China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>XPEV: BYD cut prices for the older models of its Dynasty series (-)</li>
<li>700HK/SE/NTES: &lt;Undawn&gt; performance lower than expectation  (-/-/+)， hence we cut our estimation of annual gross billings of the game</li>
<li>9995HK: Daiichi Sangyo/Astra Zeneca's ADC blockbuster DS8201 (Enhertu) approve by NMPA... Impact to Remegen is material in the long run (-)</li>
</ul>


XPEV: BYD cut prices for the older models of its Dynasty series (-)
700HK/SE/NTES: &lt;Undawn&gt; performance lower than expectation  (-/-/+)， hence we cut our estimation of annual gross billings of the game
9995HK: Daiichi Sangyo/Astra Zeneca's ADC blockbuster DS8201 (Enhertu) approve by NMPA... Impact to Remegen is material in the long run (-)


China TMT Update(Feb.28):  700HK/SE/NTES/XPEV/9995HK - BYD Cut Prices for the Older Models

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Keymed is one of the few enterprises we believe have the strength to develop FIC in the future. Keymed's "pragmatic" in terms of commercialization,which set it apart from other biotech.</li>
<li>The current valuation is expensive based on our forecast. The expansion potential of future valuation depends on the progress of overseas R&amp;D/commercialization. This is where Keymed really takes off.</li>
<li>One big reason we've been positive about Keymed is because of its founder, Chen Bo. The down-to-earth style of management makes us full of expectations for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keymed-biosciences-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33011:1" rel="noopener">Keymed Biosciences (2162 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Keymed is one of the few enterprises we believe have the strength to develop FIC in the future. Keymed's "pragmatic" in terms of commercialization,which set it apart from other biotech.
The current valuation is expensive based on our forecast. The expansion potential of future valuation depends on the progress of overseas R&amp;D/commercialization. This is where Keymed really takes off.
One big reason we've been positive about Keymed is because of its founder, Chen Bo. The down-to-earth style of management makes us full of expectations for Keymed Biosciences (2162 HK).


Keymed Biosciences (2162.HK) - We Have High Hopes for Keymed, but Valuation Is Expensive

<ul>
<li>RemeGen’s revenue declined in 22H2, leading to lower-than-expected performance last year.However, 2022’s low base is good for the growth this year,especially when non-COVID treatment returns to normal after China reopens. </li>
<li>We analyzed our revenue forecast on RC48 and RC18. We don't think there should be big difference between the market value of RemeGen and Akeso. So, RemeGen’s valuation is attractive.</li>
<li>The sentiment in HKEX has changed this year, so the trading strategy should be different. The pullback could be a buying opportunity, especially for good biotech companies such as RemeGen.</li>
</ul>


RemeGen’s revenue declined in 22H2, leading to lower-than-expected performance last year.However, 2022’s low base is good for the growth this year,especially when non-COVID treatment returns to normal after China reopens. 
We analyzed our revenue forecast on RC48 and RC18. We don't think there should be big difference between the market value of RemeGen and Akeso. So, RemeGen’s valuation is attractive.
The sentiment in HKEX has changed this year, so the trading strategy should be different. The pullback could be a buying opportunity, especially for good biotech companies such as RemeGen.


Remegen Co Ltd (9995.HK) - There's Expectation Difference in Valuation; Trading Opportunity Occurs

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The MSCI EM vs.EAFE ratio (local currency) shows EM has outperformed relative to EAFE since the DXY peaked in November 2022, and also shows signs of reversing the 2-year downtrend.</li>
<li>As long as the DXY remains below $103.50-$106, we expect outperformance from EM to continue.</li>
<li>China/Hong Kong, Greece, South Africa, and Mexico stand out as attractive countries. Our top actionable Sectors include Communications, Consumer Discretionary, and Technology. We highlight 76 attractive EM stocks.</li>
</ul>


The MSCI EM vs.EAFE ratio (local currency) shows EM has outperformed relative to EAFE since the DXY peaked in November 2022, and also shows signs of reversing the 2-year downtrend.
As long as the DXY remains below $103.50-$106, we expect outperformance from EM to continue.
China/Hong Kong, Greece, South Africa, and Mexico stand out as attractive countries. Our top actionable Sectors include Communications, Consumer Discretionary, and Technology. We highlight 76 attractive EM stocks.


EM Outperformance to Continue (Vs. EAFE) -- Add on a Pullback; DXY Needs to Hold Below $106

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight flows of China Mobile, BYD, Simcere, ICBC, CNOOC, Meituan, Geely, CCB, Country Garden Services, Anta. </li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight flows of China Mobile, BYD, Simcere, ICBC, CNOOC, Meituan, Geely, CCB, Country Garden Services, Anta. 


Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly: Health Care Led Inflows in Jan

China

RemeGen Co., Ltd. operates biotechnology businesses. The Company develops therapeutic antibody drugs such as antibody drug conjugates (ADC), antibody fusion proteins, monoclonal antibodies and double antibodies. RemeGen provides solutions autoimmune diseases, tumor diseases, and ophthalmic diseases.

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Remegen (9995 HK)

China TMT Update(Feb.28): 700HK/SE/NTES/XPEV/9995HK - BYD Cut Prices for the Older Models

9995HK: Daiichi Sangyo/Astra Zeneca's ADC blockbuster DS8201 (Enhertu) approve by NMPA; XPEV: BYD cut prices for the older models (-); 700HK/SE...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Keymed Biosciences (2162.HK) - We Have High Hopes for Keymed, but Valuation Is Expensive

Keymed is pragmatic in R&D/commercialization, which set it apart from other biotech. We have high hopes for Keymed due to Chen Bo and his...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Remegen Co Ltd (9995.HK) - There's Expectation Difference in Valuation; Trading Opportunity Occurs

RemeGen’s weak 2022 performance leads to low base,which is good for this year's growth. Its current valuation is attractive.Since sentiment in HKEX...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

EM Outperformance to Continue (Vs. EAFE) -- Add on a Pullback; DXY Needs to Hold Below $106

EM vs. EAFE ratio (local currency) shows EM has outperformed relative to EAFE since the $DXY peaked in November 2022. If the DXY remains below...

Vermilion Research

Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly: Health Care Led Inflows in Jan

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for January and highlight flows for China Mobile, BYD, Simcere, ICBC, CNOOC, Meituan, Geely, CCB, Country...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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