Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The target is those who purchase 25% or more of the shares of a listed company and become the largest shareholder with management rights.</li>
<li>The minimum volume of a mandatory offer is [(50% of total shares + 1 share) - the management right purchase volume].</li>
<li>We will be exposed to pro-rata risk, so it will be essential to figure out the nature and propensity of the shareholder composition to estimate the tendering rate in advance.</li>
</ul>


The target is those who purchase 25% or more of the shares of a listed company and become the largest shareholder with management rights.
The minimum volume of a mandatory offer is [(50% of total shares + 1 share) - the management right purchase volume].
We will be exposed to pro-rata risk, so it will be essential to figure out the nature and propensity of the shareholder composition to estimate the tendering rate in advance.


Mandatory Offer Arrives in Korea: Detailed Rules & Trading Ramifications

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>On 17 October, the Korean government made a final official decision to have the BTS members serve in the mandatory military service.</li>
<li>We believe this will have a major negative impact on the sales and profits of HYBE in the next several years.</li>
<li>As a result of the Korean government formalizing the BTS members to enlist in the military, we believe that HYBE's share price could fall more than 50% from current levels.</li>
</ul>


On 17 October, the Korean government made a final official decision to have the BTS members serve in the mandatory military service.
We believe this will have a major negative impact on the sales and profits of HYBE in the next several years.
As a result of the Korean government formalizing the BTS members to enlist in the military, we believe that HYBE's share price could fall more than 50% from current levels.


HYBE: Korean Govt Mandates BTS Members to Enlist in Military - 50% Further Downside Risk Ahead

<ul>
<li>This past week, I had a discussion with Changhwan Lee, the founder and CEO of Align Partners which is currently an activist investor on S.M.Entertainment Co (041510 KS).</li>
<li>This insight provides the details of why Align Partners is going activist on SM Entertainment. </li>
<li>Through more successful proxy fights such as SM Entertainment, there could be greater value that could be unlocked from many listed companies in Korea with poor corporate governance. </li>
</ul>


This past week, I had a discussion with Changhwan Lee, the founder and CEO of Align Partners which is currently an activist investor on S.M.Entertainment Co (041510 KS).
This insight provides the details of why Align Partners is going activist on SM Entertainment. 
Through more successful proxy fights such as SM Entertainment, there could be greater value that could be unlocked from many listed companies in Korea with poor corporate governance. 


A Discussion with Align Partners' CEO on SM Entertainment

<ul>
<li>After the market close today, S.M.Entertainment announced that its Chairman Lee Soo Man will end the contract with Like Planning, a contents producing company owned by Lee Soo Man.</li>
<li>We estimate that S.M.Entertainment has paid more than 160 billion won to Like Planning in the past 10 years.</li>
<li>By ending the relationship between Chairman Lee Soo Man and Like Planning, this should have a major positive impact on S.M.Entertainment shares in the coming weeks. </li>
</ul>


After the market close today, S.M.Entertainment announced that its Chairman Lee Soo Man will end the contract with Like Planning, a contents producing company owned by Lee Soo Man.
We estimate that S.M.Entertainment has paid more than 160 billion won to Like Planning in the past 10 years.
By ending the relationship between Chairman Lee Soo Man and Like Planning, this should have a major positive impact on S.M.Entertainment shares in the coming weeks. 


S.M.Entertainment - Chairman Lee Soo Man to End Contract with Like Planning (A Big Catalyst!)

Private Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Megazone Cloud is the number one cloud managed service provider (MSP) in Korea. </li>
<li>Megazone Cloud was last valued at about 2.4 trillion won (as of August 2022) as it attracted 450 billion won funding from MBK Partners and IMM Private Equity.</li>
<li>Megazone Cloud has an important partnership with Amazon Web Services (AWS) as it became the first company in Korea to be a partner for AWS in the local cloud market.</li>
</ul>


Megazone Cloud is the number one cloud managed service provider (MSP) in Korea. 
Megazone Cloud was last valued at about 2.4 trillion won (as of August 2022) as it attracted 450 billion won funding from MBK Partners and IMM Private Equity.
Megazone Cloud has an important partnership with Amazon Web Services (AWS) as it became the first company in Korea to be a partner for AWS in the local cloud market.


Megazone Cloud: Number One Cloud MSP Provider (Unicorn) In Korea Led by Partnership with AWS

South Korea

Cheil Worldwide Inc. provides a wide range of marketing services such as new product development and advertisement, brand management, advertising budget analysis, and advertising effectiveness evaluation.  The Company also creates, prints, publishes, and produces promotional and advertising materials.

JYP Entertainment Corp plans, produces, promotes, and markets Korean singers both in Korean and overseas market. The Company's also engages in licensing, merchandizing, and artist management business including the commercial flim contracts of the artists.

CJ CGV Co., Ltd. develops and operates multi-screen movie theaters in South Korea.  The Company's theater complex also conducts stores and restaurants in theaters, and offers advertisement through screens.

