Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>According to Pitchbook and their S-1, Reddit has raised ~$1.5B in equity financing. Their last private round, a Series F led by Fidelity in August 2021, was around ~$10B valuation.</li>
<li>I derive a target valuation for Reddit using a ~8x EV/Revenue multiple on my 2024 estimates. The multiple represents a top-range multiple of the peer group.</li>
<li>I arrived at my ~$9.6B target valuation, which implies 50% upside to indicative IPO valuation at the midpoint. I expect Reddit will trade above their last round valuation of $10B.</li>
</ul>


According to Pitchbook and their S-1, Reddit has raised ~$1.5B in equity financing. Their last private round, a Series F led by Fidelity in August 2021, was around ~$10B valuation.
I derive a target valuation for Reddit using a ~8x EV/Revenue multiple on my 2024 estimates. The multiple represents a top-range multiple of the peer group.
I arrived at my ~$9.6B target valuation, which implies 50% upside to indicative IPO valuation at the midpoint. I expect Reddit will trade above their last round valuation of $10B.


Reddit IPO Valuation Analysis: $1B+ Revenue and Profitable Company in 2024

<ul>
<li>Reddit, an American social news aggregation, content rating, and forum social network, filed to go public. The company plans to trade on the NYSE under the ticker “RDDT”.</li>
<li>Reddit was founded in 2005 by Steven Huffman, Aaron Swartz and Alexis Ohanian. The company is forecasted to surpass $1B in total revenue in 2024.</li>
<li>They chose the right time to go public. I have a positive view of the upcoming Reddit IPO and looking forward to seeing them trade as a public company.</li>
</ul>


Reddit, an American social news aggregation, content rating, and forum social network, filed to go public. The company plans to trade on the NYSE under the ticker “RDDT”.
Reddit was founded in 2005 by Steven Huffman, Aaron Swartz and Alexis Ohanian. The company is forecasted to surpass $1B in total revenue in 2024.
They chose the right time to go public. I have a positive view of the upcoming Reddit IPO and looking forward to seeing them trade as a public company.


Reddit IPO: The Right Time To Go Public At A Reasonable Valuation

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Roblox delivered a mixed result in the recent quarter, with revenues above market expectations, but it failed to surpass the analyst consensus in terms of earnings.</li><li>They achieved positive cash flow and generated substantial free cash during the quarter.</li><li>Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.</li></ul>

Roblox delivered a mixed result in the recent quarter, with revenues above market expectations, but it failed to surpass the analyst consensus in terms of earnings.They achieved positive cash flow and generated substantial free cash during the quarter.Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Roblox Corporation: Launch Of Generative AI Game Creation Tools & Other Drivers

China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>We estimate that NetEase's 1Q23 revenue/non-GAAP net income is 1.4%/9.4% vs cons; and 2023's is 7.5%/12.3% vs cons. We suggest that &lt;Eggy Party&gt; has a lot of similarities with &lt;Roblox&gt;.</li>
<li>Four things the market may underestimate about NetEase: 1) the life cycle of &lt;Eggy Party&gt;; 2) &lt;Eggy Party&gt;'s overseas launch; 3)&lt;Justice Mobile&gt;; and 4) AIGC.</li>
<li>We raise NetEase's TP from US$ 99 to US$ 106, and this remains to be one of our top BUY ideas in China internet.</li>
</ul>


We estimate that NetEase's 1Q23 revenue/non-GAAP net income is 1.4%/9.4% vs cons; and 2023's is 7.5%/12.3% vs cons. We suggest that &lt;Eggy Party&gt; has a lot of similarities with &lt;Roblox&gt;.
Four things the market may underestimate about NetEase: 1) the life cycle of &lt;Eggy Party&gt;; 2) &lt;Eggy Party&gt;'s overseas launch; 3)&lt;Justice Mobile&gt;; and 4) AIGC.
We raise NetEase's TP from US$ 99 to US$ 106, and this remains to be one of our top BUY ideas in China internet.


[NetEase (NTES US, BUY, US$106) TP Change]: Eggy Party Could Be Compared to Roblox

High Quality Stock Setups, Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

High Quality Stock Setups

Finding high potential stock setups on quality companies

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Tech Heavyweights Shouldering the Load- Caution Flags Waving Since the end of 2022, few and fewer big cap tech names are now carrying the overall S&amp;P 500 index performance.</li><li>As of last Friday’s close, the S&amp;P 500 is up about 2% YTD. However, without the contribution of chip maker Nvidia (NVDA) it would be flat YTD.</li><li>Since the end of 2022, few and fewer big cap tech names are now carrying the overall S&amp;P 500 index performance.</li></ul>

Tech Heavyweights Shouldering the Load- Caution Flags Waving Since the end of 2022, few and fewer big cap tech names are now carrying the overall S&amp;P 500 index performance.As of last Friday’s close, the S&amp;P 500 is up about 2% YTD. However, without the contribution of chip maker Nvidia (NVDA) it would be flat YTD.Since the end of 2022, few and fewer big cap tech names are now carrying the overall S&amp;P 500 index performance.

United States

Roblox Corporation provides entertainment products and services. The Company designs and develops a wide range of online games such as internet three-dimensional and tutorial games for kids, teens, and adults. Roblox serves customers worldwide.

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ROBLOX (RBLX US)

Reddit IPO Valuation Analysis: $1B+ Revenue and Profitable Company in 2024

I see upside for Reddit shares and my implied equity value of ~$9.6B represents ~50% upside vs. expected IPO price range of $31 to $34 per share at...

Andrei Zakharov

Reddit IPO: The Right Time To Go Public At A Reasonable Valuation

Reddit, an American iconic internet company, filed to go public. Given their massive TAM, loyal communities and scalable business, Reddit is bound...

Andrei Zakharov

Roblox Corporation: Launch Of Generative AI Game Creation Tools & Other Drivers

Roblox delivered a mixed result in the recent quarter, with revenues above market expectations, but it failed to surpass the analyst consensus in...

Baptista Research

[NetEase (NTES US, BUY, US$106) TP Change]: Eggy Party Could Be Compared to Roblox

Four things the market may underestimate about NetEase: 1) the life cycle of ; 2)Eggy Party 's overseas launch; 3) Justice Mobile; and 4) AIGC.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Weekly Stock Bullfinder - Week of 3/27

Tech Heavyweights Shouldering the Load- Caution Flags Waving Since the end of 2022, few and fewer big cap tech names are now carrying the overall...

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

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