HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Based on our analysis, the growth rate of China's drug spending is linked to GDP, and it would not be a high growth rate, but a stable growth rate.</li>
<li>The logic behind China and US biotech companies is different. To some extent, the lower the domestic biotech’s share price, the greater the risk.</li>
<li>In the current policy environment, the risks of VBP on anesthetics could be low because of their high barriers, strict control and potential social risks.</li>
</ul>


Based on our analysis, the growth rate of China's drug spending is linked to GDP, and it would not be a high growth rate, but a stable growth rate.
The logic behind China and US biotech companies is different. To some extent, the lower the domestic biotech’s share price, the greater the risk.
In the current policy environment, the risks of VBP on anesthetics could be low because of their high barriers, strict control and potential social risks.


China Healthcare Weekly (Jan.7)-China's Drug Spending,Logic Behind China/US Biotech, Anesthetics VBP

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We analyzed both the strength and the concerns about the core and key candidates in the pipeline.</li>
<li>We also analyzed the concerns about the valuation growth potential due to the strategy that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keymed-biosciences-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33011:1" rel="noopener">Keymed Biosciences Inc (2162 HK)</a> chose.</li>
<li>For trading strategy, opportunities occur when the share price goes down,and then take profits when it goes up, but it is not recommended to hold it for a long time.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed both the strength and the concerns about the core and key candidates in the pipeline.
We also analyzed the concerns about the valuation growth potential due to the strategy that Keymed Biosciences Inc (2162 HK) chose.
For trading strategy, opportunities occur when the share price goes down,and then take profits when it goes up, but it is not recommended to hold it for a long time.


Keymed Biosciences (2162.HK) - The Pipeline, the Concerns on Valuation Growth & The Trading Strategy

Shanghai Junshi Biosciences  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We analyzed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-junshi-bioscience-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27760:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Junshi Bioscience Co. Ltd. (1877 HK)</a>’s pipeline, the commercialization strategy, the talents, the outlook and the related concerns.</li>
<li>We also analyzed what the valuation system ecology of top and first-class companies could be like as well as the logic behind.</li>
<li>Revolutionary companies can establish new business models, change the game rule at any time and have the initiative in hands. So, will Junshi progress or go backwards instead?</li>
</ul>


We analyzed Shanghai Junshi Bioscience Co. Ltd. (1877 HK)’s pipeline, the commercialization strategy, the talents, the outlook and the related concerns.
We also analyzed what the valuation system ecology of top and first-class companies could be like as well as the logic behind.
Revolutionary companies can establish new business models, change the game rule at any time and have the initiative in hands. So, will Junshi progress or go backwards instead?


Shanghai Junshi Bioscience (1877.HK) - Will Junshi Progress or Go Backwards Instead?

<ul>
<li>The 2021 national medical insurance negotiation released results on December 3.</li>
<li>If the COVID virus continues to mutate in a more transmissible direction, the logic of related companies would change.</li>
<li>For those new IPOs that fell on debut, the current "cold winter" is a rational return of the crazy healthcare investment capital market since 2019.</li>
</ul>


The 2021 national medical insurance negotiation released results on December 3.
If the COVID virus continues to mutate in a more transmissible direction, the logic of related companies would change.
For those new IPOs that fell on debut, the current "cold winter" is a rational return of the crazy healthcare investment capital market since 2019.


China Healthcare Weekly (Dec.3)-2021 Insurance Negotiation Results,new COVID Virus,a Rational Return

Industry viewpoints:<ul>
<li>The national medical insurance negotiation is coming soon.</li>
<li>Last Friday, a new document about the VBP on insulin was released, and the bidding would start on November 26.</li>
<li>At some point next year, we may see some slowdown in the growth of investment and financing transmitted from the industry and primary market as well as a slowdown in the growth of CXO orders. </li>
</ul>Company news:News about the updated progress on new drugs of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innovent-biologics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27452:1" rel="noopener">Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-hengrui-medicine-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14128:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/antengene-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29705:1" rel="noopener">Antengene (6996 HK)</a>Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share decreased 1.35%, while CSI 300 decreased 1.35% over the same period of time.Risk disclosure: Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

Industry viewpoints:
The national medical insurance negotiation is coming soon.
Last Friday, a new document about the VBP on insulin was released, and the bidding would start on November 26.
At some point next year, we may see some slowdown in the growth of investment and financing transmitted from the industry and primary market as well as a slowdown in the growth of CXO orders. 
Company news:News about the updated progress on new drugs of Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK), Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH) and Antengene (6996 HK)Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share decreased 1.35%, while CSI 300 decreased 1.35% over the same period of time.Risk disclosure: Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

China Healthcare Weekly (Nov.5) - Final Two Domestic Policy Risks, Outlook of China CXO Industry

China

RemeGen Co., Ltd. operates biotechnology businesses. The Company develops therapeutic antibody drugs such as antibody drug conjugates (ADC), antibody fusion proteins, monoclonal antibodies and double antibodies. RemeGen provides solutions autoimmune diseases, tumor diseases, and ophthalmic diseases.

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Remegen (9995 HK)

China Healthcare Weekly (Jan.7)-China's Drug Spending,Logic Behind China/US Biotech, Anesthetics VBP

The insight mainly analyzed the relationship of drug spending with GDP growth, different logic behind China/US biotech companies and related risks...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Keymed Biosciences (2162.HK) - The Pipeline, the Concerns on Valuation Growth & The Trading Strategy

This article mainly analyzed Keymed in terms of the business, the core and key candidates in the pipeline, the concerns about valuation growth...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Shanghai Junshi Bioscience (1877.HK) - Will Junshi Progress or Go Backwards Instead?

The article mainly analyzed Junshi in terms of the pipeline, commercialization strategy, the talents, the outlook, the related concerns, as well as...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Dec.3)-2021 Insurance Negotiation Results,new COVID Virus,a Rational Return

This article analyzed the 2021 national medical insurance negotiation results, the change in logic of valuation due to the new COVID virus, and a...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Nov.5) - Final Two Domestic Policy Risks, Outlook of China CXO Industry

The insight mainly analyzed the final two domestic policy risks (the national medical insurance negotiation & the VBP on insulin) by the end of...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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