Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Vietnamese automaker <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vinfast-auto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36550:1" rel="noopener">Vinfast (VFS US)</a> made its public debut on 15th August via a SPAC deal which valued the company approx. US$23bn.</li>
<li>Shares opened US$22 per share and went up to $37.06 at the end of first-day. Share price hit a peak of $82.35, however, shares closed last at $34.71 per share.</li>
<li>Our forecasts and valuation for Vinfast suggest that the company’s shares are still overvalued even after falling more than 50% from its peak over the last few days.</li>
</ul>


Vietnamese automaker Vinfast (VFS US) made its public debut on 15th August via a SPAC deal which valued the company approx. US$23bn.
Shares opened US$22 per share and went up to $37.06 at the end of first-day. Share price hit a peak of $82.35, however, shares closed last at $34.71 per share.
Our forecasts and valuation for Vinfast suggest that the company’s shares are still overvalued even after falling more than 50% from its peak over the last few days.


Vinfast: Stock Is in Free Fall; Still Expensive

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>US Mutual Fund exposure in Ford Motor Company hits all-time lows with just 11 out of 295 funds holding a position.</li>
<li>Ford Motor Company is now the 6th most widely held Auto stock after Tesla, General Motors, Rivian Automotive, Harley Davidson and Oshkosh Corp.</li>
<li>Ford tops the list of unloved companies in the US, with the vast majority of active managers expecting Ford to underperform.</li>
</ul>


US Mutual Fund exposure in Ford Motor Company hits all-time lows with just 11 out of 295 funds holding a position.
Ford Motor Company is now the 6th most widely held Auto stock after Tesla, General Motors, Rivian Automotive, Harley Davidson and Oshkosh Corp.
Ford tops the list of unloved companies in the US, with the vast majority of active managers expecting Ford to underperform.


US Mutual Funds: Is Ford Motor Company Uninvestible?

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>Almac announced its IPO price of 50,000 won, which is 11% higher than the high end of the IPO price range. Demand ratio was very high at 1,697 to 1.</li>
<li>A 98.7% of the IPO shares applied thought that the company's value is more than 45,000 won</li>
<li>Given the exceptional demand for IPO shares, it is likely that the IPO share price is likely to trade at higher end of the IPO range in our sensitivity analysis.</li>
</ul>


Almac announced its IPO price of 50,000 won, which is 11% higher than the high end of the IPO price range. Demand ratio was very high at 1,697 to 1.
A 98.7% of the IPO shares applied thought that the company's value is more than 45,000 won
Given the exceptional demand for IPO shares, it is likely that the IPO share price is likely to trade at higher end of the IPO range in our sensitivity analysis.


<ul>
<li>Our target price of Almac is 58,573 won per share, which is 30% higher than the high end of the IPO price range of 45,000 won. </li>
<li>Our target price is based on 14.8x P/E using our estimated net profit of 25.4 billion won in 2024. </li>
<li>Almac ranks first in domestic market share (Korea) in the aluminum extruded module cases that protect batteries from external shocks.</li>
</ul>


Our target price of Almac is 58,573 won per share, which is 30% higher than the high end of the IPO price range of 45,000 won. 
Our target price is based on 14.8x P/E using our estimated net profit of 25.4 billion won in 2024. 
Almac ranks first in domestic market share (Korea) in the aluminum extruded module cases that protect batteries from external shocks.


<ul>
<li>Almac is getting ready to complete its IPO on KOSDAQ in June. Almac is one of the leading aluminum parts company for the electric vehicles. </li>
<li>The company ranks first in domestic market share in the aluminum extruded module cases that protect batteries from external shocks.</li>
<li>The company is offering 1 million new shares in this IPO. The IPO price range is from 40,000 won to 45,000 won.</li>
</ul>


Almac is getting ready to complete its IPO on KOSDAQ in June. Almac is one of the leading aluminum parts company for the electric vehicles. 
The company ranks first in domestic market share in the aluminum extruded module cases that protect batteries from external shocks.
The company is offering 1 million new shares in this IPO. The IPO price range is from 40,000 won to 45,000 won.


United States

Rivian Automotive, Inc. is an automotive technology company. The Company designs and manufactures vans, trucks, and sports utility vehicles, as well as offers software solutions, IT, repair, and maintenance services. Rivian Automotive serves customers in North America and the United Kingdom.

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Rivian Automotive (RIVN US)

Vinfast: Stock Is in Free Fall; Still Expensive

After making a stellar debut, Vinfast's share price has dropped more than 50% over the last few days from its peak. Our forecasts and valuation...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

US Mutual Funds: Is Ford Motor Company Uninvestible?

US active mutual fund exposure in Ford Motor Company hits all-time lows with just 11 out of 295 funds holding a position.

Steven Holden

Almac IPO Bookbuilding Results Analysis

Almac announced its IPO price of 50,000 won, which is 11% higher than the high end of the IPO price range. Demand ratio was very high at 1,697 to 1.

Douglas Kim

Almac IPO Valuation Analysis

Our target price of Almac is 58,573 won per share, which is 30% higher than the high end of the IPO price range of 45,000 won.

Douglas Kim

Almac IPO Preview

Almac is getting ready to complete its IPO on KOSDAQ in June. Almac is one of the leading aluminum parts company for the electric vehicles.

Douglas Kim

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Vinfast: Stock Is in Free Fall; Still Expensive

​After making a stellar debut, Vinfast's share price has dropped more than 50% over the last few days from its peak. Our forecasts and valuation...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

US Mutual Funds: Is Ford Motor Company Uninvestible?

US active mutual fund exposure in Ford Motor Company hits all-time lows with just 11 out of 295 funds holding a position.

Steven Holden

Almac IPO Bookbuilding Results Analysis

Almac announced its IPO price of 50,000 won, which is 11% higher than the high end of the IPO price range. Demand ratio was very high at 1,697 to 1.

Douglas Kim

Almac IPO Valuation Analysis

Our target price of Almac is 58,573 won per share, which is 30% higher than the high end of the IPO price range of 45,000 won.

Douglas Kim

Almac IPO Preview

Almac is getting ready to complete its IPO on KOSDAQ in June. Almac is one of the leading aluminum parts company for the electric vehicles.

Douglas Kim

After making a stellar debut, Vinfast's share price has dropped more than 50% over the last few days from its peak. Our forecasts and valuation...