts TV advertisement and provide advertising agent services.  The Company also makes television programs, operates theme parks, and provides cable TV network program delivery services.

Beijing Gehua CATV Network Co., Ltd. builds, manages, and maintains cable TV networks. The Company also provides advertising and information services.

Beijing Gehua Catv Network Co, Ltd. (600037 CH)

Guangdong Advertising Group Co.,Ltd provides integrated market communication service.  The Company's services include brand management, media agency, costume design, private advertising media,photography,technology development and television planning.

S.M.Entertainment Co. plans, produces, promotes, and markets Korean rock and roll music in several formats, such as compact discs (CD), concert tours, television productions, and music videos.  The Company also operates artist management business as well as licensing and copyright business from the company's music records.

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S.M.Entertainment Co (041510 KS)

YG Entertainment: BabyMonster to Become the Next Black Pink?

Despite the enormous demand for Black Pink concerts and the expected launch of the new girl-group band BabyMonster, we believe shares of Yg...

Douglas Kim

Medtronic's M&A, Tender Offer, and Taking Private of Eoflow

Eoflow's share price is currently comfortably below 30,000 won and we believe this deal has 95-98%+ probability of getting completed within the...

Douglas Kim

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Liontown, United Malt, Estia, Mincor, Origin, Toyo, Toshiba

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

SM Entertainment: Tender Offer Allocation Ratios Announced

The allocation ratio of SM Entertainment tender offer was 44.1%, which was relatively close to our estimate of 49%. We believe SM's shares are...

Douglas Kim

Last Week in Event SPACE: Toshiba, Toyota Industries, Meituan, Kingsoft, Rakuten Bank

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

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