Innocean Worldwide Inc. provides marketing and communications services. As a media agency, the company is engaged in promotion, sports business consulting, space design, and advertisement production.

YG Entertainment Inc., produces and markets music recording, music publishing, record manufacturing/sales, artist management, concert production, and new artist discovering/training.

Hyundai Hy Communications & Network Co Ltd is cable television and Internet service company.  The Company also generates revenue from advertisement. Hyundai HCN provides service within South Korea.

Hyundai Hy Communications & Network (126560 KS)

Seoul Broadcasting System (SBS) is a commercial television and radio broadcasting company.  The Company produces and broadcasts programs, such as news, sports, weather, music, movies, and television drama series.

CJ Hellovision Company Ltd. operates as a multi-system operator that receives programs from program providers and airs them to subscribers. The Company offers cable TV services covering news, movie, music, entertainment, documentary, sports, education, go game, culture, homeshopping, and local broadcasting, as well as ground wave and satellite TV broadcasting channels.

Nasmedia Co., Ltd. is a Media Rep company that markets various advertising services based on the internet and mobile devices.  The Company's advertising service engages in digital signages, advertising solution, and web analysis.

YG PLUS provides a wide range of advertisement services through television, magazine, radio, and newspaper.  The Company also offers marketing and event planning related to sales promotion (SP) services.

Network 18 Media & Investments Ltd. is an entertainment holding company.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, operates a business news television channel; offers Internet access; operates real-time news terminals; operates general news television channels; produces motion pictures; and retails goods on television and over the Internet.

DAIICHIKOSHO CO., LTD. manufactures, sells, and, leases karaoke equipment and software.  The Company also operates karaoke booth chains called Big Echo, provides karaoke software via cable line called DAM, and participates in broadcasting via satellite.

TV Asahi Holdings Corporation produces and broadcasts a variety of television programs mainly in the Tokyo area. The Company sells commercial spots through a network system. TV Asahi also provides patent maintenance for music publication, entertainment planning, sales of broadcasting equipment, and TV shopping.

CITIC Guoan Information Industry Co., Ltd., through its subsidiary, installs, tests, and operates cable TV and satellite telecommunication networks. The Company also develops real estate properties .  In addition, CITIC designs network integrated systems and application software, and provides advertising services.

Sinclair Broadcast Group, Inc. is a diversified broadcasting company that owns or provides programming services to television stations across the United States.  The Company's television group includes FOX, WB, ABC, CBS, NBC, and UPN affiliates.

Visual China Group Co., Ltd. manufactures cultural and entertainment products and technologies. The Company's products include radio and television transmission technology, Internet transmission, Internet games and entertainment, mobile communications network gaming and entertainment technology, and computer software development.

Central China Land Media Co., Ltd. operates media businesses.  The company provides web services for news, publishing, movies and television related programs.

Hunan TV & Broadcast Intermediary Co. Ltd. designs, produces, and broadcasts TV advertisement and provide advertising agent services.  The Company also makes television programs, operates theme parks, and provides cable TV network program delivery services.

Beijing Gehua CATV Network Co., Ltd. builds, manages, and maintains cable TV networks. The Company also provides advertising and information services.

Beijing Gehua Catv Network Co, Ltd. (600037 CH)

Guangdong Advertising Group Co.,Ltd provides integrated market communication service.  The Company's services include brand management, media agency, costume design, private advertising media,photography,technology development and television planning.

S.M.Entertainment Co. plans, produces, promotes, and markets Korean rock and roll music in several formats, such as compact discs (CD), concert tours, television productions, and music videos.  The Company also operates artist management business as well as licensing and copyright business from the company's music records.

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S.M.Entertainment Co (041510 KS)

Mandatory Offer Arrives in Korea: Detailed Rules & Trading Ramifications

This post details the newly introduced mandatory offer rules tabled by Korea FSC yesterday and discusses trading ramifications, including pro-rata...

Sanghyun Park

HYBE: Korean Govt Mandates BTS Members to Enlist in Military - 50% Further Downside Risk Ahead

As a result of the Korean government formalizing the BTS members to enlist in the military, we believe that HYBE's share price could fall more than...

Douglas Kim

A Discussion with Align Partners' CEO on SM Entertainment

This past week, I had a discussion with Changhwan Lee, the founder and CEO of Align Partners which is currently an activist investor on...

Douglas Kim

S.M.Entertainment - Chairman Lee Soo Man to End Contract with Like Planning (A Big Catalyst!)

By ending the relationship between Chairman Lee Soo Man and Like Planning, this should have a major positive impact on S.M.Entertainment shares in...

Douglas Kim

Megazone Cloud: Number One Cloud MSP Provider (Unicorn) In Korea Led by Partnership with AWS

Megazone Cloud is the number one cloud managed service provider (MSP) in Korea. Megazone Cloud became the first company in Korea to be a partner...

Douglas Kim

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