Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>I tally 50 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Three new deals discussed this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fancl-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15862:1" rel="noopener">Fancl (4921 JP)</a>'s Tender offer, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/a8-new-media-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3444:1" rel="noopener">A8 New Media (800 HK)</a>'s Scheme, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jeisys-medical-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36766:1" rel="noopener">Jeisys Medical (287410 KS)</a>'s delisting offer. Bain also approached <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bapcor-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8433:1" rel="noopener">Bapcor (BAP AU)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sigma-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15966:1" rel="noopener">Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alumina-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:939:1" rel="noopener">Alumina (AWC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/greatview-aseptic-packaging" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10802:1" rel="noopener">Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/helios-techno-holding-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13934:1" rel="noopener">Helios Techno (6927 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tatsuta-electric-wire-cable-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12509:1" rel="noopener">Tatsuta Electric Wire &amp; Cable (5809 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 50 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Three new deals discussed this week: Fancl (4921 JP)'s Tender offer, A8 New Media (800 HK)'s Scheme, and Jeisys Medical (287410 KS)'s delisting offer. Bain also approached Bapcor (BAP AU).
Key updates took place on: Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU), Alumina (AWC AU), Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK), Helios Techno (6927 JP), and Tatsuta Electric Wire &amp; Cable (5809 JP).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Fancl, Jeisys Medical, A8 New Media, Bapcor, Helios Techno,Tatsuta Electric

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rs-technologies-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26789:1" rel="noopener">Rs Technologies (3445 JP)</a> announced a TOB on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/helios-techno-holding-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13934:1" rel="noopener">Helios Techno Holding (6927 JP)</a> 12 days ago. At a 74% premium, but that was too cheap. I discussed it <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/helios-techno-holding-6927-small-tob-fat-premium-74-still-too-cheap" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a>.</li>
<li>Shares went limit up for two days then traded huge volume the first full day last Wednesday. The lowest trade so far in open trading is 3% through terms.</li>
<li>57% of Shares Out Ex-Treasury have traded in five days. Anyone who bought 5% on Day 1 has to file a Large Shareholder Report today.</li>
</ul>



Rs Technologies (3445 JP) announced a TOB on Helios Techno Holding (6927 JP) 12 days ago. At a 74% premium, but that was too cheap. I discussed it here.
Shares went limit up for two days then traded huge volume the first full day last Wednesday. The lowest trade so far in open trading is 3% through terms.
57% of Shares Out Ex-Treasury have traded in five days. Anyone who bought 5% on Day 1 has to file a Large Shareholder Report today.


Helios Techno Holding (6927) TOB - Today Could Be The Day

<ul>
<li>On Friday, acquisitive wafer technology firm <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rs-technologies-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26789:1" rel="noopener">Rs Technologies (3445 JP)</a> announced it would buy lamp and printing equipment maker <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/helios-techno-holding-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13934:1" rel="noopener">Helios Techno Holding (6927 JP)</a> at a 74% premium.  </li>
<li>The premium is big, but Helios is a steal at the price. Granted, it is a small potatoes steal. </li>
<li>The register is not controlled by any one party or group of investors other than retail. That makes this interesting.</li>
</ul>


On Friday, acquisitive wafer technology firm Rs Technologies (3445 JP) announced it would buy lamp and printing equipment maker Helios Techno Holding (6927 JP) at a 74% premium.  
The premium is big, but Helios is a steal at the price. Granted, it is a small potatoes steal. 
The register is not controlled by any one party or group of investors other than retail. That makes this interesting.


Helios Techno Holding (6927) - Small TOB, Fat Premium (74%), Still Too Cheap

Tatsuta Electric Wire & Cable / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eneos-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:638:1" rel="noopener">ENEOS Holdings (5020 JP)</a> announced its deal for affiliate <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tatsuta-electric-wire-cable-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12509:1" rel="noopener">Tatsuta Electric Wire &amp; Cable (5809 JP)</a> 18-plus months ago. China approvals held it up more than a year.</li>
<li>Last month, they launched. The sector was up a lot. TOPIX was up a lot. The stock had recently been trading through terms. But ENEOS didn't bump the price.</li>
<li>A month later, and the tender was supposed to have closed Friday 19 July. It didn't. ENEOS extended, for no reason, which suggests they don't have the shares. </li>
</ul>



ENEOS Holdings (5020 JP) announced its deal for affiliate Tatsuta Electric Wire &amp; Cable (5809 JP) 18-plus months ago. China approvals held it up more than a year.
Last month, they launched. The sector was up a lot. TOPIX was up a lot. The stock had recently been trading through terms. But ENEOS didn't bump the price.
A month later, and the tender was supposed to have closed Friday 19 July. It didn't. ENEOS extended, for no reason, which suggests they don't have the shares. 


ENEOS Extends Tatsuta Electric (5809) Tender Offer Means They Don't Have The Shares

Keisei Electric Railway Co / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Palliser/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keisei-electric-railway-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10876:1" rel="noopener">Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP)</a> is an unconvincing trade. Avoid being long Keisei vs <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oriental-land-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13517:1" rel="noopener">Oriental Land (4661 JP)</a> except in short-term impact events. Avoid the drift trade also.</li>
<li>On the subject of activism, keep an eye on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-merchants-china-direct-investments" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6862:1" rel="noopener">China Merchants China Direct Investments (133 HK)</a>'s 20th June AGM. If Kan's re-election is rejected, this stock should gain more momentum.</li>
<li>A <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sigma-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15966:1" rel="noopener">Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU)</a>/Chemist Warehouse merger carried regulatory risk. And now the ACCC has raised a raft of concerns. </li>
</ul>


The Palliser/Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP) is an unconvincing trade. Avoid being long Keisei vs Oriental Land (4661 JP) except in short-term impact events. Avoid the drift trade also.
On the subject of activism, keep an eye on China Merchants China Direct Investments (133 HK)'s 20th June AGM. If Kan's re-election is rejected, this stock should gain more momentum.
A Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU)/Chemist Warehouse merger carried regulatory risk. And now the ACCC has raised a raft of concerns. 


Last Week in Event SPACE: Keisei Electric, CMCDI, Sigma Healthcare, Sun Corp, Segantii

Japan

Rs Technologies Co.,Ltd. provides wafer services needed on semiconductor manufacturing process. The company's line of business also includes the wholesale distribution of electrical equipments and also provides technical assistance and education services.

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Rs Technologies (3445 JP)

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Fancl, Jeisys Medical, A8 New Media, Bapcor, Helios Techno,Tatsuta Electric

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Helios Techno Holding (6927) TOB - Today Could Be The Day

RS Tech bid a 74% premium for Helios Techno Holdings. That was way cheap. A 20% premium gets to 7x guided PER ex-cash/securities. HUGE volume means...

Travis Lundy

Helios Techno Holding (6927) - Small TOB, Fat Premium (74%), Still Too Cheap

RS Tech has announced a TOB on Helios Tech Holdings. It is too cheap. It was deep in negative EV territory on Friday and a 74% premium brings it...

Travis Lundy

ENEOS Extends Tatsuta Electric (5809) Tender Offer Means They Don't Have The Shares

ENEOS extends the Tatsuta Electric TOB. No technicality, suggesting they do not have the shares. But they say they aren't raising price. Maybe they...

Travis Lundy

Last Week in Event SPACE: Keisei Electric, CMCDI, Sigma Healthcare, Sun Corp, Segantii

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

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