Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Stock indexes finished the holiday-shortened week almost exactly flat, as the MSCI World Index and the S&amp;P 500 ended at 0.01% and -0.05%, respectively.</li>
<li>Smalls caps followed suit, with the Russell 2000 down 0.01%.</li>
<li>As has been the trend lately, cannabis stocks declined. The US cannabis-focused MSOS ETF dropped 6.36%, led by Curaleaf (CSE: CURA, OTCQX: CURLF), which was down 15.35%.</li>
</ul>


Stock indexes finished the holiday-shortened week almost exactly flat, as the MSCI World Index and the S&amp;P 500 ended at 0.01% and -0.05%, respectively.
Smalls caps followed suit, with the Russell 2000 down 0.01%.
As has been the trend lately, cannabis stocks declined. The US cannabis-focused MSOS ETF dropped 6.36%, led by Curaleaf (CSE: CURA, OTCQX: CURLF), which was down 15.35%.


The Highlights : Cannabis News for the Week Ending April 7, 2023

Asia biased macro & technical analysis, Untying The Gordian Knot

Untying The Gordian Knot

Asia biased macro & technical analysis

A differentiated process with a primary focus on Asia. Technical Analysis as core and Macro drivers that could bring the view to fruition & changes that could make the idea fall apart. The objective is to be the best in class, hence corner shop.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>The US 10-year rates futures had rallied for six consecutive days while Growth and Momentum stocks lagged.</li><li>Wednesday was a marked change, with NASDAQ falling while bonds rallied sharply.</li><li>It was a day when value and small caps outperformed FANMG and Growth stocks.</li></ul>

The US 10-year rates futures had rallied for six consecutive days while Growth and Momentum stocks lagged.Wednesday was a marked change, with NASDAQ falling while bonds rallied sharply.It was a day when value and small caps outperformed FANMG and Growth stocks.

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Last week we discussed potential for a 2-5% rally to the 1.5-month downtrend on SPX, or even the 4165-4200 range, which would set up an opportunity to get more defensive.</li>
<li>As long as the S&amp;P 500 is below Wednesdays high of 4040 we continue to believe the bears are in control -- stay defensive.</li>
<li>Even if there is a reversal, we still expect 4165-4200 on SPX to cap upside for 2023. We highlight many buy opportunities within Consumer Staples</li>
</ul>


Last week we discussed potential for a 2-5% rally to the 1.5-month downtrend on SPX, or even the 4165-4200 range, which would set up an opportunity to get more defensive.
As long as the S&amp;P 500 is below Wednesdays high of 4040 we continue to believe the bears are in control -- stay defensive.
Even if there is a reversal, we still expect 4165-4200 on SPX to cap upside for 2023. We highlight many buy opportunities within Consumer Staples


S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, DJIA All Testing Resistance; Downgrading Financials to Underweight; Buy Staples

<ul><li>The WTR Sustainable Index outperformed the broader market, rising 4.0% W/W versus the S&amp;P 500 Index (up 1.4%), the Russell 2000 Index (up 0.5%), and the Nasdaq Composite Index (up 1.7%).</li><li>Advanced Transportation Solutions (70.3% of the index) drove the index performance, rising 5.5%, while Industrial Climate and Ag Technology (22.1% of the index) was up 0.5% and Energy Technology was up 0.7%.</li><li>Top 10 Performers: PSIX, BRDS, PTRA, NGPHF, TGEN, GVP, VIHD, ENG, NIO, EFOI</li></ul>

The WTR Sustainable Index outperformed the broader market, rising 4.0% W/W versus the S&amp;P 500 Index (up 1.4%), the Russell 2000 Index (up 0.5%), and the Nasdaq Composite Index (up 1.7%).Advanced Transportation Solutions (70.3% of the index) drove the index performance, rising 5.5%, while Industrial Climate and Ag Technology (22.1% of the index) was up 0.5% and Energy Technology was up 0.7%.Top 10 Performers: PSIX, BRDS, PTRA, NGPHF, TGEN, GVP, VIHD, ENG, NIO, EFOI

Weekly Sustainable Investing Surveyor: Week Ended March 24, 2023

Republic First Bancorp / Technical Analysis

<ul><li>The troubles of Silicon Valley Bank, Silvergate Capital, Credit Suisse, an ongoing lack of confidence in European banks, and First Republic Bank have resulted in extreme volatility in Short dated Interest rates, Banks, and Financials.</li><li>The sharp rise in fixed-income volatility has not happened to FX, Commodity, and Equity volatility.</li><li>We saw record one-day moves in 3-month SOFR futures, and 2-Year Treasury yields dropped the most since 2008.</li></ul>

The troubles of Silicon Valley Bank, Silvergate Capital, Credit Suisse, an ongoing lack of confidence in European banks, and First Republic Bank have resulted in extreme volatility in Short dated Interest rates, Banks, and Financials.The sharp rise in fixed-income volatility has not happened to FX, Commodity, and Equity volatility.We saw record one-day moves in 3-month SOFR futures, and 2-Year Treasury yields dropped the most since 2008.

United States

The Russell 2000 Index is comprised of the smallest 2000 companies in the Russell 3000 Index, representing approximately 8% of the Russell 3000 total market capitalization. The index was developed with a base value of 135.00 as of December 31, 1986.

Russell 2000 Index (RTY INDEX)

The Highlights : Cannabis News for the Week Ending April 7, 2023

Stock indexes finished the holiday-shortened week almost exactly flat, as the MSCI World Index and the S&P 500 ended at 0.01% and -0.05%,...

Water Tower Research

Ignoring Tailwinds

The US 10-year rates futures had rallied for six consecutive days while Growth and Momentum stocks lagged. Wednesday was a marked change, with...

Untying The Gordian Knot

S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, DJIA All Testing Resistance; Downgrading Financials to Underweight; Buy Staples

Last week (3/21) we discussed the potential for a 2-5% rally to the 1.5-month downtrend on the $SPX, or even the 4165-4200 range, which we noted...

Vermilion Research

Weekly Sustainable Investing Surveyor: Week Ended March 24, 2023

The WTR Sustainable Index outperformed the broader market, rising 4.0% W/W versus the S&P 500 Index (up 1.4%), the Russell 2000 Index (up 0.5%),...

Water Tower Research

Credit Becoming Due

The troubles of Silicon Valley Bank, Silvergate Capital, Credit Suisse, an ongoing lack of confidence in European banks...

Untying The Gordian Knot